TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12234229
Played Jul 16Finished
Maksym Karelov
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
61110121141412115
Vadym Melnyk
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingMaksym Karelov above · Vadym Melnyk below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 14-12
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 96 set 5, 11-5
96 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Karelov 0–1 Vadym Melnyk Maksym Karelov has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Karelov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Karelov form (20%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKarelov 1.40 / Melnyk 2.75
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Karelov)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12234229
Karelov1.40
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite42% won 11 of 26
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it67% 10 of 15
Melnyk2.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog15% won 4 of 26
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKarelov0wins
AwayMelnyk1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderMelnyk leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKarelovMelnykK − MBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match48.047.0+1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKarelovMelnykBasisWin rate · lifetime17 / 38 vs 4 / 2944.7%13.8%17 / 38 vs 4 / 29Avg sets wonper match1.91.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.929.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KarelovKarelov 1.40/Melnyk 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Karelov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Karelov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJul 13 · 13:05M. Karelov48811711112V. Melnyk47117115133
M. Karelov10
LSep 13 · 13:35S. Paksiutov3.0061M. Karelov1.3650LSep 9 · 19:35H. Buianover1.671211113M. Karelov2.1010990LSep 9 · 18:05M. Karelov2.75910110V. Lukianevych1.401112133WSep 9 · 16:05V. Reva1.537870M. Karelov2.381111113LSep 9 · 14:05V. Leonov1.36751311113M. Karelov3.00111111832WSep 9 · 13:05A. Sydorenko1.22115371M. Karelov4.0061111113LSep 2 · 19:35M. Karelov4.0048141122A. Sydorenko1.221111129113LSep 2 · 17:35V. Leonov1.40771111113M. Karelov2.7511119562LSep 2 · 15:35H. Buianover1.731131111113M. Karelov2.0011151392LSep 2 · 14:35M. Karelov2.6371040V. Lukianevych1.441112113
V. Melnyk10
LSep 13 · 12:35V. Melnyk3.504870V. Kruglyak1.281111113LJul 23 · 19:05V. Melnyk3.006960V. Lukianevych1.361111113LJul 23 · 17:05V. Leonov1.301111113V. Melnyk3.409650LJul 23 · 16:05V. Melnyk3.7564111192V. Kruglyak1.25111178113LJul 23 · 15:05A. Sydorenko1.0611118113V. Melnyk8.00661181LJul 23 · 13:35V. Melnyk4.5081341152H. Buianover1.171111118113LJul 16 · 19:05V. Reva1.06117611113V. Melnyk8.0071111712WJul 16 · 18:05V. Lukianevych1.33151071182V. Melnyk3.251312116113LJul 16 · 16:35A. Sydorenko1.05411117113V. Melnyk8.5011471112LJul 16 · 14:35H. Buianover1.1791111113V. Melnyk4.50117571
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