TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136816
Played Sep 16Finished
Valerii Lukianevych
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611611811––––
Vadim Reva
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:26 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeValerii Lukianevych to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingValerii Lukianevych above · Vadim Reva below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 53 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Valerii Lukianevych at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Lukianevych 59–48 Vadim Reva Vadim Reva has won 48 of their 107 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:26What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Reva
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
59-48 in 107
Lukianevych
Wrong
gap of 11 in 107, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lukianevych 1305 vs Reva 1252
Lukianevych
Wrong
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lukianevych 60% vs Reva 40%
Lukianevych
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lukianevych 60% vs Reva 30%
Lukianevych
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lukianevych -2 · Reva +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lukianevych)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Reva form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLukianevych 2.00 / Reva 1.73
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Lukianevych)+7.7pp
Setka Cup · #13136816
Lukianevych2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 33 of 82
Down 0–1, comes back23% 11 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Reva1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite68% won 65 of 95
Up 2–0, closes it93% 37 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it83% 48 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLukianevych3wins
AwayReva7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderReva leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLukianevychn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayReva75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lukianevych2Reva8n = 10Reva took 8 of 10
S2Lukianevych5Reva5n = 10split evenly
S3Lukianevych6Reva4n = 10Lukianevych took 6 of 10
S4Lukianevych2Reva7n = 9Reva took 7 of 9
S5Lukianevych2Reva2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLukianevychRevaL − RBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match39.642.5−2.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLukianevychRevaBasisWin rate · lifetime206 / 409 vs 211 / 38350.4%55.1%206 / 409 vs 211 / 383Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LukianevychLukianevych 2.00/Reva 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Lukianevych · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Reva won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 19:05V. Lukianevych165740V. Reva331111113
WSep 2 · 19:05V. Lukianevych51871411113V. Reva51111112982
LSep 1 · 15:35V. Lukianevych51111199112V. Reva41151111133
LAug 30 · 14:55V. Lukianevych351241181V. Reva4214116113
WAug 27 · 17:35V. Lukianevych4514119113V. Reva381271181
LAug 19 · 15:35V. Lukianevych45811111052V. Reva50117912113
LAug 12 · 13:05V. Lukianevych32612771V. Reva43111011113
LAug 10 · 14:05V. Lukianevych38881391V. Reva44111111113
LAug 5 · 17:05V. Lukianevych33771181V. Reva3911116113
WJul 28 · 19:05V. Lukianevych50911118113V. Reva4411971162
V. Lukianevych10
LSep 16 · 16:35V. Lukianevych1.73712111272V. Leonov2.001114110113LSep 16 · 15:05V. Lukianevych1.50711591H. Buianover2.5011411113WSep 16 · 13:05V. Lukianevych1.331111113M. Karelov3.257720WSep 13 · 19:35M. Karelov3.2591161182V. Lukianevych1.33118118113WSep 13 · 18:05V. Lukianevych1.36111183V. Kruglyak3.008810LSep 13 · 16:05S. Paksiutov2.75613411113V. Lukianevych1.40111111662WSep 13 · 14:05V. Melnyk4.33211371V. Lukianevych1.2011411103WSep 13 · 13:05H. Buianover2.75711591V. Lukianevych1.4011811113LSep 9 · 19:05V. Reva1.731111113V. Lukianevych2.005740WSep 9 · 18:05M. Karelov2.75910110V. Lukianevych1.401112133
V. Reva10
WSep 16 · 15:35A. Sydorenko1.61111014482V. Reva2.205121211113LSep 16 · 14:35V. Reva3.509330V. Leonov1.281111113LSep 16 · 13:35H. Buianover2.001111113V. Reva1.736880WSep 9 · 19:05V. Reva1.731111113V. Lukianevych2.005740LSep 9 · 17:05V. Leonov1.28126611113V. Reva3.50101111612LSep 9 · 16:05V. Reva1.537870M. Karelov2.381111113LSep 9 · 15:05A. Sydorenko1.67111112113V. Reva2.10381451LSep 9 · 13:35V. Reva1.57101050H. Buianover2.251212113LSep 2 · 19:05V. Reva1.73111112982V. Lukianevych2.00871411113WSep 2 · 17:05H. Buianover2.102650V. Reva1.671111113
Upcoming Matches
V. Lukianevych
Nothing scheduled
V. Reva
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.