TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136562
Played Sep 16Finished
Hennadii Buianover
Home
4.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119116911119––
Viktor Leonov
Away
1.17
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:46 and never touched — 83.7% is still 83.7%
Graded at full timeViktor Leonov to win
83.7%
83.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingHennadii Buianover above · Viktor Leonov below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 77 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Viktor Leonov at 83.7%
77 points played in total.
H2H Hennadii Buianover 5–30 Viktor Leonov Hennadii Buianover has won 5 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:46What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Leonov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-30 in 35
Leonov
Wrong
gap of 25 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Buianover 1274 vs Leonov 1429
Leonov
Wrong
both rated, 154 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Buianover 60% vs Leonov 100%
Leonov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Buianover 60% vs Leonov 90%
Leonov
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Buianover -2 · Leonov +5
Leonov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Leonov) · live re-read · sealed at 84% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Leonov form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (86%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBuianover 4.50 / Leonov 1.17
Signal prob.14% / 86%
Edge (Leonov)+6.2pp
Setka Cup · #13136562
Buianover4.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog31% won 41 of 134
Down 0–1, comes back12% 9 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 55
Leonov1.17
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 39 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it79% 26 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBuianover3wins
AwayLeonov7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLeonov leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBuianover50%2 of 4
AwayLeonov83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Buianover4Leonov6n = 10Leonov took 6 of 10
S2Buianover3Leonov7n = 10Leonov took 7 of 10
S3Buianover5Leonov5n = 10split evenly
S4Buianover2Leonov4n = 6Leonov took 4 of 6
S5Buianover1Leonov2n = 3Leonov took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricBuianoverLeonovB − LBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.837.7−4.9per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuianoverLeonovBasisWin rate · lifetime154 / 387 vs 84 / 13539.8%62.2%154 / 387 vs 84 / 135Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.836.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LeonovBuianover 4.50/Leonov 1.17
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
85.6%
Leonov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Buianover won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 15:35H. Buianover31117941V. Leonov4071111113
LSep 2 · 18:35H. Buianover30871141V. Leonov4011117113
WAug 30 · 19:55H. Buianover44311118113V. Leonov4311861172
LAug 10 · 13:35H. Buianover206770V. Leonov331111113
LAug 5 · 14:35H. Buianover4045111192V. Leonov43111191113
LJul 23 · 15:35H. Buianover4311118672V. Leonov50981111113
LJul 14 · 16:35H. Buianover2037100V. Leonov341111123
LJun 28 · 19:25H. Buianover236980V. Leonov331111113
WJun 14 · 14:55H. Buianover351211123V. Leonov27107100
WApr 19 · 18:05H. Buianover4211811123V. Leonov344119101
H. Buianover10
LSep 16 · 17:05A. Sydorenko1.28122811113H. Buianover3.50101111942LSep 16 · 16:05H. Buianover1.40111190M. Karelov2.751313113WSep 16 · 15:05V. Lukianevych1.50711591H. Buianover2.5011411113WSep 16 · 13:35H. Buianover2.001111113V. Reva1.736880WSep 13 · 18:35V. Melnyk4.3371140H. Buianover1.201113113WSep 13 · 17:35H. Buianover1.501111113M. Karelov2.506760LSep 13 · 16:35H. Buianover1.6777111182V. Kruglyak2.10111139113WSep 13 · 15:05H. Buianover1.531111113S. Paksiutov2.384650LSep 13 · 13:05H. Buianover2.75711591V. Lukianevych1.4011811113WSep 9 · 19:35H. Buianover1.671211113M. Karelov2.1010990
V. Leonov10
WSep 16 · 18:05M. Karelov3.406960V. Leonov1.301111113WSep 16 · 16:35V. Lukianevych1.73712111272V. Leonov2.001114110113WSep 16 · 14:35V. Reva3.509330V. Leonov1.281111113WSep 16 · 12:35A. Sydorenko2.631110861V. Leonov1.4441211113WSep 9 · 18:35V. Leonov1.531311113A. Sydorenko2.3811560WSep 9 · 17:05V. Leonov1.28126611113V. Reva3.50101111612WSep 9 · 15:35V. Leonov1.1771111113H. Buianover4.50117941WSep 9 · 14:05V. Leonov1.36751311113M. Karelov3.00111111832LSep 9 · 12:35V. Leonov2.38913371V. Lukianevych1.53111111113WSep 2 · 18:35H. Buianover4.50871141V. Leonov1.1711117113
Upcoming Matches
H. Buianover
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V. Leonov
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