TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13114890
Played Sep 12Finished
Grzegorz Adamiak
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811711811––––
Adam Dosz
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:35 and never touched — 68.3% is still 68.3%
Graded at full timeAdam Dosz to win
68.3%
68.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingGrzegorz Adamiak above · Adam Dosz below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 56 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Adam Dosz at 68.3%
56 points played in total.
H2H Grzegorz Adamiak 6–13 Adam Dosz Grzegorz Adamiak has won 6 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:35What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Dosz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-13 in 19
Dosz
Correct
gap of 7 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamiak 1778 vs Dosz 1936
Dosz
Correct
both rated, 158 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamiak 40% vs Dosz 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamiak 50% vs Dosz 30%
Adamiak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamiak -2 · Dosz -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Dosz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dosz form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamiak 2.75 / Dosz 1.40
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Dosz)+2.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13114890
Adamiak2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog29% won 65 of 224
Down 0–1, comes back14% 20 of 142
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 91
Dosz1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 77 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it100% 35 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it88% 49 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamiak3wins
AwayDosz7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDosz leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamiak66.7%2 of 3
AwayDosz85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamiak3Dosz7n = 10Dosz took 7 of 10
S2Adamiak5Dosz5n = 10split evenly
S3Adamiak5Dosz5n = 10split evenly
S4Adamiak3Dosz5n = 8Dosz took 5 of 8
S5Adamiak1Dosz3n = 4Dosz took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamiakDoszA − DBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.241.3−6.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamiakDoszBasisWin rate · lifetime332 / 758 vs 175 / 30443.8%57.6%332 / 758 vs 175 / 304Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.939.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DoszAdamiak 2.75/Dosz 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.3%
Dosz · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Dosz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 3 · 12:50G. Adamiak—1011111072A. Dosz—129912113
LMay 3 · 05:50G. Adamiak—89111452A. Dosz—1111812113
WMay 2 · 10:45G. Adamiak—131117113A. Dosz—111181162
LMar 22 · 13:25G. Adamiak—4770A. Dosz—1111113
WMar 22 · 09:25G. Adamiak—41211113A. Dosz—1110681
WMar 22 · 06:50G. Adamiak—111110113A. Dosz—981271
LMar 21 · 13:50G. Adamiak—81111952A. Dosz—114811113
LMar 21 · 11:25G. Adamiak—113531A. Dosz—81111113
LMar 21 · 10:35G. Adamiak—611851A. Dosz—11611113
LOct 5 · 11:10G. Adamiak—6930A. Dosz—111193
G. Adamiak10
LSep 12 · 04:10S. Dosz1.33112511113G. Adamiak3.2561111482LSep 12 · 03:25G. Adamiak3.25118128142A. Witkowski1.339111011163WSep 6 · 13:45G. Adamiak1.83113611113M. Nowalinski1.8361111662WSep 6 · 12:30G. Adamiak1.831111715113S. Sporek1.8387111752LSep 6 · 11:15G. Adamiak1.80971191M. Domin1.9111113113LSep 6 · 10:00S. Kolasa1.4461111113G. Adamiak2.63117621LSep 6 · 09:20G. Adamiak2.75911961J. Braun1.4011911113WSep 6 · 08:05D. Wasilewski4.25117110G. Adamiak1.181311133WSep 6 · 07:15M. Zagajewski5.80691131G. Adamiak1.0911115113WSep 6 · 05:15P. Staniszewski5.405970G. Adamiak1.111111113
A. Dosz10
LSep 12 · 04:30K. Petas2.10111011113A. Dosz1.67912771WSep 12 · 03:00S. Dosz2.208101281A. Dosz1.61111210113WSep 4 · 15:25D. Michna2.10136121182A. Dosz1.671111149113LSep 4 · 14:35K. Kolodziej2.751181011113A. Dosz1.4061112752LSep 4 · 12:30A. Wiecek1.91111459113A. Dosz1.80912111172LSep 4 · 11:40M. Jadczyk1.8311912133A. Dosz1.8381110111WSep 4 · 10:00A. Grela2.6351161162A. Dosz1.44116119113LSep 4 · 08:05A. Grela2.00811115113A. Dosz1.7311981192LSep 4 · 07:20D. Michna1.80121111113A. Dosz1.911013771LSep 4 · 05:15S. Dosz2.0081111113A. Dosz1.73118871
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