TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13002206
Played Aug 25Finished
Jakub Kosowski
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117118611811611
Jan Zandecki
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:31 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeJakub Kosowski to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJakub Kosowski above · Jan Zandecki below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 90 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Jakub Kosowski at 57.7%
90 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Kosowski 18–25 Jan Zandecki Jakub Kosowski has won 18 of their 43 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:31What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Zandecki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-25 in 43
Zandecki
Correct
gap of 7 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosowski 1886 vs Zandecki 1924
Zandecki
Correct
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosowski 20% vs Zandecki 40%
Zandecki
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosowski 40% vs Zandecki 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosowski +1 · Zandecki +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zandecki) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zandecki form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosowski 1.83 / Zandecki 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zandecki)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13002206
Kosowski1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Zandecki1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKosowski4wins
AwayZandecki6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderZandecki leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosowski75%3 of 4
AwayZandecki83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosowski4Zandecki6n = 10Zandecki took 6 of 10
S2Kosowski3Zandecki7n = 10Zandecki took 7 of 10
S3Kosowski3Zandecki7n = 10Zandecki took 7 of 10
S4Kosowski5Zandecki3n = 8Kosowski took 5 of 8
S5Kosowski3Zandecki2n = 5Kosowski took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosowskiZandeckiK − ZBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.741.0−3.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosowskiZandeckiBasisWin rate · lifetime758 / 1286 vs 482 / 88158.9%54.7%758 / 1286 vs 482 / 881Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZandeckiKosowski 1.83/Zandecki 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Zandecki · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zandecki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 24 · 03:25J. Kosowski—8770J. Zandecki—1111113
WAug 15 · 06:30J. Kosowski—116211113J. Zandecki—81111362
LAug 6 · 14:10J. Kosowski—6970J. Zandecki—1111113
WAug 6 · 07:20J. Kosowski—131111113J. Zandecki—1181341
LAug 5 · 13:20J. Kosowski—11811622J. Zandecki—311511113
WAug 5 · 07:45J. Kosowski—118811113J. Zandecki—81111982
LJul 14 · 12:30J. Kosowski—91161172J. Zandecki—118118113
LJul 14 · 08:30J. Kosowski—511781J. Zandecki—11611113
LJul 13 · 14:10J. Kosowski—351191J. Zandecki—11115113
WJul 13 · 07:20J. Kosowski—1181115113J. Zandecki—131191392
J. Kosowski10
WSep 7 · 12:05J. Folwarski1.5711811982J. Kosowski2.25911711113WSep 7 · 10:50K. Kolodziej3.259780J. Kosowski1.331111113WSep 7 · 09:20S. Kolasa2.1011760J. Kosowski1.671311113WSep 7 · 07:45J. Kosowski1.8181111113M. Jadczyk1.86117871WSep 7 · 06:30J. Kosowski1.831212113P. David1.83101090WSep 7 · 04:10S. Kolasa2.386270J. Kosowski1.531111113WSep 7 · 03:25J. Kosowski1.281211133G. Poliniewicz3.50107110LSep 1 · 13:45J. Kosowski1.731145111K. Petas2.0071111133LSep 1 · 12:30J. Kosowski1.368680K. Kolodziej3.001111113WSep 1 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.2013714113K. Glazowski4.3311111291
J. Zandecki10
WSep 7 · 03:00S. Kolasa1.830J. Zandecki1.830WAug 25 · 14:10K. Strowski3.2511101191J. Zandecki1.3313127113LAug 25 · 13:20K. Petas2.001117113J. Zandecki1.7381570WAug 25 · 10:25A. Wiecek2.106880J. Zandecki1.671111113LAug 25 · 09:00M. Olejnik1.441111133J. Zandecki2.6374110LAug 25 · 08:05M. Olejnik1.441111143J. Zandecki2.6354120LAug 25 · 07:20A. Wiecek1.731111113J. Zandecki2.007880WAug 25 · 05:15K. Petas2.20711271J. Zandecki1.6111711113WAug 25 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.8088111162J. Zandecki1.91111148113LAug 25 · 03:00J. Kosowski1.831281213113J. Zandecki1.831011141182
Upcoming Matches
J. Kosowski
Sep 7 · 14:35J. Kosowski2.20P. David1.61—Sep 8 · 03:00J. Kosowski2.20P. David1.61—Sep 8 · 04:10J. Kosowski2.25J. Folwarski1.57—Sep 8 · 05:40J. Kosowski1.67A. Wiecek2.10—Sep 8 · 06:55J. Kosowski1.73T. Spanik2.00—Sep 8 · 08:30J. Kosowski2.10M. Olejnik1.67—Sep 8 · 09:20J. Kosowski1.67A. Wiecek2.10—Sep 8 · 10:00J. Kosowski1.73T. Spanik2.00—Sep 8 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.33K. Kolodziej3.25—Sep 8 · 12:30J. Kosowski1.36K. Wloczko3.00—
J. Zandecki
Nothing scheduled
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