TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13119881
Played Sep 13Finished
Adam Dosz
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1166111012117811
Grzegorz Adamiak
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:43 and never touched — 68.7% is still 68.7%
Graded at full timeAdam Dosz to win
68.7%
68.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAdam Dosz above · Grzegorz Adamiak below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 8-10
Point 92 set 5, 8-10 — our read held Adam Dosz at 68.7%
92 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Adam Dosz 16–6 Grzegorz Adamiak Grzegorz Adamiak has won 6 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:43What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Dosz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-6 in 22
Dosz
Wrong
gap of 10 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dosz 1952 vs Adamiak 1720
Dosz
Wrong
both rated, 232 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dosz 60% vs Adamiak 20%
Dosz
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dosz 70% vs Adamiak 20%
Dosz
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dosz -1 · Adamiak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Dosz) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamiak form (20%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDosz 1.36 / Adamiak 3.00
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Dosz)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13119881
Dosz1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite65% won 76 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it100% 36 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it88% 50 of 57
Adamiak3.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog29% won 66 of 231
Down 0–1, comes back14% 21 of 149
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 96
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDosz7wins
AwayAdamiak3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderDosz leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDosz87.5%7 of 8
AwayAdamiakn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dosz8Adamiak2n = 10Dosz took 8 of 10
S2Dosz6Adamiak4n = 10Dosz took 6 of 10
S3Dosz3Adamiak7n = 10Adamiak took 7 of 10
S4Dosz4Adamiak4n = 8split evenly
S5Dosz4Adamiak1n = 5Dosz took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDoszAdamiakD − ABasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match42.237.9+4.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDoszAdamiakBasisWin rate · lifetime185 / 318 vs 336 / 77258.2%43.5%185 / 318 vs 336 / 772Avg sets wonper match2.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.935.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DoszDosz 1.36/Adamiak 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.2%
Dosz · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Adamiak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 05:40A. Dosz46111176113G. Adamiak4469111172
WSep 12 · 14:10A. Dosz4111118113G. Adamiak30951151
WSep 12 · 05:15A. Dosz331111113G. Adamiak238780
WMay 3 · 12:50A. Dosz53129912113G. Adamiak491011111072
WMay 3 · 05:50A. Dosz531111812113G. Adamiak4789111452
LMay 2 · 10:45A. Dosz47111181162G. Adamiak43131117113
WMar 22 · 13:25A. Dosz331111113G. Adamiak184770
LMar 22 · 09:25A. Dosz351110681G. Adamiak3841211113
LMar 22 · 06:50A. Dosz36981271G. Adamiak43111110113
WMar 21 · 13:50A. Dosz45114811113G. Adamiak4481111952
A. Dosz10
LSep 13 · 09:00A. Dosz1.73118561K. Petas2.0091111113WSep 13 · 08:05A. Dosz1.7311811113K. Petas2.00911941LSep 13 · 06:30A. Witkowski1.9181111113A. Dosz1.80117391WSep 13 · 05:40G. Adamiak3.0069111172A. Dosz1.36111176113WSep 13 · 04:55A. Dosz1.6181111113J. Zandecki2.20115861LSep 13 · 03:45A. Dosz1.80121161172S. Dosz1.91149119113WSep 12 · 14:10A. Dosz1.4011118113G. Adamiak2.75951151WSep 12 · 12:30S. Dosz1.9141171192A. Dosz1.80118119113WSep 12 · 11:40J. Braun2.7583130A. Dosz1.401111153WSep 12 · 10:50A. Dosz1.5311119113K. Petas2.38981171
G. Adamiak10
WSep 13 · 09:20G. Adamiak3.008111211113S. Dosz1.3611914692LSep 13 · 08:30G. Adamiak2.50661121J. Zandecki1.5011119113LSep 13 · 06:55G. Adamiak3.00111191172S. Dosz1.36136117113LSep 13 · 05:40G. Adamiak3.0069111172A. Dosz1.36111176113LSep 13 · 04:10G. Adamiak2.75115741A. Witkowski1.4071111113LSep 13 · 03:00G. Adamiak3.758830K. Petas1.251111113LSep 12 · 14:10A. Dosz1.4011118113G. Adamiak2.75951151LSep 12 · 13:20K. Petas1.251111113G. Adamiak3.754570LSep 12 · 11:15S. Dosz1.331081111113G. Adamiak3.2512118762WSep 12 · 10:25A. Witkowski1.40871111102G. Adamiak2.75111143123
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