TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13114905
Played Sep 12Finished
Grzegorz Adamiak
Home
3.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911115116117––
Kacper Petas
Away
1.29
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:34 and never touched — 76.6% is still 76.6%
Graded at full timeKacper Petas to win
76.6%
76.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingGrzegorz Adamiak above · Kacper Petas below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 71 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Kacper Petas at 76.6%
71 points played in total.
H2H Grzegorz Adamiak 13–46 Kacper Petas Grzegorz Adamiak has won 13 of their 59 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:34What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Petas
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-46 in 59
Petas
Wrong
gap of 33 in 59, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamiak 1759 vs Petas 1880
Petas
Wrong
both rated, 121 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamiak 20% vs Petas 80%
Petas
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamiak 30% vs Petas 70%
Petas
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamiak -4 · Petas +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Petas) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamiak 3.50 / Petas 1.28
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Petas)+4.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13114905
Adamiak3.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog29% won 65 of 224
Down 0–1, comes back14% 20 of 142
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 91
Petas1.28
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 177 of 293
Up 2–0, closes it94% 97 of 103
Up 1–0, closes it73% 137 of 187
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamiak0wins
AwayPetas10wins
Petas leads 10–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamiakn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayPetas100%9 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamiak1Petas9n = 10Petas took 9 of 10
S2Adamiak2Petas8n = 10Petas took 8 of 10
S3Adamiak4Petas6n = 10Petas took 6 of 10
S4Adamiak0Petas7n = 7Petas took 7 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away770%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamiakPetasA − PBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match28.839.7−10.9per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamiakPetasBasisWin rate · lifetime332 / 760 vs 706 / 133443.7%52.9%332 / 760 vs 706 / 1334Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.837.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PetasAdamiak 3.50/Petas 1.28
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
77.4%
Petas · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Adamiak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 14 · 12:25G. Adamiak—451131K. Petas—11118113
LJun 14 · 04:00G. Adamiak—7121181K. Petas—111013113
LJun 13 · 15:35G. Adamiak—261141K. Petas—11116113
LJun 13 · 04:40G. Adamiak—6490K. Petas—1111113
LMay 17 · 06:15G. Adamiak—8360K. Petas—1111113
LMay 16 · 12:50G. Adamiak—10101191K. Petas—12129113
LMay 16 · 07:40G. Adamiak—6970K. Petas—1111113
LMay 10 · 14:30G. Adamiak—811741K. Petas—11911113
LMay 10 · 06:15G. Adamiak—1191151K. Petas—13118113
LMay 9 · 15:35G. Adamiak—11910101K. Petas—91112123
G. Adamiak10
LSep 12 · 06:30G. Adamiak2.382580J. Braun1.531111113LSep 12 · 05:15G. Adamiak2.758780A. Dosz1.401111113LSep 12 · 04:10S. Dosz1.33112511113G. Adamiak3.2561111482LSep 12 · 03:25G. Adamiak3.25118128142A. Witkowski1.339111011163WSep 6 · 13:45G. Adamiak1.83113611113M. Nowalinski1.8361111662WSep 6 · 12:30G. Adamiak1.831111715113S. Sporek1.8387111752LSep 6 · 11:15G. Adamiak1.80971191M. Domin1.9111113113LSep 6 · 10:00S. Kolasa1.4461111113G. Adamiak2.63117621LSep 6 · 09:20G. Adamiak2.75911961J. Braun1.4011911113WSep 6 · 08:05D. Wasilewski4.25117110G. Adamiak1.181311133
K. Petas10
WSep 12 · 06:55S. Dosz1.91127991K. Petas1.80101111113WSep 12 · 06:05K. Petas1.831115143A. Witkowski1.83813120WSep 12 · 04:30K. Petas2.10111011113A. Dosz1.67912771LSep 12 · 03:45J. Braun2.00611136113K. Petas1.73111111162WSep 1 · 13:45J. Kosowski1.731145111K. Petas2.0071111133WSep 1 · 12:55P. Cyrnek1.61811571K. Petas2.2011511113WSep 1 · 12:05K. Petas1.50119116113K. Strowski2.5091161142LSep 1 · 10:25K. Petas1.50101110111K. Glazowski2.5012412133WSep 1 · 09:40K. Kolodziej1.671151271K. Petas2.10131110113LSep 1 · 08:30J. Kosowski1.7311611113K. Petas2.00911881
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