TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13139888
Played Sep 17Finished
Jakub Kosowski
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117911116116––
Jan Zandecki
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Kosowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Kosowski above · Jan Zandecki below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 72 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Jakub Kosowski at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Kosowski 21–26 Jan Zandecki Jakub Kosowski has won 21 of their 47 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:59What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kosowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-26 in 47
Zandecki
Wrong
gap of 5 in 47, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosowski 1891 vs Zandecki 1902
Zandecki
Wrong
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosowski 20% vs Zandecki 60%
Zandecki
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosowski 30% vs Zandecki 60%
Zandecki
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosowski -4 · Zandecki +1
Kosowski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kosowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kosowski form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosowski 1.73 / Zandecki 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kosowski)+0.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13139888
Kosowski1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 270 of 404
Up 2–0, closes it95% 130 of 137
Up 1–0, closes it86% 212 of 247
Zandecki2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 65 of 147
Down 0–1, comes back26% 19 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKosowski6wins
AwayZandecki4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKosowski leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosowski71.4%5 of 7
AwayZandecki66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosowski7Zandecki3n = 10Kosowski took 7 of 10
S2Kosowski3Zandecki7n = 10Zandecki took 7 of 10
S3Kosowski3Zandecki7n = 10Zandecki took 7 of 10
S4Kosowski6Zandecki2n = 8Kosowski took 6 of 8
S5Kosowski3Zandecki2n = 5Kosowski took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosowskiZandeckiK − ZBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.540.2+0.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosowskiZandeckiBasisWin rate · lifetime721 / 1224 vs 466 / 83958.9%55.5%721 / 1224 vs 466 / 839Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosowskiKosowski 1.73/Zandecki 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kosowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kosowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 06:30J. Kosowski4211911113J. Zandecki30711661
LAug 25 · 11:15J. Kosowski4211116862J. Zandecki48781111113
WAug 25 · 03:00J. Kosowski561281213113J. Zandecki541011141182
WAug 24 · 12:05J. Kosowski47131112113J. Zandecki411581081
LAug 24 · 03:25J. Kosowski228770J. Zandecki331111113
WAug 15 · 06:30J. Kosowski41116211113J. Zandecki3981111362
LAug 6 · 14:10J. Kosowski226970J. Zandecki331111113
WAug 6 · 07:20J. Kosowski46131111113J. Zandecki361181341
LAug 5 · 13:20J. Kosowski3811811622J. Zandecki41311511113
WAug 5 · 07:45J. Kosowski49118811113J. Zandecki4781111982
J. Kosowski10
LSep 17 · 05:15J. Kosowski1.83141090G. Felkel1.831612113LSep 17 · 04:10P. David1.8071111113J. Kosowski1.91117971LSep 17 · 03:25J. Kosowski1.57141050A. Grela2.251612113LSep 8 · 13:45J. Kosowski2.2044111282M. Olejnik1.611111410113WSep 8 · 12:30J. Kosowski1.361211113K. Wloczko3.0010980LSep 8 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.3311711142K. Kolodziej3.25911911113LSep 8 · 10:00T. Spanik2.201111113J. Kosowski1.619850WSep 8 · 09:20J. Kosowski1.6712611133A. Wiecek2.1010118111WSep 8 · 08:30J. Kosowski2.101211143M. Olejnik1.67105120LSep 8 · 06:55J. Kosowski1.739131191T. Spanik2.0011154113
J. Zandecki10
WSep 17 · 05:40P. David1.6799111262J. Zandecki2.101111710113LSep 17 · 04:55J. Zandecki1.8389100A. Grela1.831111123WSep 17 · 03:45J. Zandecki1.8311114113M. Jadczyk1.83571161WSep 13 · 14:10J. Zandecki1.61111189113K. Petas2.2058111152LSep 13 · 12:30G. Adamiak2.6361111113J. Zandecki1.44114961WSep 13 · 11:40A. Dosz1.80111281092J. Zandecki1.917101112113WSep 13 · 10:50J. Zandecki1.80119117113S. Dosz1.9161171182LSep 13 · 09:40J. Zandecki1.9111781192M. Jadczyk1.80511117113WSep 13 · 08:30G. Adamiak2.50661121J. Zandecki1.5011119113LSep 13 · 07:20J. Zandecki1.57911111352K. Petas2.25117515113
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