TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12113752
Played Jun 28Finished
Vadim Reva
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811119119116––
Serhii Paksiutov
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingVadim Reva above · Serhii Paksiutov below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 76 set 4, 11-6
76 points played in total.
H2H Vadim Reva 18–13 Serhii Paksiutov Serhii Paksiutov has won 13 of their 31 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Reva)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Paksiutov form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsReva 1.50 / Paksiutov 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 37%
Edge (Reva)+1.0pp
Setka Cup · #12113752
Reva1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite74% won 43 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it91% 19 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it87% 26 of 30
Paksiutov2.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog30% won 13 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back12% 3 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back12% 2 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeReva5wins
AwayPaksiutov5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeReva75%3 of 4
AwayPaksiutov66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Reva4Paksiutov6n = 10Paksiutov took 6 of 10
S2Reva8Paksiutov2n = 10Reva took 8 of 10
S3Reva5Paksiutov5n = 10split evenly
S4Reva3Paksiutov5n = 9Paksiutov took 5 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRevaPaksiutovR − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.938.5+0.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRevaPaksiutovBasisWin rate · lifetime221 / 471 vs 59 / 18946.9%31.2%221 / 471 vs 59 / 189Avg sets wonper match1.91.5per matchAvg pointsper match36.234.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RevaReva 1.50/Paksiutov 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.5%
Reva · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Reva won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 10 · 07:55V. Reva3613112101S. Paksiutov4715911123
LMar 22 · 14:35V. Reva29711921S. Paksiutov3911611113
WMar 8 · 14:35V. Reva52711158113S. Paksiutov53119131192
LFeb 1 · 16:55V. Reva5016118962S. Paksiutov50147111173
WJan 4 · 14:35V. Reva3911611113S. Paksiutov31911471
WDec 21 · 19:25V. Reva3741111113S. Paksiutov30118651
WNov 30 · 20:55V. Reva3711114113S. Paksiutov32691161
LNov 23 · 20:05V. Reva381081191S. Paksiutov3712113113
WNov 9 · 15:25V. Reva361411113S. Paksiutov2812790
LOct 5 · 15:05V. Reva35711981S. Paksiutov381181182
V. Reva10
WSep 9 · 19:05V. Reva1.731111113V. Lukianevych2.005740LSep 9 · 17:05V. Leonov1.28126611113V. Reva3.50101111612LSep 9 · 16:05V. Reva1.537870M. Karelov2.381111113LSep 9 · 15:05A. Sydorenko1.67111112113V. Reva2.10381451LSep 9 · 13:35V. Reva1.57101050H. Buianover2.251212113LSep 2 · 19:05V. Reva1.73111112982V. Lukianevych2.00871411113WSep 2 · 17:05H. Buianover2.102650V. Reva1.671111113WSep 2 · 16:05V. Reva2.10111156113A. Sydorenko1.6743111192LSep 2 · 15:05V. Leonov1.301111133V. Reva3.4037110LSep 2 · 13:35V. Reva1.44811821M. Karelov2.6311711113
S. Paksiutov10
LAug 9 · 18:35S. Paksiutov2.2512711121H. Buianover1.5714115143LAug 9 · 17:05S. Paksiutov2.63961161M. Karelov1.4411117113LAug 9 · 15:35S. Paksiutov4.001161111102A. Sydorenko1.22811139123LAug 9 · 14:05S. Paksiutov2.75511481V. Reva1.4011811113LAug 9 · 12:35S. Paksiutov1.839490V. Kruglyak1.831111113WJun 28 · 20:25S. Paksiutov2.2591111113V. Kruglyak1.57116881WJun 28 · 18:25H. Buianover1.5011146672S. Paksiutov2.508121111113WJun 28 · 16:25V. Leonov1.0811116592S. Paksiutov7.00771111113LJun 28 · 15:25S. Paksiutov2.25110130M. Karelov1.571112153LMay 10 · 12:55S. Paksiutov7.508760I. Elfemov1.071111113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.