TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13114684
Played Sep 12Finished
Slawomir Dosz
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1210711911911––
Kacper Petas
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:52 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKacper Petas to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSlawomir Dosz above · Kacper Petas below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 80 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Kacper Petas at 54.0%
80 points played in total.
H2H Slawomir Dosz 8–15 Kacper Petas Slawomir Dosz has won 8 of their 23 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 11:52What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Petas
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-15 in 23
Petas
Correct
gap of 7 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dosz 1882 vs Petas 1868
Dosz
Wrong
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dosz 40% vs Petas 80%
Petas
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dosz 30% vs Petas 70%
Petas
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dosz -1 · Petas +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Petas)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Petas form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDosz 1.91 / Petas 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Petas)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13114684
Dosz1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 17 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back23% 5 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back10% 1 of 10
Petas1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 177 of 293
Up 2–0, closes it94% 97 of 103
Up 1–0, closes it73% 137 of 187
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDosz4wins
AwayPetas6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPetas leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDosz66.7%2 of 3
AwayPetas71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dosz3Petas7n = 10Petas took 7 of 10
S2Dosz6Petas4n = 10Dosz took 6 of 10
S3Dosz6Petas4n = 10Dosz took 6 of 10
S4Dosz3Petas7n = 10Petas took 7 of 10
S5Dosz2Petas2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDoszPetasD − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.442.3−1.9per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDoszPetasBasisWin rate · lifetime62 / 138 vs 705 / 133344.9%52.9%62 / 138 vs 705 / 1333Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.937.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PetasDosz 1.91/Petas 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Petas · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Petas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 1 · 10:25S. Dosz—1110761K. Petas—51211113
LJun 1 · 08:00S. Dosz—710111172K. Petas—111278113
WMay 31 · 15:35S. Dosz—71111113K. Petas—114781
LMay 31 · 08:50S. Dosz—31111652K. Petas—119811113
LMay 30 · 10:40S. Dosz—661291K. Petas—111110113
LMay 30 · 09:50S. Dosz—811861K. Petas—11711113
WMar 31 · 12:25S. Dosz—1111149143K. Petas—1391211122
WMar 31 · 06:40S. Dosz—118116113K. Petas—71141182
LMar 30 · 14:05S. Dosz—912691K. Petas—111011113
WMar 30 · 05:50S. Dosz—11117113K. Petas—691151
S. Dosz10
LSep 12 · 05:40S. Dosz1.804420J. Braun1.911111113WSep 12 · 04:10S. Dosz1.33112511113G. Adamiak3.2561111482LSep 12 · 03:00S. Dosz2.208101281A. Dosz1.61111210113LSep 4 · 14:35A. Daniel3.0011611113S. Dosz1.33411681WSep 4 · 13:25S. Dosz1.221211123K. Wisniewski4.00106100WSep 4 · 12:10G. Poliniewicz2.357660S. Dosz1.531111113LSep 4 · 10:55K. Wloczko1.951111113S. Dosz1.758960LSep 4 · 09:20J. Zochniak2.80111177113S. Dosz1.3786111192LSep 4 · 07:45S. Dosz2.38891161M. Jadczyk1.5311116113LSep 4 · 06:30S. Dosz2.204711101A. Grela1.6111116123
K. Petas10
LSep 12 · 07:45G. Adamiak3.5091111113K. Petas1.28115671WSep 12 · 06:05K. Petas1.831115143A. Witkowski1.83813120WSep 12 · 04:30K. Petas2.10111011113A. Dosz1.67912771LSep 12 · 03:45J. Braun2.00611136113K. Petas1.73111111162WSep 1 · 13:45J. Kosowski1.731145111K. Petas2.0071111133WSep 1 · 12:55P. Cyrnek1.61811571K. Petas2.2011511113WSep 1 · 12:05K. Petas1.50119116113K. Strowski2.5091161142LSep 1 · 10:25K. Petas1.50101110111K. Glazowski2.5012412133WSep 1 · 09:40K. Kolodziej1.671151271K. Petas2.10131110113LSep 1 · 08:30J. Kosowski1.7311611113K. Petas2.00911881
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