TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100805
Played Sep 9Finished
Vadim Reva
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115117114––––
Valerii Lukianevych
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVadim Reva to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVadim Reva above · Valerii Lukianevych below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 49 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Vadim Reva at 54.0%
49 points played in total.
H2H Vadim Reva 47–59 Valerii Lukianevych Vadim Reva has won 47 of their 106 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:27What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Reva
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
47-59 in 106
Lukianevych
Wrong
gap of 12 in 106, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Reva 1240 vs Lukianevych 1334
Lukianevych
Wrong
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Reva 0% vs Lukianevych 80%
Lukianevych
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Reva 20% vs Lukianevych 80%
Lukianevych
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Reva -5 · Lukianevych +1
Reva
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lukianevych) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lukianevych form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsReva 1.73 / Lukianevych 2.00
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Lukianevych)+7.7pp
Setka Cup · #13100805
Reva1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite70% won 67 of 96
Up 2–0, closes it93% 37 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it83% 48 of 58
Lukianevych2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 35 of 83
Down 0–1, comes back24% 11 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeReva6wins
AwayLukianevych4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderReva leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeReva71.4%5 of 7
AwayLukianevych66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Reva7Lukianevych3n = 10Reva took 7 of 10
S2Reva5Lukianevych5n = 10split evenly
S3Reva3Lukianevych7n = 10Lukianevych took 7 of 10
S4Reva8Lukianevych2n = 10Reva took 8 of 10
S5Reva2Lukianevych3n = 5Lukianevych took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRevaLukianevychR − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match43.142.6+0.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRevaLukianevychBasisWin rate · lifetime209 / 379 vs 201 / 40055.2%50.3%209 / 379 vs 201 / 400Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LukianevychReva 1.73/Lukianevych 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Lukianevych · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Reva won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 19:05V. Reva—111112982V. Lukianevych—871411113
WSep 1 · 15:35V. Reva—151111133V. Lukianevych—111199112
WAug 30 · 14:55V. Reva—14116113V. Lukianevych—1241181
LAug 27 · 17:35V. Reva—1271181V. Lukianevych—14119113
WAug 19 · 15:35V. Reva—117912113V. Lukianevych—811111052
WAug 12 · 13:05V. Reva—111011113V. Lukianevych—612771
WAug 10 · 14:05V. Reva—111111113V. Lukianevych—881391
WAug 5 · 17:05V. Reva—11116113V. Lukianevych—771181
LJul 28 · 19:05V. Reva—11971162V. Lukianevych—911118113
LJul 27 · 19:35V. Reva—51161162V. Lukianevych—118115113
V. Reva10
LSep 9 · 17:05V. Leonov1.28126611113V. Reva3.50101111612LSep 9 · 16:05V. Reva1.537870M. Karelov2.381111113LSep 9 · 15:05A. Sydorenko1.67111112113V. Reva2.10381451LSep 9 · 13:35V. Reva1.57101050H. Buianover2.251212113LSep 2 · 19:05V. Reva1.73111112982V. Lukianevych2.00871411113WSep 2 · 17:05H. Buianover2.102650V. Reva1.671111113WSep 2 · 16:05V. Reva2.10111156113A. Sydorenko1.6743111192LSep 2 · 15:05V. Leonov1.301111133V. Reva3.4037110LSep 2 · 13:35V. Reva1.44811821M. Karelov2.6311711113LSep 1 · 19:35V. Reva1.571012791H. Buianover2.25121011113
V. Lukianevych10
WSep 9 · 18:05M. Karelov2.75910110V. Lukianevych1.401112133LSep 9 · 16:35A. Sydorenko1.5011114113V. Lukianevych2.50961191WSep 9 · 14:35H. Buianover2.38137381V. Lukianevych1.53111111113WSep 9 · 12:35V. Leonov2.38913371V. Lukianevych1.53111111113WSep 2 · 19:05V. Reva1.73111112982V. Lukianevych2.00871411113LSep 2 · 18:05A. Sydorenko1.441191110113V. Lukianevych2.6331171272WSep 2 · 16:35V. Leonov2.2061470V. Lukianevych1.611116113WSep 2 · 14:35M. Karelov2.6371040V. Lukianevych1.441112113WSep 2 · 12:35H. Buianover2.6310780V. Lukianevych1.441211113WSep 1 · 18:35V. Lukianevych1.5051911113M. Karelov2.501117581
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