TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13114666
Played Sep 12Finished
Josef Braun
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8113111315––––
Adam Dosz
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:52 and never touched — 68.5% is still 68.5%
Graded at full timeAdam Dosz to win
68.5%
68.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJosef Braun above · Adam Dosz below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 13-15
Point 61 set 3, 13-15 — our read held Adam Dosz at 68.5%
61 points played in total.
H2H Josef Braun 4–8 Adam Dosz Josef Braun has won 4 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:52What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Dosz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-8 in 12
Dosz
Correct
gap of 4 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Braun 1898 vs Dosz 1965
Dosz
Correct
both rated, 67 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Braun 80% vs Dosz 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Braun 90% vs Dosz 60%
Braun
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Braun +1 · Dosz +4
Dosz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Dosz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Braun form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBraun 2.75 / Dosz 1.40
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Dosz)+2.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13114666
Braun2.75
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog41% won 87 of 210
Down 0–1, comes back24% 27 of 113
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 62
Dosz1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 77 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it100% 35 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it88% 49 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBraun4wins
AwayDosz6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDosz leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBraun66.7%4 of 6
AwayDosz100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Braun6Dosz4n = 10Braun took 6 of 10
S2Braun4Dosz6n = 10Dosz took 6 of 10
S3Braun4Dosz6n = 10Dosz took 6 of 10
S4Braun2Dosz5n = 7Dosz took 5 of 7
S5Braun2Dosz2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBraunDoszB − DBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.340.7−4.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBraunDoszBasisWin rate · lifetime517 / 982 vs 179 / 30952.7%57.9%517 / 982 vs 179 / 309Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DoszBraun 2.75/Dosz 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.3%
Dosz · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Dosz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 22 · 10:50J. Braun—11760A. Dosz—1311113
LAug 22 · 08:05J. Braun—9760A. Dosz—1111113
WMar 23 · 16:10J. Braun—1115113A. Dosz—71390
WMar 23 · 05:00J. Braun—115612113A. Dosz—711111082
LMar 20 · 11:00J. Braun—11117562A. Dosz—691111113
LMar 20 · 09:10J. Braun—111111332A. Dosz—771311113
LOct 18 · 10:45J. Braun—881181A. Dosz—11116113
WOct 18 · 08:25J. Braun—12811143A. Dosz—10115121
WSep 1 · 12:25J. Braun—1110114123A. Dosz—912711102
LAug 29 · 14:30J. Braun—411671A. Dosz—11711113
J. Braun10
WSep 12 · 10:00J. Braun2.0011119113S. Dosz1.73771151LSep 12 · 09:00J. Braun1.531110791G. Adamiak2.3891211113WSep 12 · 08:05J. Braun2.631111113A. Dosz1.449730WSep 12 · 06:30G. Adamiak2.382580J. Braun1.531111113WSep 12 · 05:40S. Dosz1.804420J. Braun1.911111113WSep 12 · 04:55J. Braun2.20111295113A. Witkowski1.61510111182WSep 12 · 03:45J. Braun2.00611136113K. Petas1.73111111162WSep 9 · 20:05M. Olbrycht3.405890J. Braun1.301111113WSep 9 · 19:15J. Krawczyk6.0011760J. Braun1.111311113WSep 9 · 17:20A. Daniel2.201341031J. Braun1.61111112113
A. Dosz10
WSep 12 · 10:50A. Dosz1.5311119113K. Petas2.38981171WSep 12 · 09:40A. Dosz1.5313118133A. Witkowski2.3811711111LSep 12 · 08:05J. Braun2.631111113A. Dosz1.449730WSep 12 · 07:20A. Witkowski2.2511711892A. Dosz1.57711911113WSep 12 · 05:15G. Adamiak2.758780A. Dosz1.401111113LSep 12 · 04:30K. Petas2.10111011113A. Dosz1.67912771WSep 12 · 03:00S. Dosz2.208101281A. Dosz1.61111210113WSep 4 · 15:25D. Michna2.10136121182A. Dosz1.671111149113LSep 4 · 14:35K. Kolodziej2.751181011113A. Dosz1.4061112752LSep 4 · 12:30A. Wiecek1.91111459113A. Dosz1.80912111172
Upcoming Matches
J. Braun
A. Dosz
Sep 12 · 12:30A. Dosz1.80S. Dosz1.91—Sep 12 · 14:10A. Dosz1.40G. Adamiak2.75—Sep 13 · 04:55A. Dosz1.61J. Zandecki2.20—Sep 13 · 05:40A. Dosz1.40G. Adamiak2.75—Sep 13 · 06:30A. Dosz1.80A. Witkowski1.91—Sep 13 · 08:05A. Dosz1.73K. Petas2.00—Sep 13 · 10:00A. Dosz1.40G. Adamiak2.75—Sep 13 · 12:55A. Dosz1.73M. Jadczyk2.00—
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