TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13114931
Played Sep 12Finished
Josef Braun
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1151210911511118
Antoni Witkowski
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:48 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeAntoni Witkowski to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJosef Braun above · Antoni Witkowski below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 93 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Antoni Witkowski at 58.5%
93 points played in total.
H2H Josef Braun 8–9 Antoni Witkowski Josef Braun has won 8 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:48What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Witkowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-9 in 17
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Braun 1848 vs Witkowski 1908
Witkowski
Wrong
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Braun 100% vs Witkowski 60%
Braun
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Braun 70% vs Witkowski 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Braun +5 · Witkowski +1
Braun
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Witkowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Braun form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBraun 2.20 / Witkowski 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 59%
Edge (Witkowski)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13114931
Braun2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 87 of 210
Down 0–1, comes back24% 27 of 113
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 62
Witkowski1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 78 of 134
Up 2–0, closes it97% 35 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it86% 53 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBraun6wins
AwayWitkowski4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBraun leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBraun62.5%5 of 8
AwayWitkowskin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Braun8Witkowski2n = 10Braun took 8 of 10
S2Braun4Witkowski6n = 10Witkowski took 6 of 10
S3Braun6Witkowski4n = 10Braun took 6 of 10
S4Braun3Witkowski4n = 7Witkowski took 4 of 7
S5Braun2Witkowski2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBraunWitkowskiB − WBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.236.4+2.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBraunWitkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime512 / 976 vs 218 / 37152.5%58.8%512 / 976 vs 218 / 371Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WitkowskiBraun 2.20/Witkowski 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.5%
Witkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Braun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 10 · 06:55J. Braun—71111113A. Witkowski—117791
LMay 7 · 13:15J. Braun—11911692A. Witkowski—511611113
WMar 26 · 16:35J. Braun—11511123A. Witkowski—4114101
WMar 26 · 08:40J. Braun—111198163A. Witkowski—681111142
WMar 20 · 12:35J. Braun—1111113A. Witkowski—9460
WMar 20 · 08:25J. Braun—1115113A. Witkowski—51360
LMar 2 · 12:10J. Braun—111011842A. Witkowski—812311113
LMar 2 · 07:40J. Braun—3590A. Witkowski—1111113
LFeb 1 · 14:15J. Braun—169881A. Witkowski—141111113
WFeb 1 · 08:15J. Braun—113411113A. Witkowski—71111372
J. Braun10
WSep 12 · 03:45J. Braun2.00611136113K. Petas1.73111111162WSep 9 · 20:05M. Olbrycht3.405890J. Braun1.301111113WSep 9 · 19:15J. Krawczyk6.0011760J. Braun1.111311113WSep 9 · 17:20A. Daniel2.201341031J. Braun1.61111112113WSep 9 · 16:30M. Benes1.837118121J. Braun1.8311811143WSep 9 · 15:00J. Chmielowski4.337620J. Braun1.201111113LSep 9 · 14:15J. Braun1.3586100K. Wisniewski2.801111123WSep 9 · 12:35T. Spanik1.70115281J. Braun2.0081111113LSep 9 · 11:45A. Daniel2.2561211123J. Braun1.5411105101LSep 9 · 10:55J. Braun1.856911101M. Benes1.8011115123
A. Witkowski10
WSep 12 · 03:25G. Adamiak3.25118128142A. Witkowski1.339111011163LJul 10 · 15:00A. Witkowski1.8391050M. Jadczyk1.831112113WJul 10 · 13:45A. Witkowski1.911211108113P. Klos1.80106121142LJul 10 · 12:30A. Witkowski1.83511281D. Wederlich1.8311911113WJul 10 · 11:15M. Olejnik1.916940A. Witkowski1.801111113WJul 10 · 10:25A. Witkowski2.501311113J. Folwarski1.5011890WJul 10 · 08:30A. Witkowski1.8081111113P. Klos1.91119681LJul 10 · 06:55A. Witkowski1.67117791J. Braun2.1071111113WJul 10 · 05:40A. Witkowski1.6711119113M. Olejnik2.10991181WJul 10 · 04:10A. Witkowski1.2212126143A. Spychala4.00101011121
Upcoming Matches
J. Braun
A. Witkowski
Sep 12 · 06:05A. Witkowski1.83K. Petas1.83—Sep 12 · 07:20A. Witkowski2.25A. Dosz1.57—Sep 12 · 08:30A. Witkowski1.44S. Dosz2.63—Sep 12 · 09:40A. Witkowski2.25A. Dosz1.57—Sep 12 · 10:25A. Witkowski1.33G. Adamiak3.25—Sep 12 · 12:05A. Witkowski1.83K. Petas1.83—Sep 12 · 12:55A. Witkowski1.61J. Braun2.20—Sep 12 · 13:45A. Witkowski1.44S. Dosz2.63—
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