TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12234247
Played Jul 16Finished
Valerii Lukianevych
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
15131012711116811
Vadym Melnyk
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingValerii Lukianevych above · Vadym Melnyk below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 104 set 5, 8-11
104 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Lukianevych 3–2 Vadym Melnyk Vadym Melnyk has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Lukianevych)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Melnyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLukianevych 1.33 / Melnyk 3.25
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Lukianevych)+1.0pp
Setka Cup · #12234247
Lukianevych1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 59 of 99
Up 2–0, closes it91% 30 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it78% 43 of 55
Melnyk3.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog15% won 4 of 26
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeLukianevych3wins
AwayMelnyk2wins
Lukianevych leads 3–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLukianevychn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayMelnyk66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lukianevych2Melnyk3n = 5Melnyk took 3 of 5
S2Lukianevych1Melnyk4n = 5Melnyk took 4 of 5
S3Lukianevych5Melnyk0n = 5Lukianevych took 5 of 5
S4Lukianevych3Melnyk2n = 5Lukianevych took 3 of 5
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home360%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricLukianevychMelnykL − MBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match35.835.80.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLukianevychMelnykBasisWin rate · lifetime197 / 401 vs 4 / 3249.1%12.5%197 / 401 vs 4 / 32Avg sets wonper match2.01.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.930.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LukianevychLukianevych 1.33/Melnyk 3.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.9%
Lukianevych · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Melnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LJul 13 · 18:35V. Lukianevych28381161V. Melnyk3811115113
LApr 22 · 18:35V. Lukianevych322101191V. Melnyk4311129113
WApr 15 · 15:35V. Lukianevych4111712113V. Melnyk377111091
WApr 8 · 18:05V. Lukianevych3741111113V. Melnyk30116671
WFeb 26 · 16:53V. Lukianevych4111811113V. Melnyk31911381
V. Lukianevych10
WSep 13 · 13:05H. Buianover2.75711591V. Lukianevych1.4011811113LSep 9 · 19:05V. Reva1.731111113V. Lukianevych2.005740WSep 9 · 18:05M. Karelov2.75910110V. Lukianevych1.401112133LSep 9 · 16:35A. Sydorenko1.5011114113V. Lukianevych2.50961191WSep 9 · 14:35H. Buianover2.38137381V. Lukianevych1.53111111113WSep 9 · 12:35V. Leonov2.38913371V. Lukianevych1.53111111113WSep 2 · 19:05V. Reva1.73111112982V. Lukianevych2.00871411113LSep 2 · 18:05A. Sydorenko1.441191110113V. Lukianevych2.6331171272WSep 2 · 16:35V. Leonov2.2061470V. Lukianevych1.611116113WSep 2 · 14:35M. Karelov2.6371040V. Lukianevych1.441112113
V. Melnyk10
LSep 13 · 12:35V. Melnyk3.504870V. Kruglyak1.281111113LJul 23 · 19:05V. Melnyk3.006960V. Lukianevych1.361111113LJul 23 · 17:05V. Leonov1.301111113V. Melnyk3.409650LJul 23 · 16:05V. Melnyk3.7564111192V. Kruglyak1.25111178113LJul 23 · 15:05A. Sydorenko1.0611118113V. Melnyk8.00661181LJul 23 · 13:35V. Melnyk4.5081341152H. Buianover1.171111118113LJul 16 · 19:05V. Reva1.06117611113V. Melnyk8.0071111712LJul 16 · 16:35A. Sydorenko1.05411117113V. Melnyk8.5011471112LJul 16 · 14:35H. Buianover1.1791111113V. Melnyk4.50117571LJul 16 · 12:35M. Karelov1.406101114113V. Melnyk2.75111241252
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