TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122646
Played Sep 13Finished
Vadym Melnyk
Home
4.33
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7111113411––––
Hennadii Buianover
Away
1.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:24 and never touched — 79.9% is still 79.9%
Graded at full timeHennadii Buianover to win
79.9%
79.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVadym Melnyk above · Hennadii Buianover below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 57 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Hennadii Buianover at 79.9%
57 points played in total.
H2H Vadym Melnyk 0–8 Hennadii Buianover Vadym Melnyk has won 0 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:24What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Buianover
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-8 in 8
Buianover
Correct
gap of 8 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Melnyk 991 vs Buianover 1271
Buianover
Correct
both rated, 280 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Melnyk 40% vs Buianover 60%
Buianover
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Melnyk 20% vs Buianover 40%
Buianover
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Melnyk +2 · Buianover +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 80% — Strong (leans Buianover)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Buianover form (60%) is below what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelnyk 4.33 / Buianover 1.20
Signal prob.20% / 80%
Edge (Buianover)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13122646
Melnyk4.33
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog12% won 4 of 34
Down 0–1, comes back4% 1 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 17
Buianover1.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 26 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it77% 20 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeMelnyk0wins
AwayBuianover8wins
2 of 8 to a deciderBuianover leads 8–0, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMelnykn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayBuianover100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Melnyk1Buianover7n = 8Buianover took 7 of 8
S2Melnyk3Buianover5n = 8Buianover took 5 of 8
S3Melnyk1Buianover7n = 8Buianover took 7 of 8
S4Melnyk2Buianover3n = 5Buianover took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away338%
0–3Straight, away338%
These 8 meetings
MetricMelnykBuianoverM − BBasisWins08−8in 8 meetingsFirst set17−6of 8Avg pointsper match29.541.0−11.5per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelnykBuianoverBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 43 vs 151 / 38216.3%39.5%7 / 43 vs 151 / 382Avg sets wonper match1.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match31.335.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuianoverMelnyk 4.33/Buianover 1.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.9%
Buianover · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Buianover won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LJul 23 · 13:35V. Melnyk4181341152H. Buianover521111118113
LJul 16 · 14:35V. Melnyk30117571H. Buianover4291111113
LJul 13 · 16:35V. Melnyk175480H. Buianover331111113
LApr 29 · 12:35V. Melnyk4381171252H. Buianover491161110113
LApr 22 · 13:05V. Melnyk235990H. Buianover331111113
LApr 15 · 14:35V. Melnyk126060H. Buianover331111113
LApr 8 · 19:35V. Melnyk39891391H. Buianover44111111113
LFeb 26 · 20:23V. Melnyk31711941H. Buianover4211911113
V. Melnyk10
WSep 13 · 17:05V. Melnyk3.50116611113S. Paksiutov1.2881111952WSep 13 · 15:35V. Melnyk3.00812117113M. Karelov1.36111081192LSep 13 · 14:05V. Melnyk4.33211371V. Lukianevych1.2011411103LSep 13 · 12:35V. Melnyk3.504870V. Kruglyak1.281111113LJul 23 · 19:05V. Melnyk3.006960V. Lukianevych1.361111113LJul 23 · 17:05V. Leonov1.301111113V. Melnyk3.409650LJul 23 · 16:05V. Melnyk3.7564111192V. Kruglyak1.25111178113LJul 23 · 15:05A. Sydorenko1.0611118113V. Melnyk8.00661181LJul 23 · 13:35V. Melnyk4.5081341152H. Buianover1.171111118113LJul 16 · 19:05V. Reva1.06117611113V. Melnyk8.0071111712
H. Buianover10
WSep 13 · 17:35H. Buianover1.501111113M. Karelov2.506760LSep 13 · 16:35H. Buianover1.6777111182V. Kruglyak2.10111139113WSep 13 · 15:05H. Buianover1.531111113S. Paksiutov2.384650LSep 13 · 13:05H. Buianover2.75711591V. Lukianevych1.4011811113WSep 9 · 19:35H. Buianover1.671211113M. Karelov2.1010990LSep 9 · 17:35A. Sydorenko1.28911116113H. Buianover3.5011881192LSep 9 · 15:35V. Leonov1.1771111113H. Buianover4.50117941LSep 9 · 14:35H. Buianover2.38137381V. Lukianevych1.53111111113WSep 9 · 13:35V. Reva1.57101050H. Buianover2.251212113WJul 23 · 13:35V. Melnyk4.5081341152H. Buianover1.171111118113
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