TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13002224
Played Aug 25Finished
Kacper Petas
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181715117––––
Jan Zandecki
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:29 and never touched — 58.7% is still 58.7%
Graded at full timeJan Zandecki to win
58.7%
58.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingKacper Petas above · Jan Zandecki below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 17-15
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 69 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Jan Zandecki at 58.7%
69 points played in total.
H2H Kacper Petas 26–36 Jan Zandecki Kacper Petas has won 26 of their 62 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:29What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Zandecki
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-36 in 62
Zandecki
Wrong
gap of 10 in 62, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Petas 1949 vs Zandecki 1923
Petas
Correct
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Petas 60% vs Zandecki 40%
Petas
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Petas 50% vs Zandecki 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Petas +1 · Zandecki +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Zandecki) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zandecki form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPetas 2.00 / Zandecki 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Zandecki)+1.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13002224
Petas2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 124 of 274
Down 0–1, comes back19% 26 of 136
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 68
Zandecki1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 115 of 181
Up 2–0, closes it96% 47 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it77% 80 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePetas2wins
AwayZandecki8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZandecki leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePetas20%1 of 5
AwayZandecki80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Petas5Zandecki5n = 10split evenly
S2Petas2Zandecki8n = 10Zandecki took 8 of 10
S3Petas3Zandecki7n = 10Zandecki took 7 of 10
S4Petas3Zandecki4n = 7Zandecki took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPetasZandeckiP − ZBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.139.8−3.7per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPetasZandeckiBasisWin rate · lifetime712 / 1353 vs 483 / 88252.6%54.8%712 / 1353 vs 483 / 882Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZandeckiPetas 2.00/Zandecki 1.73
Miss
What we said
54.7%
Zandecki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Petas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 26 · 12:30K. Petas—11818992J. Zandecki—8111611113
LJul 26 · 08:30K. Petas—7960J. Zandecki—1111113
WJun 29 · 09:20K. Petas—111114113J. Zandecki—1361291
LJun 29 · 05:40K. Petas—91171192J. Zandecki—118118113
LMay 29 · 12:25K. Petas—119871J. Zandecki—91111113
WMay 29 · 07:25K. Petas—11811113J. Zandecki—711941
LMay 11 · 05:05K. Petas—7590J. Zandecki—1111113
LMay 9 · 14:30K. Petas—1187101J. Zandecki—61111123
LMay 9 · 05:25K. Petas—1110591J. Zandecki—61211113
LMay 8 · 10:00K. Petas—8950J. Zandecki—1111113
K. Petas10
WSep 1 · 13:45J. Kosowski1.731145111K. Petas2.0071111133WSep 1 · 12:55P. Cyrnek1.61811571K. Petas2.2011511113WSep 1 · 12:05K. Petas1.50119116113K. Strowski2.5091161142LSep 1 · 10:25K. Petas1.50101110111K. Glazowski2.5012412133WSep 1 · 09:40K. Kolodziej1.671151271K. Petas2.10131110113LSep 1 · 08:30J. Kosowski1.7311611113K. Petas2.00911881WSep 1 · 07:20K. Petas1.501110118113J. Kuzmicz2.5081271162LSep 1 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.61118911113K. Petas2.2081111342LSep 1 · 04:55P. Cyrnek1.5711124113K. Petas2.258101191WSep 1 · 03:25D. Prokopcov3.0061170K. Petas1.361113113
J. Zandecki10
WSep 7 · 03:00S. Kolasa1.830J. Zandecki1.830WAug 25 · 14:10K. Strowski3.2511101191J. Zandecki1.3313127113WAug 25 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.8311116862J. Zandecki1.83781111113WAug 25 · 10:25A. Wiecek2.106880J. Zandecki1.671111113LAug 25 · 09:00M. Olejnik1.441111133J. Zandecki2.6374110LAug 25 · 08:05M. Olejnik1.441111143J. Zandecki2.6354120LAug 25 · 07:20A. Wiecek1.731111113J. Zandecki2.007880WAug 25 · 05:15K. Petas2.20711271J. Zandecki1.6111711113WAug 25 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.8088111162J. Zandecki1.91111148113LAug 25 · 03:00J. Kosowski1.831281213113J. Zandecki1.831011141182
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