TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136488
Played Sep 16Finished
Valerii Lukianevych
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
71112141111210711
Viktor Leonov
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:35 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeValerii Lukianevych to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingValerii Lukianevych above · Viktor Leonov below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 11-1
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 96 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Valerii Lukianevych at 60.5%
96 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Lukianevych 29–14 Viktor Leonov Viktor Leonov has won 14 of their 43 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:35What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Lukianevych
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-14 in 43
Lukianevych
Wrong
gap of 15 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lukianevych 1313 vs Leonov 1417
Leonov
Correct
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lukianevych 60% vs Leonov 100%
Leonov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lukianevych 60% vs Leonov 80%
Leonov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lukianevych -1 · Leonov +5
Leonov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Lukianevych) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Leonov form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLukianevych 1.73 / Leonov 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Lukianevych)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13136488
Lukianevych1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite71% won 75 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it95% 39 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it83% 53 of 64
Leonov2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 7 of 17
Down 0–1, comes back20% 2 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back14% 1 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLukianevych9wins
AwayLeonov1wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLukianevych leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLukianevych100%7 of 7
AwayLeonov33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lukianevych7Leonov3n = 10Lukianevych took 7 of 10
S2Lukianevych5Leonov5n = 10split evenly
S3Lukianevych7Leonov3n = 10Lukianevych took 7 of 10
S4Lukianevych5Leonov1n = 6Lukianevych took 5 of 6
S5Lukianevych3Leonov0n = 3Lukianevych took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLukianevychLeonovLukianevych − LeonovBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.633.2+7.4per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLukianevychLeonovBasisWin rate · lifetime206 / 408 vs 82 / 13350.5%61.7%206 / 408 vs 82 / 133Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LukianevychLukianevych 1.73/Leonov 2.00
Miss
What we said
55.3%
Lukianevych · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Leonov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 12:35V. Lukianevych44111111113V. Leonov32913371
WSep 2 · 16:35V. Lukianevych381116113V. Leonov2761470
WAug 30 · 13:25V. Lukianevych331111113V. Leonov128310
WAug 19 · 12:35V. Lukianevych481151110113V. Leonov4281161252
WAug 10 · 17:05V. Lukianevych48511813113V. Leonov43119111112
WAug 5 · 12:35V. Lukianevych381116113V. Leonov3191480
WJul 28 · 18:05V. Lukianevych3741111113V. Leonov31119651
WJul 23 · 12:35V. Lukianevych49119711113V. Leonov4161111672
WJul 14 · 17:35V. Lukianevych4111811113V. Leonov36911881
LJul 7 · 18:35V. Lukianevych3089130V. Leonov371111153
V. Lukianevych10
LSep 16 · 17:35V. Lukianevych2.006680V. Reva1.731111113LSep 16 · 15:05V. Lukianevych1.50711591H. Buianover2.5011411113WSep 16 · 13:05V. Lukianevych1.331111113M. Karelov3.257720WSep 13 · 19:35M. Karelov3.2591161182V. Lukianevych1.33118118113WSep 13 · 18:05V. Lukianevych1.36111183V. Kruglyak3.008810LSep 13 · 16:05S. Paksiutov2.75613411113V. Lukianevych1.40111111662WSep 13 · 14:05V. Melnyk4.33211371V. Lukianevych1.2011411103WSep 13 · 13:05H. Buianover2.75711591V. Lukianevych1.4011811113LSep 9 · 19:05V. Reva1.731111113V. Lukianevych2.005740WSep 9 · 18:05M. Karelov2.75910110V. Lukianevych1.401112133
V. Leonov10
WSep 16 · 14:35V. Reva3.509330V. Leonov1.281111113WSep 16 · 12:35A. Sydorenko2.631110861V. Leonov1.4441211113WSep 9 · 18:35V. Leonov1.531311113A. Sydorenko2.3811560WSep 9 · 17:05V. Leonov1.28126611113V. Reva3.50101111612WSep 9 · 15:35V. Leonov1.1771111113H. Buianover4.50117941WSep 9 · 14:05V. Leonov1.36751311113M. Karelov3.00111111832LSep 9 · 12:35V. Leonov2.38913371V. Lukianevych1.53111111113WSep 2 · 18:35H. Buianover4.50871141V. Leonov1.1711117113WSep 2 · 17:35V. Leonov1.40771111113M. Karelov2.7511119562LSep 2 · 16:35V. Leonov2.2061470V. Lukianevych1.611116113
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