TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13002202
Played Aug 25Finished
Karol Strowski
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11131012117911––
Jan Zandecki
Away
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:29 and never touched — 77.3% is still 77.3%
Graded at full timeJan Zandecki to win
77.3%
77.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKarol Strowski above · Jan Zandecki below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 84 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Jan Zandecki at 77.3%
84 points played in total.
H2H Karol Strowski 4–11 Jan Zandecki Karol Strowski has won 4 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:29What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Zandecki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-11 in 15
Zandecki
Correct
gap of 7 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strowski 1776 vs Zandecki 1921
Zandecki
Correct
both rated, 145 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strowski 60% vs Zandecki 40%
Strowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strowski 60% vs Zandecki 40%
Strowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Strowski +1 · Zandecki -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 82% — Strong (leans Zandecki) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zandecki form (40%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrowski 3.25 / Zandecki 1.33
Signal prob.18% / 82%
Edge (Zandecki)+11.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13002202
Strowski3.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog41% won 76 of 187
Down 0–1, comes back25% 27 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 46
Zandecki1.33
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 115 of 181
Up 2–0, closes it96% 47 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it77% 80 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrowski2wins
AwayZandecki8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZandecki leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrowski40%2 of 5
AwayZandecki100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strowski5Zandecki5n = 10split evenly
S2Strowski3Zandecki7n = 10Zandecki took 7 of 10
S3Strowski2Zandecki8n = 10Zandecki took 8 of 10
S4Strowski0Zandecki4n = 4Zandecki took 4 of 4
S5Strowski1Zandecki2n = 3Zandecki took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrowskiZandeckiS − ZBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match32.739.6−6.9per matchSweeps15−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrowskiZandeckiBasisWin rate · lifetime843 / 1431 vs 483 / 88358.9%54.7%843 / 1431 vs 483 / 883Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZandeckiStrowski 3.25/Zandecki 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81.9%
Zandecki · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zandecki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 24 · 13:20K. Strowski—129116123J. Zandecki—1011711102
LFeb 21 · 15:30K. Strowski—11128892J. Zandecki—8101111113
LFeb 21 · 05:40K. Strowski—141110932J. Zandecki—1291211113
LDec 29 · 16:55K. Strowski—141050J. Zandecki—1612113
WDec 29 · 14:40K. Strowski—1111113J. Zandecki—9930
LDec 20 · 15:50K. Strowski—7380J. Zandecki—1111113
LDec 20 · 10:35K. Strowski—116441J. Zandecki—61111113
LDec 19 · 15:05K. Strowski—81540J. Zandecki—1117113
LDec 8 · 20:45K. Strowski—6690J. Zandecki—1111113
LNov 28 · 15:05K. Strowski—13790J. Zandecki—1511113
K. Strowski10
WSep 7 · 11:45K. Strowski1.471113123K. Wisniewski2.45911100WSep 7 · 10:05K. Strowski1.43119116123M. Sklensky2.60911511102LSep 7 · 09:00K. Strowski2.5091312101K. Wloczko1.44111510123LSep 1 · 19:40K. Strowski2.0091171152L. Jarocki1.73117119113LSep 1 · 18:30K. Strowski2.00781181K. Glazowski1.7311117113WSep 1 · 17:20K. Strowski1.611111113M. Sklensky2.208470LSep 1 · 16:05A. Spychala2.20111278113K. Strowski1.61910111162WSep 1 · 15:25K. Strowski1.2811116113M. Olbrycht3.50861181WSep 1 · 14:35P. Cyrnek1.40117811102K. Strowski2.75811115123WSep 1 · 13:20K. Strowski1.91111311183K. Glazowski1.8013119161
J. Zandecki10
WSep 7 · 03:00S. Kolasa1.830J. Zandecki1.830LAug 25 · 13:20K. Petas2.001117113J. Zandecki1.7381570WAug 25 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.8311116862J. Zandecki1.83781111113WAug 25 · 10:25A. Wiecek2.106880J. Zandecki1.671111113LAug 25 · 09:00M. Olejnik1.441111133J. Zandecki2.6374110LAug 25 · 08:05M. Olejnik1.441111143J. Zandecki2.6354120LAug 25 · 07:20A. Wiecek1.731111113J. Zandecki2.007880WAug 25 · 05:15K. Petas2.20711271J. Zandecki1.6111711113WAug 25 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.8088111162J. Zandecki1.91111148113LAug 25 · 03:00J. Kosowski1.831281213113J. Zandecki1.831011141182
Upcoming Matches
K. Strowski
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J. Zandecki
Nothing scheduled
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