TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12284535
Played Jul 23Finished
Andrii Sydorenko 1979
Home
1.06
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116116811118––
Vadym Melnyk
Away
8.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:51 and never touched — 88.3% is still 88.3%
Graded at full timeAndrii Sydorenko 1979 to win
88.3%
88.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Sydorenko 1979 above · Vadym Melnyk below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 72 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Andrii Sydorenko 1979 at 88.3%
72 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Sydorenko 1979 4–0 Vadym Melnyk Vadym Melnyk has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:51What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.06 (88%)
Sydorenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-0 in 4
Sydorenko
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sydorenko 1312 vs Melnyk 948
Sydorenko
Correct
both rated, 364 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sydorenko 80% vs Melnyk 20%
Sydorenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sydorenko 50% vs Melnyk 20%
Sydorenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sydorenko +4 · Melnyk -2
Sydorenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 88% — Strong (leans Sydorenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sydorenko form (80%) is below what odds imply (94%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSydorenko 1.06 / Melnyk 8.00
Signal prob.88% / 12%
Edge (Sydorenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12284535
Sydorenko1.06
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite69% won 76 of 111
Up 2–0, closes it91% 40 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it81% 55 of 68
Melnyk8.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog16% won 5 of 31
Down 0–1, comes back5% 1 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSydorenko4wins
AwayMelnyk0wins
1 of 4 to a deciderSydorenko leads 4–0, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSydorenko100%3 of 3
AwayMelnykn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sydorenko3Melnyk1n = 4Sydorenko took 3 of 4
S2Sydorenko4Melnyk0n = 4Sydorenko took 4 of 4
S3Sydorenko3Melnyk1n = 4Sydorenko took 3 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricSydorenkoMelnykS − MBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match38.025.5+12.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSydorenkoMelnykBasisWin rate · lifetime191 / 300 vs 5 / 3663.7%13.9%191 / 300 vs 5 / 36Avg sets wonper match2.31.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.831.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SydorenkoSydorenko 1.06/Melnyk 8.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
88.3%
Sydorenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sydorenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WJul 23 · 15:05A. Sydorenko4111118113V. Melnyk31661181
WJul 16 · 16:35A. Sydorenko44411117113V. Melnyk3411471112
WApr 29 · 18:35A. Sydorenko341112113V. Melnyk2791080
WFeb 26 · 19:25A. Sydorenko331111113V. Melnyk104240
A. Sydorenko10
LSep 9 · 18:35V. Leonov1.531311113A. Sydorenko2.3811560WSep 9 · 17:35A. Sydorenko1.28911116113H. Buianover3.5011881192WSep 9 · 16:35A. Sydorenko1.5011114113V. Lukianevych2.50961191WSep 9 · 15:05A. Sydorenko1.67111112113V. Reva2.10381451LSep 9 · 13:05A. Sydorenko1.22115371M. Karelov4.0061111113WSep 2 · 19:35M. Karelov4.0048141122A. Sydorenko1.221111129113WSep 2 · 18:05A. Sydorenko1.441191110113V. Lukianevych2.6331171272LSep 2 · 16:05V. Reva2.10111156113A. Sydorenko1.6743111192WSep 2 · 14:05H. Buianover3.759411101A. Sydorenko1.2511113123WSep 2 · 13:05V. Leonov1.445111041A. Sydorenko2.6311512113
V. Melnyk10
LSep 13 · 12:35V. Melnyk3.504870V. Kruglyak1.281111113LJul 23 · 19:05V. Melnyk3.006960V. Lukianevych1.361111113LJul 23 · 17:05V. Leonov1.301111113V. Melnyk3.409650LJul 23 · 16:05V. Melnyk3.7564111192V. Kruglyak1.25111178113LJul 23 · 13:35V. Melnyk4.5081341152H. Buianover1.171111118113LJul 16 · 19:05V. Reva1.06117611113V. Melnyk8.0071111712WJul 16 · 18:05V. Lukianevych1.33151071182V. Melnyk3.251312116113LJul 16 · 16:35A. Sydorenko1.05411117113V. Melnyk8.5011471112LJul 16 · 14:35H. Buianover1.1791111113V. Melnyk4.50117571LJul 16 · 12:35M. Karelov1.406101114113V. Melnyk2.75111241252
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