TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13114972
Played Sep 12Finished
Josef Braun
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 9Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 9
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119117113––––
Adam Dosz
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:47 and never touched — 68.5% is still 68.5%
Graded at full timeAdam Dosz to win
68.5%
68.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJosef Braun above · Adam Dosz below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 52 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Adam Dosz at 68.5%
52 points played in total.
H2H Josef Braun 4–8 Adam Dosz Josef Braun has won 4 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:47What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Dosz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-8 in 12
Dosz
Wrong
gap of 4 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Braun 1887 vs Dosz 1953
Dosz
Wrong
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Braun 100% vs Dosz 80%
Braun
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Braun 90% vs Dosz 50%
Braun
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Braun +5 · Dosz +2
Braun
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Dosz) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dosz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBraun 2.63 / Dosz 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 67%
Edge (Dosz)+2.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13114972
Braun2.63
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 9
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 87 of 210
Down 0–1, comes back24% 27 of 113
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 62
Dosz1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 77 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it100% 35 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it88% 49 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBraun4wins
AwayDosz6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDosz leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBraun66.7%4 of 6
AwayDosz100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Braun6Dosz4n = 10Braun took 6 of 10
S2Braun4Dosz6n = 10Dosz took 6 of 10
S3Braun4Dosz6n = 10Dosz took 6 of 10
S4Braun2Dosz5n = 7Dosz took 5 of 7
S5Braun2Dosz2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBraunDoszB − DBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.340.7−4.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBraunDoszBasisWin rate · lifetime515 / 979 vs 177 / 30652.6%57.8%515 / 979 vs 177 / 306Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DoszBraun 2.63/Dosz 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.5%
Dosz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Braun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 22 · 10:50J. Braun—11760A. Dosz—1311113
LAug 22 · 08:05J. Braun—9760A. Dosz—1111113
WMar 23 · 16:10J. Braun—1115113A. Dosz—71390
WMar 23 · 05:00J. Braun—115612113A. Dosz—711111082
LMar 20 · 11:00J. Braun—11117562A. Dosz—691111113
LMar 20 · 09:10J. Braun—111111332A. Dosz—771311113
LOct 18 · 10:45J. Braun—881181A. Dosz—11116113
WOct 18 · 08:25J. Braun—12811143A. Dosz—10115121
WSep 1 · 12:25J. Braun—1110114123A. Dosz—912711102
LAug 29 · 14:30J. Braun—411671A. Dosz—11711113
J. Braun10
WSep 12 · 06:30G. Adamiak2.382580J. Braun1.531111113WSep 12 · 05:40S. Dosz1.804420J. Braun1.911111113WSep 12 · 04:55J. Braun2.20111295113A. Witkowski1.61510111182WSep 12 · 03:45J. Braun2.00611136113K. Petas1.73111111162WSep 9 · 20:05M. Olbrycht3.405890J. Braun1.301111113WSep 9 · 19:15J. Krawczyk6.0011760J. Braun1.111311113WSep 9 · 17:20A. Daniel2.201341031J. Braun1.61111112113WSep 9 · 16:30M. Benes1.837118121J. Braun1.8311811143WSep 9 · 15:00J. Chmielowski4.337620J. Braun1.201111113LSep 9 · 14:15J. Braun1.3586100K. Wisniewski2.801111123
A. Dosz10
WSep 12 · 07:20A. Witkowski2.2511711892A. Dosz1.57711911113WSep 12 · 05:15G. Adamiak2.758780A. Dosz1.401111113LSep 12 · 04:30K. Petas2.10111011113A. Dosz1.67912771WSep 12 · 03:00S. Dosz2.208101281A. Dosz1.61111210113WSep 4 · 15:25D. Michna2.10136121182A. Dosz1.671111149113LSep 4 · 14:35K. Kolodziej2.751181011113A. Dosz1.4061112752LSep 4 · 12:30A. Wiecek1.91111459113A. Dosz1.80912111172LSep 4 · 11:40M. Jadczyk1.8311912133A. Dosz1.8381110111WSep 4 · 10:00A. Grela2.6351161162A. Dosz1.44116119113LSep 4 · 08:05A. Grela2.00811115113A. Dosz1.7311981192
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