TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136433
Played Sep 16Finished
Hennadii Buianover
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116118118––––
Vadim Reva
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:24 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVadim Reva to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingHennadii Buianover above · Vadim Reva below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 55 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Vadim Reva at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Hennadii Buianover 59–45 Vadim Reva Vadim Reva has won 45 of their 104 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:24What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Reva
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
59-45 in 104
Buianover
Correct
gap of 14 in 104, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Buianover 1280 vs Reva 1258
Buianover
Correct
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Buianover 60% vs Reva 20%
Buianover
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Buianover 50% vs Reva 30%
Buianover
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Buianover +2 · Reva +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Reva)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Reva form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBuianover 2.00 / Reva 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Reva)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13136433
Buianover2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog31% won 41 of 134
Down 0–1, comes back12% 9 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 55
Reva1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite68% won 65 of 95
Up 2–0, closes it93% 37 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it83% 48 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBuianover5wins
AwayReva5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBuianover100%5 of 5
AwayReva100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Buianover5Reva5n = 10split evenly
S2Buianover4Reva6n = 10Reva took 6 of 10
S3Buianover6Reva4n = 10Buianover took 6 of 10
S4Buianover3Reva3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBuianoverRevaB − RBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.234.9+0.3per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuianoverRevaBasisWin rate · lifetime152 / 383 vs 210 / 38039.7%55.3%152 / 383 vs 210 / 380Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.837.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RevaBuianover 2.00/Reva 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Reva · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Buianover won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 13:35H. Buianover351212113V. Reva25101050
LSep 2 · 17:05H. Buianover132650V. Reva331111113
WSep 1 · 19:35H. Buianover44121011113V. Reva381012791
WAug 30 · 16:55H. Buianover331111113V. Reva142750
LAug 27 · 13:35H. Buianover45411812102V. Reva511171110123
LAug 12 · 18:05H. Buianover34991151V. Reva4111118113
WAug 12 · 14:35H. Buianover45115117113V. Reva4151191152
LAug 10 · 19:35H. Buianover29111170V. Reva371313113
LAug 9 · 13:05H. Buianover32911661V. Reva3611311113
WAug 5 · 13:35H. Buianover4211911113V. Reva33711691
H. Buianover10
WSep 13 · 18:35V. Melnyk4.3371140H. Buianover1.201113113WSep 13 · 17:35H. Buianover1.501111113M. Karelov2.506760LSep 13 · 16:35H. Buianover1.6777111182V. Kruglyak2.10111139113WSep 13 · 15:05H. Buianover1.531111113S. Paksiutov2.384650LSep 13 · 13:05H. Buianover2.75711591V. Lukianevych1.4011811113WSep 9 · 19:35H. Buianover1.671211113M. Karelov2.1010990LSep 9 · 17:35A. Sydorenko1.28911116113H. Buianover3.5011881192LSep 9 · 15:35V. Leonov1.1771111113H. Buianover4.50117941LSep 9 · 14:35H. Buianover2.38137381V. Lukianevych1.53111111113WSep 9 · 13:35V. Reva1.57101050H. Buianover2.251212113
V. Reva10
LSep 16 · 14:35V. Reva3.509330V. Leonov1.281111113WSep 9 · 19:05V. Reva1.731111113V. Lukianevych2.005740LSep 9 · 17:05V. Leonov1.28126611113V. Reva3.50101111612LSep 9 · 16:05V. Reva1.537870M. Karelov2.381111113LSep 9 · 15:05A. Sydorenko1.67111112113V. Reva2.10381451LSep 9 · 13:35V. Reva1.57101050H. Buianover2.251212113LSep 2 · 19:05V. Reva1.73111112982V. Lukianevych2.00871411113WSep 2 · 17:05H. Buianover2.102650V. Reva1.671111113WSep 2 · 16:05V. Reva2.10111156113A. Sydorenko1.6743111192LSep 2 · 15:05V. Leonov1.301111133V. Reva3.4037110
Upcoming Matches
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