TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13114868
Played Sep 12Finished
Grzegorz Adamiak
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11981112108111416
Antoni Witkowski
Away
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:24 and never touched — 72.5% is still 72.5%
Graded at full timeAntoni Witkowski to win
72.5%
72.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingGrzegorz Adamiak above · Antoni Witkowski below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 14-16
Point 110 set 5, 14-16 — our read held Antoni Witkowski at 72.5%
110 points played in total.
H2H Grzegorz Adamiak 4–19 Antoni Witkowski Grzegorz Adamiak has won 4 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:24What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Witkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-19 in 23
Witkowski
Correct
gap of 15 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamiak 1795 vs Witkowski 1900
Witkowski
Correct
both rated, 105 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamiak 40% vs Witkowski 60%
Witkowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamiak 70% vs Witkowski 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamiak +2 · Witkowski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Witkowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Witkowski form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamiak 3.25 / Witkowski 1.33
Signal prob.28% / 73%
Edge (Witkowski)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13114868
Adamiak3.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog29% won 65 of 223
Down 0–1, comes back14% 20 of 142
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 91
Witkowski1.33
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 77 of 133
Up 2–0, closes it97% 35 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it86% 53 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamiak1wins
AwayWitkowski9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderWitkowski leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamiak33.3%1 of 3
AwayWitkowski100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamiak3Witkowski7n = 10Witkowski took 7 of 10
S2Adamiak3Witkowski7n = 10Witkowski took 7 of 10
S3Adamiak3Witkowski7n = 10Witkowski took 7 of 10
S4Adamiak1Witkowski6n = 7Witkowski took 6 of 7
S5Adamiak1Witkowski2n = 3Witkowski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamiakWitkowskiA − WBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.541.3−7.8per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamiakWitkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime340 / 773 vs 217 / 37044%58.7%340 / 773 vs 217 / 370Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.937.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WitkowskiAdamiak 3.25/Witkowski 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.5%
Witkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Witkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 9 · 12:50G. Adamiak—8660A. Witkowski—1111113
LMay 9 · 07:40G. Adamiak—771181A. Witkowski—11116113
LMay 3 · 13:40G. Adamiak—101080A. Witkowski—1212113
LMay 3 · 09:35G. Adamiak—14680A. Witkowski—1611113
WMay 2 · 12:50G. Adamiak—111258113A. Witkowski—910111132
LFeb 1 · 11:25G. Adamiak—11651372A. Witkowski—7111111113
LFeb 1 · 09:00G. Adamiak—118781A. Witkowski—71111113
LJan 3 · 16:10G. Adamiak—61111662A. Witkowski—119911113
LDec 7 · 06:05G. Adamiak—611691A. Witkowski—11811113
LDec 6 · 15:50G. Adamiak—681161A. Witkowski—11118113
G. Adamiak10
LSep 12 · 04:10S. Dosz1.33112511113G. Adamiak3.2561111482WSep 6 · 13:45G. Adamiak1.83113611113M. Nowalinski1.8361111662WSep 6 · 12:30G. Adamiak1.831111715113S. Sporek1.8387111752LSep 6 · 11:15G. Adamiak1.80971191M. Domin1.9111113113LSep 6 · 10:00S. Kolasa1.4461111113G. Adamiak2.63117621LSep 6 · 09:20G. Adamiak2.75911961J. Braun1.4011911113WSep 6 · 08:05D. Wasilewski4.25117110G. Adamiak1.181311133WSep 6 · 07:15M. Zagajewski5.80691131G. Adamiak1.0911115113WSep 6 · 05:15P. Staniszewski5.405970G. Adamiak1.111111113WSep 6 · 04:25T. Pisarczyk6.906450G. Adamiak1.061111113
A. Witkowski10
LJul 10 · 15:00A. Witkowski1.8391050M. Jadczyk1.831112113WJul 10 · 13:45A. Witkowski1.911211108113P. Klos1.80106121142LJul 10 · 12:30A. Witkowski1.83511281D. Wederlich1.8311911113WJul 10 · 11:15M. Olejnik1.916940A. Witkowski1.801111113WJul 10 · 10:25A. Witkowski2.501311113J. Folwarski1.5011890WJul 10 · 08:30A. Witkowski1.8081111113P. Klos1.91119681LJul 10 · 06:55A. Witkowski1.67117791J. Braun2.1071111113WJul 10 · 05:40A. Witkowski1.6711119113M. Olejnik2.10991181WJul 10 · 04:10A. Witkowski1.2212126143A. Spychala4.00101011121WJul 10 · 03:00A. Witkowski1.771151210113D. Wederlich1.91911101252
Upcoming Matches
G. Adamiak
Sep 12 · 05:15G. Adamiak2.75A. Dosz1.40—Sep 12 · 06:30G. Adamiak2.38J. Braun1.53—Sep 12 · 07:45G. Adamiak3.50K. Petas1.28—Sep 12 · 09:00G. Adamiak2.38J. Braun1.53—Sep 12 · 10:25G. Adamiak3.25A. Witkowski1.33—Sep 12 · 11:15G. Adamiak3.25S. Dosz1.33—Sep 12 · 13:20G. Adamiak3.50K. Petas1.28—Sep 12 · 14:10G. Adamiak2.75A. Dosz1.40—
A. Witkowski
Sep 12 · 06:05A. Witkowski1.83K. Petas1.83—Sep 12 · 07:20A. Witkowski2.25A. Dosz1.57—Sep 12 · 08:30A. Witkowski1.44S. Dosz2.63—Sep 12 · 09:40A. Witkowski2.25A. Dosz1.57—Sep 12 · 10:25A. Witkowski1.33G. Adamiak3.25—Sep 12 · 12:05A. Witkowski1.83K. Petas1.83—Sep 12 · 12:55A. Witkowski1.61J. Braun2.20—Sep 12 · 13:45A. Witkowski1.44S. Dosz2.63—
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