Antoni Witkowski vs Martin Olejnik 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #12194338

Played Jul 10Finished

Antoni Witkowski

Home

1.67

At publish

Won last 5

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 5

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

119119911118––

Martin Olejnik

Away

2.10

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 3

How it is goingAntoni Witkowski above · Martin Olejnik below

Set 1 · 11-9

Set 2 · 11-9

Set 3 · 9-11

Set 4 · 11-8

Point 79 set 4, 11-8

79 points played in total.

H2H Antoni Witkowski 8–6 Martin Olejnik Martin Olejnik has won 6 of their 14 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Witkowski)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Olejnik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsWitkowski 1.67 / Olejnik 2.10

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Witkowski)-1.8pp (anti-value)

TT Elite Series · #12194338

Witkowski1.67

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Won last 5

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite61% won 135 of 222

Up 2–0, closes it97% 60 of 62

Up 1–0, closes it86% 89 of 104

Olejnik2.10

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Won last 3

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog40% won 48 of 121

Down 0–1, comes back24% 14 of 59

Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 30

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeWitkowski6wins

AwayOlejnik4wins

2 of 10 to a deciderWitkowski leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeWitkowski50%2 of 4

AwayOlejnik33.3%2 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Witkowski4Olejnik6n = 10Olejnik took 6 of 10

S2Witkowski6Olejnik4n = 10Witkowski took 6 of 10

S3Witkowski6Olejnik4n = 10Witkowski took 6 of 10

S4Witkowski4Olejnik5n = 9Olejnik took 5 of 9

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away440%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricWitkowskiOlejnikW − OBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.639.6+1.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricWitkowskiOlejnikBasisWin rate · lifetime238 / 407 vs 447 / 79058.5%56.6%238 / 407 vs 447 / 790Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.3per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Witkowski

Witkowski 1.67/Olejnik 2.10

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Witkowski · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Witkowski won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LJun 12 · 11:35A. Witkowski—5116161M. Olejnik—11711183

WJun 12 · 07:25A. Witkowski—711911123M. Olejnik—116119102

WJun 5 · 15:35A. Witkowski—111111113M. Olejnik—138591

LJun 5 · 06:40A. Witkowski—115671M. Olejnik—51111113

WMay 8 · 14:50A. Witkowski—91211113M. Olejnik—1110591

WMay 8 · 08:35A. Witkowski—713116113M. Olejnik—111181192

LFeb 14 · 08:40A. Witkowski—1179161M. Olejnik—71111183

WJan 2 · 15:30A. Witkowski—1111113M. Olejnik—6970

LJan 2 · 08:50A. Witkowski—8121141M. Olejnik—11149113

WJun 16 · 14:50A. Witkowski—12911113M. Olejnik—1011631

A. Witkowski10

WSep 12 · 03:25G. Adamiak3.25118128142A. Witkowski1.339111011163 LJul 10 · 15:00A. Witkowski1.8391050M. Jadczyk1.831112113 WJul 10 · 13:45A. Witkowski1.911211108113P. Klos1.80106121142 LJul 10 · 12:30A. Witkowski1.83511281D. Wederlich1.8311911113 WJul 10 · 11:15M. Olejnik1.916940A. Witkowski1.801111113 WJul 10 · 10:25A. Witkowski2.501311113J. Folwarski1.5011890 WJul 10 · 08:30A. Witkowski1.8081111113P. Klos1.91119681 LJul 10 · 06:55A. Witkowski1.67117791J. Braun2.1071111113 WJul 10 · 04:10A. Witkowski1.2212126143A. Spychala4.00101011121 WJul 10 · 03:00A. Witkowski1.771151210113D. Wederlich1.91911101252

M. Olejnik10

WSep 11 · 15:25M. Olejnik1.531011811123K. Kolodziej2.38127114102 LSep 11 · 13:45J. Kuzmicz1.83111011113M. Olejnik1.83512691 LSep 11 · 12:55K. Strowski3.0081111113M. Olejnik1.36119781 WSep 11 · 12:05M. Olejnik1.677111411113K. Wloczko2.1011416562 WSep 11 · 10:50M. Olejnik2.00111111113M. Jadczyk1.73961351 LSep 11 · 08:30M. Miastowski2.381191111123M. Olejnik1.53911813102 LSep 11 · 07:20M. Olejnik1.61412381J. Kuzmicz2.20111011113 WSep 11 · 06:05M. Jadczyk2.0091080M. Olejnik1.731112113 WSep 11 · 04:55K. Wloczko2.25117141M. Olejnik1.5761111113 LJul 10 · 11:15M. Olejnik1.916940A. Witkowski1.801111113

Upcoming Matches

A. Witkowski

Sep 12 · 06:05A. Witkowski1.83K. Petas1.83—Sep 12 · 07:20A. Witkowski2.25A. Dosz1.57—Sep 12 · 08:30A. Witkowski1.44S. Dosz2.63—Sep 12 · 09:40A. Witkowski2.25A. Dosz1.57—Sep 12 · 10:25A. Witkowski1.33G. Adamiak3.25—Sep 12 · 12:05A. Witkowski1.83K. Petas1.83—Sep 12 · 12:55A. Witkowski1.61J. Braun2.20—Sep 12 · 13:45A. Witkowski1.44S. Dosz2.63—

M. Olejnik

Nothing scheduled

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