TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12284682
Played Jul 23Finished
Vadym Melnyk
Home
4.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8111311411118511
Hennadii Buianover
Away
1.17
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:53 and never touched — 83.4% is still 83.4%
Graded at full timeHennadii Buianover to win
83.4%
83.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVadym Melnyk above · Hennadii Buianover below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 93 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Hennadii Buianover at 83.4%
93 points played in total.
H2H Vadym Melnyk 0–7 Hennadii Buianover Vadym Melnyk has won 0 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:53What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Buianover
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-7 in 7
Buianover
Correct
gap of 7 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Melnyk 963 vs Buianover 1234
Buianover
Correct
both rated, 271 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Melnyk 20% vs Buianover 40%
Buianover
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Melnyk 30% vs Buianover 60%
Buianover
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Melnyk -1 · Buianover +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Buianover)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Buianover form (40%) is below what odds imply (86%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelnyk 4.50 / Buianover 1.17
Signal prob.17% / 83%
Edge (Buianover)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12284682
Melnyk4.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog16% won 5 of 31
Down 0–1, comes back5% 1 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Buianover1.17
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 25 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it77% 20 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeMelnyk0wins
AwayBuianover7wins
1 of 7 to a deciderBuianover leads 7–0, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMelnykn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayBuianover100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Melnyk1Buianover6n = 7Buianover took 6 of 7
S2Melnyk2Buianover5n = 7Buianover took 5 of 7
S3Melnyk1Buianover6n = 7Buianover took 6 of 7
S4Melnyk1Buianover3n = 4Buianover took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away343%
0–3Straight, away343%
These 7 meetings
MetricMelnykBuianoverM − BBasisWins07−7in 7 meetingsFirst set16−5of 7Avg pointsper match27.939.4−11.5per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelnykBuianoverBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 34 vs 149 / 35914.7%41.5%5 / 34 vs 149 / 359Avg sets wonper match1.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match31.136.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuianoverMelnyk 4.50/Buianover 1.17
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
83.4%
Buianover · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Buianover won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LJul 16 · 14:35V. Melnyk30117571H. Buianover4291111113
LJul 13 · 16:35V. Melnyk175480H. Buianover331111113
LApr 29 · 12:35V. Melnyk4381171252H. Buianover491161110113
LApr 22 · 13:05V. Melnyk235990H. Buianover331111113
LApr 15 · 14:35V. Melnyk126060H. Buianover331111113
LApr 8 · 19:35V. Melnyk39891391H. Buianover44111111113
LFeb 26 · 20:23V. Melnyk31711941H. Buianover4211911113
V. Melnyk10
LSep 13 · 12:35V. Melnyk3.504870V. Kruglyak1.281111113LJul 23 · 19:05V. Melnyk3.006960V. Lukianevych1.361111113LJul 23 · 17:05V. Leonov1.301111113V. Melnyk3.409650LJul 23 · 16:05V. Melnyk3.7564111192V. Kruglyak1.25111178113LJul 23 · 15:05A. Sydorenko1.0611118113V. Melnyk8.00661181LJul 16 · 19:05V. Reva1.06117611113V. Melnyk8.0071111712WJul 16 · 18:05V. Lukianevych1.33151071182V. Melnyk3.251312116113LJul 16 · 16:35A. Sydorenko1.05411117113V. Melnyk8.5011471112LJul 16 · 14:35H. Buianover1.1791111113V. Melnyk4.50117571LJul 16 · 12:35M. Karelov1.406101114113V. Melnyk2.75111241252
H. Buianover10
LSep 13 · 13:05H. Buianover2.75711591V. Lukianevych1.4011811113WSep 9 · 19:35H. Buianover1.671211113M. Karelov2.1010990LSep 9 · 17:35A. Sydorenko1.28911116113H. Buianover3.5011881192LSep 9 · 15:35V. Leonov1.1771111113H. Buianover4.50117941LSep 9 · 14:35H. Buianover2.38137381V. Lukianevych1.53111111113WSep 9 · 13:35V. Reva1.57101050H. Buianover2.251212113LSep 2 · 18:35H. Buianover4.50871141V. Leonov1.1711117113LSep 2 · 17:05H. Buianover2.102650V. Reva1.671111113WSep 2 · 15:35H. Buianover1.731131111113M. Karelov2.0011151392WJul 16 · 14:35H. Buianover1.1791111113V. Melnyk4.50117571
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