TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13114706
Played Sep 12Finished
Antoni Witkowski
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117711119811911
Adam Dosz
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:10 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeAdam Dosz to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAntoni Witkowski above · Adam Dosz below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 95 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Adam Dosz at 58.9%
95 points played in total.
H2H Antoni Witkowski 9–6 Adam Dosz Adam Dosz has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:10What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Dosz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-6 in 15
Witkowski
Wrong
gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Witkowski 1870 vs Dosz 1953
Dosz
Correct
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Witkowski 40% vs Dosz 60%
Dosz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Witkowski 50% vs Dosz 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Witkowski -2 · Dosz +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Dosz)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWitkowski 2.25 / Dosz 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Dosz)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13114706
Witkowski2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 20 of 45
Down 0–1, comes back22% 5 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Dosz1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 77 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it100% 35 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it88% 49 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWitkowski5wins
AwayDosz5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWitkowski60%3 of 5
AwayDosz60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Witkowski5Dosz5n = 10split evenly
S2Witkowski6Dosz4n = 10Witkowski took 6 of 10
S3Witkowski5Dosz5n = 10split evenly
S4Witkowski5Dosz4n = 9Witkowski took 5 of 9
S5Witkowski1Dosz2n = 3Dosz took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricWitkowskiDoszW − DBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.739.6+1.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWitkowskiDoszBasisWin rate · lifetime218 / 374 vs 177 / 30658.3%57.8%218 / 374 vs 177 / 306Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.039.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DoszWitkowski 2.25/Dosz 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Dosz · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dosz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 07:20A. Witkowski—11711892A. Dosz—711911113
WMay 3 · 11:10A. Witkowski—71111113A. Dosz—116781
WMay 3 · 06:40A. Witkowski—1011711113A. Dosz—12811972
WMay 2 · 14:05A. Witkowski—11118113A. Dosz—981161
LMay 2 · 05:50A. Witkowski—8611101A. Dosz—11116123
LMar 20 · 15:05A. Witkowski—951561A. Dosz—111113113
WMar 20 · 05:50A. Witkowski—11117113A. Dosz—871191
WFeb 20 · 15:30A. Witkowski—1111123A. Dosz—69100
LFeb 20 · 05:25A. Witkowski—711991A. Dosz—11611113
LFeb 19 · 16:35A. Witkowski—118711132A. Dosz—311119153
A. Witkowski10
LSep 12 · 06:05K. Petas1.831115143A. Witkowski1.83813120LSep 12 · 04:55J. Braun2.20111295113A. Witkowski1.61510111182WSep 12 · 03:25G. Adamiak3.25118128142A. Witkowski1.339111011163LJul 10 · 15:00A. Witkowski1.8391050M. Jadczyk1.831112113WJul 10 · 13:45A. Witkowski1.911211108113P. Klos1.80106121142LJul 10 · 12:30A. Witkowski1.83511281D. Wederlich1.8311911113WJul 10 · 11:15M. Olejnik1.916940A. Witkowski1.801111113WJul 10 · 10:25A. Witkowski2.501311113J. Folwarski1.5011890WJul 10 · 08:30A. Witkowski1.8081111113P. Klos1.91119681LJul 10 · 06:55A. Witkowski1.67117791J. Braun2.1071111113
A. Dosz10
LSep 12 · 08:05J. Braun2.631111113A. Dosz1.449730WSep 12 · 05:15G. Adamiak2.758780A. Dosz1.401111113LSep 12 · 04:30K. Petas2.10111011113A. Dosz1.67912771WSep 12 · 03:00S. Dosz2.208101281A. Dosz1.61111210113WSep 4 · 15:25D. Michna2.10136121182A. Dosz1.671111149113LSep 4 · 14:35K. Kolodziej2.751181011113A. Dosz1.4061112752LSep 4 · 12:30A. Wiecek1.91111459113A. Dosz1.80912111172LSep 4 · 11:40M. Jadczyk1.8311912133A. Dosz1.8381110111WSep 4 · 10:00A. Grela2.6351161162A. Dosz1.44116119113LSep 4 · 08:05A. Grela2.00811115113A. Dosz1.7311981192
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