TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12113687
Played Jun 28Finished
Hennadii Buianover
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1181412611611711
Serhii Paksiutov
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingHennadii Buianover above · Serhii Paksiutov below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 97 set 5, 7-11
97 points played in total.
H2H Hennadii Buianover 22–9 Serhii Paksiutov Serhii Paksiutov has won 9 of their 31 meetings.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Buianover)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Paksiutov form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBuianover 1.50 / Paksiutov 2.50
Signal prob.67% / 34%
Edge (Buianover)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12113687
Buianover1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 28 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it82% 22 of 27
Paksiutov2.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog30% won 13 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back12% 3 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back12% 2 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBuianover8wins
AwayPaksiutov2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBuianover leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBuianover100%5 of 5
AwayPaksiutov40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Buianover5Paksiutov5n = 10split evenly
S2Buianover5Paksiutov5n = 10split evenly
S3Buianover6Paksiutov4n = 10Buianover took 6 of 10
S4Buianover5Paksiutov3n = 8Buianover took 5 of 8
S5Buianover4Paksiutov0n = 4Buianover took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBuianoverPaksiutovB − PBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.439.5+1.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuianoverPaksiutovBasisWin rate · lifetime214 / 503 vs 60 / 19242.5%31.3%214 / 503 vs 60 / 192Avg sets wonper match1.81.5per matchAvg pointsper match36.034.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuianoverBuianover 1.50/Paksiutov 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.5%
Buianover · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Paksiutov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 10 · 06:55H. Buianover4111811113S. Paksiutov35611991
WMay 3 · 15:35H. Buianover351113113S. Paksiutov2571170
WMar 8 · 20:05H. Buianover44112128113S. Paksiutov39211101152
LJan 4 · 17:05H. Buianover3913123111S. Paksiutov49151011133
WDec 21 · 16:55H. Buianover48861211113S. Paksiutov45111110942
WNov 30 · 16:55H. Buianover50691112123S. Paksiutov501111810102
WNov 23 · 19:05H. Buianover44111112103S. Paksiutov38781491
LNov 9 · 16:25H. Buianover218490S. Paksiutov331111113
WOct 5 · 17:35H. Buianover4191111103S. Paksiutov37118991
WSep 28 · 18:35H. Buianover511111910103S. Paksiutov4499111232
H. Buianover10
LSep 13 · 13:05H. Buianover2.75711591V. Lukianevych1.4011811113WSep 9 · 19:35H. Buianover1.671211113M. Karelov2.1010990LSep 9 · 17:35A. Sydorenko1.28911116113H. Buianover3.5011881192LSep 9 · 15:35V. Leonov1.1771111113H. Buianover4.50117941LSep 9 · 14:35H. Buianover2.38137381V. Lukianevych1.53111111113WSep 9 · 13:35V. Reva1.57101050H. Buianover2.251212113LSep 2 · 18:35H. Buianover4.50871141V. Leonov1.1711117113LSep 2 · 17:05H. Buianover2.102650V. Reva1.671111113WSep 2 · 15:35H. Buianover1.731131111113M. Karelov2.0011151392LSep 2 · 14:05H. Buianover3.759411101A. Sydorenko1.2511113123
S. Paksiutov10
LAug 9 · 18:35S. Paksiutov2.2512711121H. Buianover1.5714115143LAug 9 · 17:05S. Paksiutov2.63961161M. Karelov1.4411117113LAug 9 · 15:35S. Paksiutov4.001161111102A. Sydorenko1.22811139123LAug 9 · 14:05S. Paksiutov2.75511481V. Reva1.4011811113LAug 9 · 12:35S. Paksiutov1.839490V. Kruglyak1.831111113WJun 28 · 20:25S. Paksiutov2.2591111113V. Kruglyak1.57116881WJun 28 · 16:25V. Leonov1.0811116592S. Paksiutov7.00771111113LJun 28 · 15:25S. Paksiutov2.25110130M. Karelov1.571112153LJun 28 · 14:25V. Reva1.5081111113S. Paksiutov2.50119961LMay 10 · 12:55S. Paksiutov7.508760I. Elfemov1.071111113
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