TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13002239
Played Aug 25Finished
Adrian Wiecek
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117118118––––
Jan Zandecki
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:31 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeJan Zandecki to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingAdrian Wiecek above · Jan Zandecki below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 56 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Jan Zandecki at 58.5%
56 points played in total.
H2H Adrian Wiecek 14–29 Jan Zandecki Adrian Wiecek has won 14 of their 43 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:31What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Wiecek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-29 in 43
Zandecki
Wrong
gap of 15 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wiecek 1851 vs Zandecki 1991
Zandecki
Wrong
both rated, 140 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wiecek 20% vs Zandecki 60%
Zandecki
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wiecek 30% vs Zandecki 60%
Zandecki
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wiecek -2 · Zandecki +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Zandecki) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wiecek form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWiecek 1.73 / Zandecki 2.00
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Zandecki)+11.7pp
TT Elite Series · #13002239
Wiecek1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 223 of 350
Up 2–0, closes it96% 91 of 95
Up 1–0, closes it80% 160 of 200
Zandecki2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog46% won 81 of 177
Down 0–1, comes back25% 23 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWiecek4wins
AwayZandecki6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZandecki leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWiecek33.3%2 of 6
AwayZandecki50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wiecek6Zandecki4n = 10Wiecek took 6 of 10
S2Wiecek3Zandecki7n = 10Zandecki took 7 of 10
S3Wiecek4Zandecki6n = 10Zandecki took 6 of 10
S4Wiecek3Zandecki5n = 8Zandecki took 5 of 8
S5Wiecek2Zandecki1n = 3Wiecek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricWiecekZandeckiW − ZBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.438.9−2.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWiecekZandeckiBasisWin rate · lifetime774 / 1405 vs 481 / 87755.1%54.9%774 / 1405 vs 481 / 877Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.238.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZandeckiWiecek 1.73/Zandecki 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58%
Zandecki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Wiecek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 30 · 10:00A. Wiecek—7101111133J. Zandecki—111298112
LJun 30 · 05:40A. Wiecek—1111610102J. Zandecki—661112123
WJun 17 · 12:55A. Wiecek—7161111113J. Zandecki—11188772
WJun 17 · 04:55A. Wiecek—1211113J. Zandecki—10490
LMay 11 · 18:35A. Wiecek—811441J. Zandecki—11911113
LMay 11 · 10:45A. Wiecek—5980J. Zandecki—1111113
LMay 7 · 11:10A. Wiecek—119821J. Zandecki—21111113
LMay 7 · 05:05A. Wiecek—116551J. Zandecki—51111113
LApr 6 · 10:45A. Wiecek—115481J. Zandecki—91111113
WMar 10 · 15:05A. Wiecek—11711113J. Zandecki—511651
A. Wiecek10
LSep 4 · 15:00A. Wiecek2.38811581M. Jadczyk1.5311511113WSep 4 · 13:45A. Wiecek1.4411119113D. Michna2.63891191WSep 4 · 12:30A. Wiecek1.91111459113A. Dosz1.80912111172WSep 4 · 11:15A. Grela1.838680A. Wiecek1.831111113LSep 4 · 10:25A. Wiecek1.331171121K. Kolodziej3.2513119113LSep 4 · 08:30A. Wiecek1.539111181D. Michna2.3811713113WSep 4 · 06:55A. Wiecek1.9111511113M. Jadczyk1.80911581LSep 4 · 05:40A. Wiecek1.9111311992A. Grela1.80811811113WSep 4 · 04:10A. Wiecek1.40111011113S. Dosz2.75712591LSep 4 · 03:00A. Wiecek2.00951151A. Dosz1.7311118113
J. Zandecki10
WSep 7 · 03:00S. Kolasa1.830J. Zandecki1.830WAug 25 · 14:10K. Strowski3.2511101191J. Zandecki1.3313127113LAug 25 · 13:20K. Petas2.001117113J. Zandecki1.7381570WAug 25 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.8311116862J. Zandecki1.83781111113WAug 25 · 10:25A. Wiecek2.106880J. Zandecki1.671111113LAug 25 · 09:00M. Olejnik1.441111133J. Zandecki2.6374110LAug 25 · 08:05M. Olejnik1.441111143J. Zandecki2.6354120WAug 25 · 05:15K. Petas2.20711271J. Zandecki1.6111711113WAug 25 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.8088111162J. Zandecki1.91111148113LAug 25 · 03:00J. Kosowski1.831281213113J. Zandecki1.831011141182
Upcoming Matches
A. Wiecek
Sep 8 · 03:45A. Wiecek2.00T. Spanik1.73—Sep 8 · 04:55A. Wiecek2.10M. Olejnik1.67—Sep 8 · 05:40A. Wiecek2.10J. Kosowski1.67—Sep 8 · 06:30A. Wiecek2.63J. Folwarski1.44—Sep 8 · 08:05A. Wiecek2.50P. David1.50—Sep 8 · 09:20A. Wiecek2.10J. Kosowski1.67—Sep 8 · 10:50A. Wiecek1.40K. Wloczko2.75—Sep 8 · 12:05A. Wiecek2.10M. Olejnik1.67—Sep 8 · 13:20A. Wiecek1.33K. Kolodziej3.25—Sep 8 · 14:35A. Wiecek2.00T. Spanik1.73—
J. Zandecki
Nothing scheduled
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