TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136616
Played Sep 16Finished
Valerii Lukianevych
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711114511911––
Hennadii Buianover
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:58 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeValerii Lukianevych to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingValerii Lukianevych above · Hennadii Buianover below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 69 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Valerii Lukianevych at 66.9%
69 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Lukianevych 79–37 Hennadii Buianover Hennadii Buianover has won 37 of their 116 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:58What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Lukianevych
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
79-37 in 116
Lukianevych
Wrong
gap of 42 in 116, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lukianevych 1327 vs Buianover 1293
Lukianevych
Wrong
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lukianevych 80% vs Buianover 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lukianevych 70% vs Buianover 50%
Lukianevych
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lukianevych +3 · Buianover +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Lukianevych)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Buianover form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLukianevych 1.50 / Buianover 2.50
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Lukianevych)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13136616
Lukianevych1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite71% won 75 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it95% 39 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it83% 53 of 64
Buianover2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog31% won 41 of 134
Down 0–1, comes back12% 9 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLukianevych8wins
AwayBuianover2wins
Lukianevych leads 8–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLukianevych85.7%6 of 7
AwayBuianover33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lukianevych7Buianover3n = 10Lukianevych took 7 of 10
S2Lukianevych7Buianover3n = 10Lukianevych took 7 of 10
S3Lukianevych8Buianover2n = 10Lukianevych took 8 of 10
S4Lukianevych4Buianover2n = 6Lukianevych took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLukianevychBuianoverL − BBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.330.9+6.4per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLukianevychBuianoverBasisWin rate · lifetime206 / 407 vs 153 / 38450.6%39.8%206 / 407 vs 153 / 384Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.635.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LukianevychLukianevych 1.50/Buianover 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.9%
Lukianevych · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Buianover won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 13:05V. Lukianevych4111811113H. Buianover32711591
WSep 9 · 14:35V. Lukianevych44111111113H. Buianover31137381
WSep 2 · 12:35V. Lukianevych341211113H. Buianover2510780
WSep 1 · 14:05V. Lukianevych331111113H. Buianover258980
LAug 30 · 17:55V. Lukianevych32761181H. Buianover4111118113
WAug 27 · 15:05V. Lukianevych331111113H. Buianover206860
LAug 12 · 16:05V. Lukianevych35119691H. Buianover3961111113
WAug 10 · 15:35V. Lukianevych4181111113H. Buianover32116691
WAug 5 · 15:35V. Lukianevych351211123H. Buianover28108100
WJul 28 · 12:35V. Lukianevych45121111113H. Buianover361051381
V. Lukianevych10
WSep 16 · 13:05V. Lukianevych1.331111113M. Karelov3.257720WSep 13 · 19:35M. Karelov3.2591161182V. Lukianevych1.33118118113WSep 13 · 18:05V. Lukianevych1.36111183V. Kruglyak3.008810LSep 13 · 16:05S. Paksiutov2.75613411113V. Lukianevych1.40111111662WSep 13 · 14:05V. Melnyk4.33211371V. Lukianevych1.2011411103WSep 13 · 13:05H. Buianover2.75711591V. Lukianevych1.4011811113LSep 9 · 19:05V. Reva1.731111113V. Lukianevych2.005740WSep 9 · 18:05M. Karelov2.75910110V. Lukianevych1.401112133LSep 9 · 16:35A. Sydorenko1.5011114113V. Lukianevych2.50961191WSep 9 · 14:35H. Buianover2.38137381V. Lukianevych1.53111111113
H. Buianover10
WSep 16 · 13:35H. Buianover2.001111113V. Reva1.736880WSep 13 · 18:35V. Melnyk4.3371140H. Buianover1.201113113WSep 13 · 17:35H. Buianover1.501111113M. Karelov2.506760LSep 13 · 16:35H. Buianover1.6777111182V. Kruglyak2.10111139113WSep 13 · 15:05H. Buianover1.531111113S. Paksiutov2.384650LSep 13 · 13:05H. Buianover2.75711591V. Lukianevych1.4011811113WSep 9 · 19:35H. Buianover1.671211113M. Karelov2.1010990LSep 9 · 17:35A. Sydorenko1.28911116113H. Buianover3.5011881192LSep 9 · 15:35V. Leonov1.1771111113H. Buianover4.50117941LSep 9 · 14:35H. Buianover2.38137381V. Lukianevych1.53111111113
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