Vadym Melnyk vs Serhii Paksiutov 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #13122102

Played Sep 13Finished

Vadym Melnyk

Home

3.50

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

118611611119115

Serhii Paksiutov

Away

1.29

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:55 and never touched — 54.8% is still 54.8%

Graded at full time

Serhii Paksiutov to win

54.8%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingVadym Melnyk above · Serhii Paksiutov below

Set 1 · 11-8

Set 2 · 6-11

Set 3 · 6-11

Set 4 · 11-9

Set 5 · 11-5

Point 89 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Serhii Paksiutov at 54.8%

89 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 21:55

What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.28 (73%)

Paksiutov

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Melnyk 962 vs Paksiutov 1059

Paksiutov

Wrong

both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Melnyk 20% vs Paksiutov 20%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Melnyk 20% vs Paksiutov 30%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Melnyk +1 · Paksiutov +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Paksiutov) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Paksiutov form (20%) is below what odds imply (78%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsMelnyk 3.50 / Paksiutov 1.28

Signal prob.27% / 73%

Edge (Paksiutov)-0.0pp

Setka Cup · #13122102

Melnyk3.50

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

0%takes the first set · 0 of 10

As underdog12% won 4 of 34

Down 0–1, comes back4% 1 of 23

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 17

Paksiutov1.28

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

10%takes the first set · 1 of 10

As favourite

Fewer than 10 matches in this role

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricMelnykPaksiutovBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 42 vs 32 / 10314.3%31.1%6 / 42 vs 32 / 103Avg sets wonper match1.11.5per matchAvg pointsper match31.035.1per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Paksiutov

Melnyk 3.50/Paksiutov 1.28

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

73.1%

Paksiutov · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Melnyk won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

V. Melnyk10