TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13114707
Played Sep 12Finished
Slawomir Dosz
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
81110121210811––
Adam Dosz
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:13 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeAdam Dosz to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSlawomir Dosz above · Adam Dosz below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 82 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Adam Dosz at 58.1%
82 points played in total.
H2H Slawomir Dosz 17–13 Adam Dosz Adam Dosz has won 13 of their 30 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:13What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Dosz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-13 in 30
Dosz
Wrong
gap of 4 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dosz 1900 vs Dosz 1941
Dosz
Correct
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dosz 40% vs Dosz 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dosz 40% vs Dosz 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dosz -1 · Dosz +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Dosz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dosz form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDosz 2.20 / Dosz 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Dosz)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13114707
Dosz2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 17 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back24% 5 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back11% 1 of 9
Dosz1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 76 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it100% 34 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it87% 48 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDosz6wins
AwayDosz4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDosz leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDosz66.7%4 of 6
AwayDosz50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dosz6Dosz4n = 10Dosz took 6 of 10
S2Dosz6Dosz4n = 10Dosz took 6 of 10
S3Dosz5Dosz5n = 10split evenly
S4Dosz4Dosz4n = 8split evenly
S5Dosz2Dosz1n = 3Dosz took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDoszDoszDosz − DoszBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.839.2+1.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDoszDoszBasisWin rate · lifetime61 / 135 vs 174 / 30245.2%57.6%61 / 135 vs 174 / 302Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.039.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DoszDosz 2.20/Dosz 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Dosz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Dosz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 05:15S. Dosz—81111113A. Dosz—118871
LSep 3 · 14:35S. Dosz—811691A. Dosz—11911113
WSep 3 · 06:30S. Dosz—118911113A. Dosz—81111992
WAug 29 · 13:45S. Dosz—1111113A. Dosz—5970
WAug 29 · 08:30S. Dosz—1214113A. Dosz—101280
WAug 28 · 05:15S. Dosz—11811113A. Dosz—611981
LAug 23 · 14:35S. Dosz—11117882A. Dosz—591111113
LAug 23 · 06:30S. Dosz—1081191A. Dosz—12119113
LAug 22 · 12:30S. Dosz—1158121A. Dosz—91111143
WAug 22 · 03:00S. Dosz—912911123A. Dosz—1110116102
S. Dosz10
LSep 4 · 14:35A. Daniel3.0011611113S. Dosz1.33411681WSep 4 · 13:25S. Dosz1.221211123K. Wisniewski4.00106100WSep 4 · 12:10G. Poliniewicz2.357660S. Dosz1.531111113LSep 4 · 10:55K. Wloczko1.951111113S. Dosz1.758960LSep 4 · 09:20J. Zochniak2.80111177113S. Dosz1.3786111192LSep 4 · 07:45S. Dosz2.38891161M. Jadczyk1.5311116113LSep 4 · 06:30S. Dosz2.204711101A. Grela1.6111116123WSep 4 · 05:15S. Dosz2.0081111113A. Dosz1.73118871LSep 4 · 04:10A. Wiecek1.40111011113S. Dosz2.75712591WSep 4 · 03:25S. Dosz2.2511311113D. Michna1.57911491
A. Dosz10
WSep 4 · 15:25D. Michna2.10136121182A. Dosz1.671111149113LSep 4 · 14:35K. Kolodziej2.751181011113A. Dosz1.4061112752LSep 4 · 12:30A. Wiecek1.91111459113A. Dosz1.80912111172LSep 4 · 11:40M. Jadczyk1.8311912133A. Dosz1.8381110111WSep 4 · 10:00A. Grela2.6351161162A. Dosz1.44116119113LSep 4 · 08:05A. Grela2.00811115113A. Dosz1.7311981192LSep 4 · 07:20D. Michna1.80121111113A. Dosz1.911013771LSep 4 · 05:15S. Dosz2.0081111113A. Dosz1.73118871WSep 4 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.83811871A. Dosz1.8311811113WSep 4 · 03:00A. Wiecek2.00951151A. Dosz1.7311118113
Upcoming Matches
S. Dosz
Sep 12 · 04:10S. Dosz1.33G. Adamiak3.25—Sep 12 · 05:40S. Dosz1.80J. Braun1.91—Sep 12 · 06:55S. Dosz1.91K. Petas1.80—Sep 12 · 08:30S. Dosz2.63A. Witkowski1.44—Sep 12 · 09:20S. Dosz1.91K. Petas1.80—Sep 12 · 10:00S. Dosz1.80J. Braun1.91—Sep 12 · 11:15S. Dosz1.33G. Adamiak3.25—Sep 12 · 12:30S. Dosz2.20A. Dosz1.61—Sep 12 · 13:45S. Dosz2.63A. Witkowski1.44—
A. Dosz
Sep 12 · 04:30A. Dosz1.67K. Petas2.10—Sep 12 · 05:15A. Dosz1.40G. Adamiak2.75—Sep 12 · 07:20A. Dosz1.57A. Witkowski2.25—Sep 12 · 08:05A. Dosz1.44J. Braun2.63—Sep 12 · 09:40A. Dosz1.57A. Witkowski2.25—Sep 12 · 10:50A. Dosz1.67K. Petas2.10—Sep 12 · 11:40A. Dosz1.44J. Braun2.63—Sep 12 · 12:30A. Dosz1.61S. Dosz2.20—Sep 12 · 14:10A. Dosz1.40G. Adamiak2.75—
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