TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13114885
Played Sep 12Finished
Kacper Petas
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
11815131412––––
Antoni Witkowski
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:34 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAntoni Witkowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKacper Petas above · Antoni Witkowski below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 15-13
Set 3 · 14-12
Point 73 set 3, 14-12 — our read held Antoni Witkowski at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Kacper Petas 14–20 Antoni Witkowski Kacper Petas has won 14 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:34What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Witkowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-20 in 34
Witkowski
Wrong
gap of 6 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Petas 1864 vs Witkowski 1870
Witkowski
Wrong
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Petas 80% vs Witkowski 40%
Petas
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Petas 60% vs Witkowski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Petas +1 · Witkowski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Witkowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Witkowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPetas 1.83 / Witkowski 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Witkowski)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13114885
Petas1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Witkowski1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePetas4wins
AwayWitkowski6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderWitkowski leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePetas100%3 of 3
AwayWitkowski85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Petas3Witkowski7n = 10Witkowski took 7 of 10
S2Petas8Witkowski2n = 10Petas took 8 of 10
S3Petas5Witkowski5n = 10split evenly
S4Petas3Witkowski5n = 8Witkowski took 5 of 8
S5Petas2Witkowski4n = 6Witkowski took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPetasWitkowskiP − WBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match41.842.3−0.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPetasWitkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime706 / 1335 vs 218 / 37452.9%58.3%706 / 1335 vs 218 / 374Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WitkowskiPetas 1.83/Witkowski 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Witkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Petas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 06:05K. Petas—1115143A. Witkowski—813120
LJun 12 · 14:30K. Petas—79111162A. Witkowski—111158113
LJun 12 · 05:15K. Petas—912761A. Witkowski—111011113
WJun 4 · 10:00K. Petas—811116113A. Witkowski—11391142
LMay 9 · 12:00K. Petas—51181182A. Witkowski—115118113
WMay 9 · 08:50K. Petas—13116113A. Witkowski—1171151
LMay 8 · 12:25K. Petas—91111742A. Witkowski—115711113
LMay 8 · 03:00K. Petas—71390A. Witkowski—1115113
LApr 14 · 10:25K. Petas—101211762A. Witkowski—1210911113
WApr 14 · 04:20K. Petas—111578113A. Witkowski—513111182
K. Petas10
LSep 12 · 07:45G. Adamiak3.5091111113K. Petas1.28115671WSep 12 · 06:55S. Dosz1.91127991K. Petas1.80101111113WSep 12 · 04:30K. Petas2.10111011113A. Dosz1.67912771LSep 12 · 03:45J. Braun2.00611136113K. Petas1.73111111162WSep 1 · 13:45J. Kosowski1.731145111K. Petas2.0071111133WSep 1 · 12:55P. Cyrnek1.61811571K. Petas2.2011511113WSep 1 · 12:05K. Petas1.50119116113K. Strowski2.5091161142LSep 1 · 10:25K. Petas1.50101110111K. Glazowski2.5012412133WSep 1 · 09:40K. Kolodziej1.671151271K. Petas2.10131110113LSep 1 · 08:30J. Kosowski1.7311611113K. Petas2.00911881
A. Witkowski10
LSep 12 · 07:20A. Witkowski2.2511711892A. Dosz1.57711911113LSep 12 · 04:55J. Braun2.20111295113A. Witkowski1.61510111182WSep 12 · 03:25G. Adamiak3.25118128142A. Witkowski1.339111011163LJul 10 · 15:00A. Witkowski1.8391050M. Jadczyk1.831112113WJul 10 · 13:45A. Witkowski1.911211108113P. Klos1.80106121142LJul 10 · 12:30A. Witkowski1.83511281D. Wederlich1.8311911113WJul 10 · 11:15M. Olejnik1.916940A. Witkowski1.801111113WJul 10 · 10:25A. Witkowski2.501311113J. Folwarski1.5011890WJul 10 · 08:30A. Witkowski1.8081111113P. Klos1.91119681LJul 10 · 06:55A. Witkowski1.67117791J. Braun2.1071111113
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