TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13002200
Played Aug 25Finished
Kacper Petas
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711117211711––
Jan Zandecki
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:32 and never touched — 58.7% is still 58.7%
Graded at full timeJan Zandecki to win
58.7%
58.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKacper Petas above · Jan Zandecki below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 67 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Jan Zandecki at 58.7%
67 points played in total.
H2H Kacper Petas 26–36 Jan Zandecki Kacper Petas has won 26 of their 62 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:32What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Zandecki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-36 in 62
Zandecki
Correct
gap of 10 in 62, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Petas 1949 vs Zandecki 1980
Zandecki
Correct
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Petas 60% vs Zandecki 40%
Petas
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Petas 50% vs Zandecki 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Petas +1 · Zandecki +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Zandecki)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zandecki form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPetas 2.20 / Zandecki 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Zandecki)+1.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13002200
Petas2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog45% won 124 of 274
Down 0–1, comes back19% 26 of 136
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 68
Zandecki1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 115 of 181
Up 2–0, closes it96% 47 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it77% 80 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePetas2wins
AwayZandecki8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZandecki leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePetas20%1 of 5
AwayZandecki80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Petas5Zandecki5n = 10split evenly
S2Petas2Zandecki8n = 10Zandecki took 8 of 10
S3Petas3Zandecki7n = 10Zandecki took 7 of 10
S4Petas3Zandecki4n = 7Zandecki took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPetasZandeckiP − ZBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.139.8−3.7per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPetasZandeckiBasisWin rate · lifetime712 / 1354 vs 480 / 87652.6%54.8%712 / 1354 vs 480 / 876Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZandeckiPetas 2.20/Zandecki 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.7%
Zandecki · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zandecki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 26 · 12:30K. Petas—11818992J. Zandecki—8111611113
LJul 26 · 08:30K. Petas—7960J. Zandecki—1111113
WJun 29 · 09:20K. Petas—111114113J. Zandecki—1361291
LJun 29 · 05:40K. Petas—91171192J. Zandecki—118118113
LMay 29 · 12:25K. Petas—119871J. Zandecki—91111113
WMay 29 · 07:25K. Petas—11811113J. Zandecki—711941
LMay 11 · 05:05K. Petas—7590J. Zandecki—1111113
LMay 9 · 14:30K. Petas—1187101J. Zandecki—61111123
LMay 9 · 05:25K. Petas—1110591J. Zandecki—61211113
LMay 8 · 10:00K. Petas—8950J. Zandecki—1111113
K. Petas10
WSep 1 · 13:45J. Kosowski1.731145111K. Petas2.0071111133WSep 1 · 12:55P. Cyrnek1.61811571K. Petas2.2011511113WSep 1 · 12:05K. Petas1.50119116113K. Strowski2.5091161142LSep 1 · 10:25K. Petas1.50101110111K. Glazowski2.5012412133WSep 1 · 09:40K. Kolodziej1.671151271K. Petas2.10131110113LSep 1 · 08:30J. Kosowski1.7311611113K. Petas2.00911881WSep 1 · 07:20K. Petas1.501110118113J. Kuzmicz2.5081271162LSep 1 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.61118911113K. Petas2.2081111342LSep 1 · 04:55P. Cyrnek1.5711124113K. Petas2.258101191WSep 1 · 03:25D. Prokopcov3.0061170K. Petas1.361113113
J. Zandecki10
WSep 7 · 03:00S. Kolasa1.830J. Zandecki1.830WAug 25 · 14:10K. Strowski3.2511101191J. Zandecki1.3313127113LAug 25 · 13:20K. Petas2.001117113J. Zandecki1.7381570WAug 25 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.8311116862J. Zandecki1.83781111113WAug 25 · 10:25A. Wiecek2.106880J. Zandecki1.671111113LAug 25 · 09:00M. Olejnik1.441111133J. Zandecki2.6374110LAug 25 · 08:05M. Olejnik1.441111143J. Zandecki2.6354120LAug 25 · 07:20A. Wiecek1.731111113J. Zandecki2.007880WAug 25 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.8088111162J. Zandecki1.91111148113LAug 25 · 03:00J. Kosowski1.831281213113J. Zandecki1.831011141182
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