TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13121432
Played Sep 13Finished
Adam Dosz
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11712108111012911
Jan Zandecki
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:48 and never touched — 57.4% is still 57.4%
Graded at full timeAdam Dosz to win
57.4%
57.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAdam Dosz above · Jan Zandecki below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 101 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Adam Dosz at 57.4%
101 points played in total.
H2H Adam Dosz 6–11 Jan Zandecki Adam Dosz has won 6 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:48What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Dosz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-11 in 17
Zandecki
Correct
gap of 5 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dosz 1935 vs Zandecki 1921
Dosz
Wrong
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dosz 40% vs Zandecki 60%
Zandecki
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dosz 60% vs Zandecki 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dosz -2 · Zandecki +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dosz) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dosz form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDosz 1.80 / Zandecki 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Dosz)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13121432
Dosz1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite65% won 76 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it100% 36 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it88% 50 of 57
Zandecki1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 64 of 144
Down 0–1, comes back25% 18 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDosz2wins
AwayZandecki8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderZandecki leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDoszn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayZandecki75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dosz2Zandecki8n = 10Zandecki took 8 of 10
S2Dosz4Zandecki6n = 10Zandecki took 6 of 10
S3Dosz3Zandecki7n = 10Zandecki took 7 of 10
S4Dosz5Zandecki3n = 8Dosz took 5 of 8
S5Dosz1Zandecki3n = 4Zandecki took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDoszZandeckiD − ZBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match36.541.1−4.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDoszZandeckiBasisWin rate · lifetime185 / 319 vs 462 / 83558%55.3%185 / 319 vs 462 / 835Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.938.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DoszDosz 1.80/Zandecki 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Dosz · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zandecki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 04:55A. Dosz4181111113J. Zandecki30115861
LFeb 21 · 13:25A. Dosz183870J. Zandecki331111113
LFeb 21 · 09:00A. Dosz29581151J. Zandecki3611113113
WFeb 20 · 16:35A. Dosz521271111113J. Zandecki4914118972
LFeb 20 · 04:40A. Dosz49101191182J. Zandecki47124119113
LOct 20 · 12:25A. Dosz2266100J. Zandecki341111123
LOct 20 · 05:05A. Dosz4111101191J. Zandecki4371213113
LOct 19 · 13:15A. Dosz4281351152J. Zandecki491111115113
LOct 19 · 07:15A. Dosz4214371172J. Zandecki531211118113
LOct 18 · 12:50A. Dosz29911541J. Zandecki371161193
A. Dosz10
LSep 13 · 10:00A. Dosz1.36116101182G. Adamiak3.00611127113LSep 13 · 09:00A. Dosz1.73118561K. Petas2.0091111113WSep 13 · 08:05A. Dosz1.7311811113K. Petas2.00911941LSep 13 · 06:30A. Witkowski1.9181111113A. Dosz1.80117391WSep 13 · 05:40G. Adamiak3.0069111172A. Dosz1.36111176113WSep 13 · 04:55A. Dosz1.6181111113J. Zandecki2.20115861LSep 13 · 03:45A. Dosz1.80121161172S. Dosz1.91149119113WSep 12 · 14:10A. Dosz1.4011118113G. Adamiak2.75951151WSep 12 · 12:30S. Dosz1.9141171192A. Dosz1.80118119113WSep 12 · 11:40J. Braun2.7583130A. Dosz1.401111153
J. Zandecki10
WSep 13 · 10:50J. Zandecki1.80119117113S. Dosz1.9161171182LSep 13 · 09:40J. Zandecki1.9111781192M. Jadczyk1.80511117113WSep 13 · 08:30G. Adamiak2.50661121J. Zandecki1.5011119113LSep 13 · 07:20J. Zandecki1.57911111352K. Petas2.25117515113WSep 13 · 06:05S. Dosz1.919101381J. Zandecki1.80111211113LSep 13 · 04:55A. Dosz1.6181111113J. Zandecki2.20115861WSep 13 · 03:25A. Witkowski1.576121151J. Zandecki2.2511149113WSep 7 · 03:00S. Kolasa1.830J. Zandecki1.830WAug 25 · 14:10K. Strowski3.2511101191J. Zandecki1.3313127113LAug 25 · 13:20K. Petas2.001117113J. Zandecki1.7381570
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