TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13002170
Played Aug 25Finished
Marcin Jadczyk
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811811114118611
Jan Zandecki
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:21 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Zandecki to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarcin Jadczyk above · Jan Zandecki below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 89 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Jan Zandecki at 54.0%
89 points played in total.
H2H Marcin Jadczyk 35–30 Jan Zandecki Jan Zandecki has won 30 of their 65 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:21What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Jadczyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
35-30 in 65
Jadczyk
Wrong
gap of 5 in 65, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jadczyk 1865 vs Zandecki 1964
Zandecki
Correct
both rated, 99 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jadczyk 60% vs Zandecki 40%
Jadczyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jadczyk 50% vs Zandecki 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jadczyk +1 · Zandecki -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Zandecki) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zandecki form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJadczyk 1.80 / Zandecki 1.91
Signal prob.45% / 56%
Edge (Zandecki)+7.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13002170
Jadczyk1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 440 of 687
Up 2–0, closes it98% 233 of 239
Up 1–0, closes it84% 352 of 421
Zandecki1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 79 of 172
Down 0–1, comes back26% 23 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJadczyk5wins
AwayZandecki5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJadczyk75%3 of 4
AwayZandecki66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jadczyk4Zandecki6n = 10Zandecki took 6 of 10
S2Jadczyk5Zandecki5n = 10split evenly
S3Jadczyk3Zandecki7n = 10Zandecki took 7 of 10
S4Jadczyk5Zandecki5n = 10split evenly
S5Jadczyk4Zandecki1n = 5Jadczyk took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJadczykZandeckiJ − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.141.8+0.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJadczykZandeckiBasisWin rate · lifetime941 / 1606 vs 479 / 87558.6%54.7%941 / 1606 vs 479 / 875Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZandeckiJadczyk 1.80/Zandecki 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.5%
Zandecki · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zandecki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 06:05M. Jadczyk—114711113J. Zandecki—81111772
LAug 21 · 06:05M. Jadczyk—8119101J. Zandecki—11411123
LAug 20 · 12:55M. Jadczyk—811781J. Zandecki—11511113
LAug 20 · 03:45M. Jadczyk—761171J. Zandecki—11116113
WAug 14 · 10:50M. Jadczyk—11611123J. Zandecki—7118101
WAug 14 · 06:55M. Jadczyk—6111011113J. Zandecki—11412672
WAug 6 · 10:25M. Jadczyk—811811113J. Zandecki—11811562
LAug 5 · 12:05M. Jadczyk—5111081J. Zandecki—11712113
LJul 31 · 06:55M. Jadczyk—11981162J. Zandecki—511115113
WJul 30 · 10:25M. Jadczyk—1312146123J. Zandecki—11141211102
M. Jadczyk10
LSep 7 · 07:45J. Kosowski1.8181111113M. Jadczyk1.86117871LSep 7 · 06:55S. Kolasa2.00131111113M. Jadczyk1.73156591WSep 7 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.141111510113G. Poliniewicz5.0079111282WSep 7 · 03:45P. David1.91117851M. Jadczyk1.8091111113WSep 4 · 15:00A. Wiecek2.38811581M. Jadczyk1.5311511113LSep 4 · 14:10A. Grela2.10129147113M. Jadczyk1.671011121182LSep 4 · 13:20M. Jadczyk1.44591191K. Kolodziej2.6311118113WSep 4 · 11:40M. Jadczyk1.8311912133A. Dosz1.8381110111WSep 4 · 10:50D. Michna1.836880M. Jadczyk1.831111113WSep 4 · 07:45S. Dosz2.38891161M. Jadczyk1.5311116113
J. Zandecki10
WSep 7 · 03:00S. Kolasa1.830J. Zandecki1.830WAug 25 · 14:10K. Strowski3.2511101191J. Zandecki1.3313127113LAug 25 · 13:20K. Petas2.001117113J. Zandecki1.7381570WAug 25 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.8311116862J. Zandecki1.83781111113WAug 25 · 10:25A. Wiecek2.106880J. Zandecki1.671111113LAug 25 · 09:00M. Olejnik1.441111133J. Zandecki2.6374110LAug 25 · 08:05M. Olejnik1.441111143J. Zandecki2.6354120LAug 25 · 07:20A. Wiecek1.731111113J. Zandecki2.007880WAug 25 · 05:15K. Petas2.20711271J. Zandecki1.6111711113LAug 25 · 03:00J. Kosowski1.831281213113J. Zandecki1.831011141182
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