TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136466
Played Sep 16Finished
Vadim Reva
Home
3.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911311311––––
Viktor Leonov
Away
1.29
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:24 and never touched — 75.5% is still 75.5%
Graded at full timeViktor Leonov to win
75.5%
75.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVadim Reva above · Viktor Leonov below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 48 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Viktor Leonov at 75.5%
48 points played in total.
H2H Vadim Reva 7–27 Viktor Leonov Vadim Reva has won 7 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:24What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Leonov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-27 in 34
Leonov
Correct
gap of 20 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Reva 1245 vs Leonov 1409
Leonov
Correct
both rated, 165 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Reva 20% vs Leonov 100%
Leonov
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Reva 30% vs Leonov 80%
Leonov
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Reva -1 · Leonov +5
Leonov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Leonov) · live re-read · sealed at 76% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Leonov form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsReva 3.50 / Leonov 1.28
Signal prob.23% / 78%
Edge (Leonov)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13136466
Reva3.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog51% won 40 of 79
Down 0–1, comes back34% 15 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 22
Leonov1.28
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 39 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it79% 26 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeReva2wins
AwayLeonov8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLeonov leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeReva33.3%1 of 3
AwayLeonov85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Reva3Leonov7n = 10Leonov took 7 of 10
S2Reva4Leonov6n = 10Leonov took 6 of 10
S3Reva3Leonov7n = 10Leonov took 7 of 10
S4Reva1Leonov4n = 5Leonov took 4 of 5
S5Reva1Leonov2n = 3Leonov took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricRevaLeonovR − LBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match30.337.6−7.3per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRevaLeonovBasisWin rate · lifetime210 / 381 vs 81 / 13255.1%61.4%210 / 381 vs 81 / 132Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LeonovReva 3.50/Leonov 1.28
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.5%
Leonov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Leonov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 17:05V. Reva39101111612V. Leonov46126611113
LSep 2 · 15:05V. Reva2137110V. Leonov351111133
LAug 30 · 18:55V. Reva4461111882V. Leonov50119811113
LAug 19 · 14:35V. Reva361171081V. Leonov3951112113
LAug 10 · 16:05V. Reva197840V. Leonov331111113
LAug 5 · 19:05V. Reva135530V. Leonov331111113
WJul 28 · 16:05V. Reva49811811113V. Leonov4411511982
LJul 14 · 15:05V. Reva351195101V. Leonov4171111123
LJul 7 · 15:05V. Reva146620V. Leonov331111113
WJun 28 · 17:55V. Reva331111113V. Leonov226970
V. Reva10
LSep 16 · 13:35H. Buianover2.001111113V. Reva1.736880WSep 9 · 19:05V. Reva1.731111113V. Lukianevych2.005740LSep 9 · 17:05V. Leonov1.28126611113V. Reva3.50101111612LSep 9 · 16:05V. Reva1.537870M. Karelov2.381111113LSep 9 · 15:05A. Sydorenko1.67111112113V. Reva2.10381451LSep 9 · 13:35V. Reva1.57101050H. Buianover2.251212113LSep 2 · 19:05V. Reva1.73111112982V. Lukianevych2.00871411113WSep 2 · 17:05H. Buianover2.102650V. Reva1.671111113WSep 2 · 16:05V. Reva2.10111156113A. Sydorenko1.6743111192LSep 2 · 15:05V. Leonov1.301111133V. Reva3.4037110
V. Leonov10
WSep 16 · 12:35A. Sydorenko2.631110861V. Leonov1.4441211113WSep 9 · 18:35V. Leonov1.531311113A. Sydorenko2.3811560WSep 9 · 17:05V. Leonov1.28126611113V. Reva3.50101111612WSep 9 · 15:35V. Leonov1.1771111113H. Buianover4.50117941WSep 9 · 14:05V. Leonov1.36751311113M. Karelov3.00111111832LSep 9 · 12:35V. Leonov2.38913371V. Lukianevych1.53111111113WSep 2 · 18:35H. Buianover4.50871141V. Leonov1.1711117113WSep 2 · 17:35V. Leonov1.40771111113M. Karelov2.7511119562LSep 2 · 16:35V. Leonov2.2061470V. Lukianevych1.611116113WSep 2 · 15:05V. Leonov1.301111133V. Reva3.4037110
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