TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12113881
Played Jun 28Finished
Viktor Leonov
Home
1.08
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117117611511911
Serhii Paksiutov
Away
7.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingViktor Leonov above · Serhii Paksiutov below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 89 set 5, 9-11
89 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Leonov 15–2 Serhii Paksiutov Serhii Paksiutov has won 2 of their 17 meetings.
Signal confidence: 95% — Strong (leans Leonov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Leonov form (20%) is below what odds imply (92%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLeonov 1.08 / Paksiutov 7.00
Signal prob.95% / 5%
Edge (Leonov)+8.4pp
Setka Cup · #12113881
Leonov1.08
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 12 of 22
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it90% 9 of 10
Paksiutov7.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog30% won 13 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back12% 3 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back12% 2 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLeonov9wins
AwayPaksiutov1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLeonov leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLeonov100%6 of 6
AwayPaksiutov25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Leonov6Paksiutov4n = 10Leonov took 6 of 10
S2Leonov9Paksiutov1n = 10Leonov took 9 of 10
S3Leonov8Paksiutov2n = 10Leonov took 8 of 10
S4Leonov5Paksiutov0n = 5Leonov took 5 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLeonovPaksiutovL − PBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.227.5+10.7per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLeonovPaksiutovBasisWin rate · lifetime129 / 190 vs 59 / 18967.9%31.2%129 / 190 vs 59 / 189Avg sets wonper match2.41.5per matchAvg pointsper match37.434.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LeonovLeonov 1.08/Paksiutov 7.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
95%
Leonov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Paksiutov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WApr 26 · 16:25V. Leonov331111113S. Paksiutov239590
WApr 5 · 14:35V. Leonov4281111123S. Paksiutov351186101
WMar 29 · 12:35V. Leonov46111311113S. Paksiutov30815521
WMar 22 · 20:05V. Leonov331111113S. Paksiutov112180
WMar 8 · 18:05V. Leonov50611715113S. Paksiutov50119111362
LNov 30 · 18:55V. Leonov44511611112S. Paksiutov42111116133
WAug 31 · 17:35V. Leonov331111113S. Paksiutov188280
WAug 17 · 13:35V. Leonov3521111113S. Paksiutov38119991
WJul 20 · 15:05V. Leonov331111113S. Paksiutov132650
WJul 6 · 18:25V. Leonov331111113S. Paksiutov152760
V. Leonov10
WSep 9 · 18:35V. Leonov1.531311113A. Sydorenko2.3811560WSep 9 · 17:05V. Leonov1.28126611113V. Reva3.50101111612WSep 9 · 15:35V. Leonov1.1771111113H. Buianover4.50117941WSep 9 · 14:05V. Leonov1.36751311113M. Karelov3.00111111832LSep 9 · 12:35V. Leonov2.38913371V. Lukianevych1.53111111113WSep 2 · 18:35H. Buianover4.50871141V. Leonov1.1711117113WSep 2 · 17:35V. Leonov1.40771111113M. Karelov2.7511119562LSep 2 · 16:35V. Leonov2.2061470V. Lukianevych1.611116113WSep 2 · 15:05V. Leonov1.301111133V. Reva3.4037110LSep 2 · 13:05V. Leonov1.445111041A. Sydorenko2.6311512113
S. Paksiutov10
LAug 9 · 18:35S. Paksiutov2.2512711121H. Buianover1.5714115143LAug 9 · 17:05S. Paksiutov2.63961161M. Karelov1.4411117113LAug 9 · 15:35S. Paksiutov4.001161111102A. Sydorenko1.22811139123LAug 9 · 14:05S. Paksiutov2.75511481V. Reva1.4011811113LAug 9 · 12:35S. Paksiutov1.839490V. Kruglyak1.831111113WJun 28 · 20:25S. Paksiutov2.2591111113V. Kruglyak1.57116881WJun 28 · 18:25H. Buianover1.5011146672S. Paksiutov2.508121111113LJun 28 · 15:25S. Paksiutov2.25110130M. Karelov1.571112153LJun 28 · 14:25V. Reva1.5081111113S. Paksiutov2.50119961LMay 10 · 12:55S. Paksiutov7.508760I. Elfemov1.071111113
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