TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116066
Played Sep 11Finished
Ivan Elfemov
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
81116141210119––
Ruslan Serhyenko
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingIvan Elfemov above · Ruslan Serhyenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 16-14
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 91 set 4, 11-9
91 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Elfemov 13–9 Ruslan Serhyenko Ruslan Serhyenko has won 9 of their 22 meetings.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Elfemov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Serhyenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsElfemov 1.44 / Serhyenko 2.63
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Elfemov)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13116066
Elfemov1.44
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite70% won 121 of 172
Up 2–0, closes it94% 66 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it82% 89 of 108
Serhyenko2.63
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog35% won 66 of 187
Down 0–1, comes back25% 26 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back12% 8 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeElfemov7wins
AwaySerhyenko3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderElfemov leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeElfemov66.7%4 of 6
AwaySerhyenko25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Elfemov6Serhyenko4n = 10Elfemov took 6 of 10
S2Elfemov5Serhyenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Elfemov8Serhyenko2n = 10Elfemov took 8 of 10
S4Elfemov4Serhyenko4n = 8split evenly
S5Elfemov2Serhyenko1n = 3Elfemov took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricElfemovSerhyenkoE − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.036.0+5.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricElfemovSerhyenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime281 / 466 vs 260 / 59360.3%43.8%281 / 466 vs 260 / 593Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.536.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ElfemovElfemov 1.44/Serhyenko 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.7%
Elfemov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Elfemov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 18:05I. Elfemov—117115113R. Serhyenko—81171182
LSep 2 · 16:25I. Elfemov—111112692R. Serhyenko—591411113
WAug 25 · 18:05I. Elfemov—1111113R. Serhyenko—8690
LAug 21 · 16:35I. Elfemov—91411101R. Serhyenko—11168123
WAug 16 · 16:55I. Elfemov—11713113R. Serhyenko—3111191
WAug 13 · 19:05I. Elfemov—51111113R. Serhyenko—112751
WAug 6 · 17:35I. Elfemov—51111113R. Serhyenko—112971
LJul 30 · 18:05I. Elfemov—119951R. Serhyenko—91111113
WJul 22 · 18:05I. Elfemov—10101211113R. Serhyenko—121210752
WJul 16 · 13:25I. Elfemov—1111113R. Serhyenko—7570
I. Elfemov10
WSep 11 · 15:33I. Elfemov2.5011611133V. Kaganovych1.508117111WSep 10 · 19:25I. Elfemov2.50613611113V. Sharpai1.50111111892WSep 10 · 17:55I. Elfemov3.0031112113V. Chumak1.361181021WSep 10 · 16:25I. Elfemov2.001121113113D. Boltenkov1.7391181552WSep 10 · 14:55I. Elfemov1.5311114123A. Azarov2.389411101WSep 10 · 13:25I. Elfemov2.63111149113A. Lifanov1.4446111122LSep 8 · 19:35V. Hainiuk1.8061111143I. Elfemov1.911166121WSep 8 · 18:05I. Elfemov1.50117115113R. Serhyenko2.5081171182WSep 8 · 16:05Y. Bielokon2.506540I. Elfemov1.501111113WSep 8 · 14:05V. Kaganovych1.40611851I. Elfemov2.7511811113
R. Serhyenko10
LSep 11 · 16:05R. Serhyenko1.91711591V. Sydorenko1.8011211113WSep 11 · 15:05Y. Bielokon1.441111371R. Serhyenko2.6313711113LSep 11 · 13:35R. Serhyenko3.404850V. Kaganovych1.301111113LSep 8 · 19:05Y. Bielokon1.501111113R. Serhyenko2.507990LSep 8 · 18:05I. Elfemov1.50117115113R. Serhyenko2.5081171182LSep 8 · 16:35V. Sydorenko2.001611113R. Serhyenko1.7314690LSep 8 · 14:35V. Hainiuk1.301111113R. Serhyenko3.403940LSep 8 · 12:35V. Kaganovych1.401111133R. Serhyenko2.7584110LSep 2 · 19:25R. Serhyenko2.6311117562Y. Bielokon1.44571111113LSep 2 · 17:55R. Serhyenko2.101013471V. Chumak1.67121111113
Upcoming Matches
I. Elfemov
Nothing scheduled
R. Serhyenko
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.