TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13002193
Played Aug 25Finished
Jakub Kosowski
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
121081112141311118
Jan Zandecki
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:30 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeJakub Kosowski to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Kosowski above · Jan Zandecki below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 110 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Jakub Kosowski at 57.7%
110 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Kosowski 18–25 Jan Zandecki Jakub Kosowski has won 18 of their 43 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:30What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Zandecki
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-25 in 43
Zandecki
Wrong
gap of 7 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosowski 1886 vs Zandecki 1924
Zandecki
Wrong
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosowski 80% vs Zandecki 40%
Kosowski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosowski 60% vs Zandecki 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosowski +1 · Zandecki -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zandecki) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zandecki form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosowski 1.83 / Zandecki 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zandecki)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13002193
Kosowski1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Zandecki1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKosowski4wins
AwayZandecki6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderZandecki leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosowski75%3 of 4
AwayZandecki83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosowski4Zandecki6n = 10Zandecki took 6 of 10
S2Kosowski3Zandecki7n = 10Zandecki took 7 of 10
S3Kosowski3Zandecki7n = 10Zandecki took 7 of 10
S4Kosowski5Zandecki3n = 8Kosowski took 5 of 8
S5Kosowski3Zandecki2n = 5Kosowski took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosowskiZandeckiK − ZBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.741.0−3.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosowskiZandeckiBasisWin rate · lifetime758 / 1286 vs 482 / 88158.9%54.7%758 / 1286 vs 482 / 881Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZandeckiKosowski 1.83/Zandecki 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zandecki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kosowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 24 · 03:25J. Kosowski—8770J. Zandecki—1111113
WAug 15 · 06:30J. Kosowski—116211113J. Zandecki—81111362
LAug 6 · 14:10J. Kosowski—6970J. Zandecki—1111113
WAug 6 · 07:20J. Kosowski—131111113J. Zandecki—1181341
LAug 5 · 13:20J. Kosowski—11811622J. Zandecki—311511113
WAug 5 · 07:45J. Kosowski—118811113J. Zandecki—81111982
LJul 14 · 12:30J. Kosowski—91161172J. Zandecki—118118113
LJul 14 · 08:30J. Kosowski—511781J. Zandecki—11611113
LJul 13 · 14:10J. Kosowski—351191J. Zandecki—11115113
WJul 13 · 07:20J. Kosowski—1181115113J. Zandecki—131191392
J. Kosowski10
WSep 7 · 12:05J. Folwarski1.5711811982J. Kosowski2.25911711113WSep 7 · 10:50K. Kolodziej3.259780J. Kosowski1.331111113WSep 7 · 09:20S. Kolasa2.1011760J. Kosowski1.671311113WSep 7 · 07:45J. Kosowski1.8181111113M. Jadczyk1.86117871WSep 7 · 06:30J. Kosowski1.831212113P. David1.83101090WSep 7 · 04:10S. Kolasa2.386270J. Kosowski1.531111113WSep 7 · 03:25J. Kosowski1.281211133G. Poliniewicz3.50107110LSep 1 · 13:45J. Kosowski1.731145111K. Petas2.0071111133LSep 1 · 12:30J. Kosowski1.368680K. Kolodziej3.001111113WSep 1 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.2013714113K. Glazowski4.3311111291
J. Zandecki10
WSep 7 · 03:00S. Kolasa1.830J. Zandecki1.830WAug 25 · 14:10K. Strowski3.2511101191J. Zandecki1.3313127113LAug 25 · 13:20K. Petas2.001117113J. Zandecki1.7381570WAug 25 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.8311116862J. Zandecki1.83781111113WAug 25 · 10:25A. Wiecek2.106880J. Zandecki1.671111113LAug 25 · 09:00M. Olejnik1.441111133J. Zandecki2.6374110LAug 25 · 08:05M. Olejnik1.441111143J. Zandecki2.6354120LAug 25 · 07:20A. Wiecek1.731111113J. Zandecki2.007880WAug 25 · 05:15K. Petas2.20711271J. Zandecki1.6111711113WAug 25 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.8088111162J. Zandecki1.91111148113
Upcoming Matches
J. Kosowski
Sep 7 · 14:35J. Kosowski2.20P. David1.61—Sep 8 · 03:00J. Kosowski2.20P. David1.61—Sep 8 · 04:10J. Kosowski2.25J. Folwarski1.57—Sep 8 · 05:40J. Kosowski1.67A. Wiecek2.10—Sep 8 · 06:55J. Kosowski1.73T. Spanik2.00—Sep 8 · 08:30J. Kosowski2.10M. Olejnik1.67—Sep 8 · 09:20J. Kosowski1.67A. Wiecek2.10—Sep 8 · 10:00J. Kosowski1.73T. Spanik2.00—Sep 8 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.33K. Kolodziej3.25—Sep 8 · 12:30J. Kosowski1.36K. Wloczko3.00—
J. Zandecki
Nothing scheduled
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