TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13114968
Played Sep 12Finished
Grzegorz Adamiak
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
211511811––––
Josef Braun
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:48 and never touched — 59.6% is still 59.6%
Graded at full timeJosef Braun to win
59.6%
59.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingGrzegorz Adamiak above · Josef Braun below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 48 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Josef Braun at 59.6%
48 points played in total.
H2H Grzegorz Adamiak 7–22 Josef Braun Grzegorz Adamiak has won 7 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:48What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Braun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-22 in 29
Braun
Correct
gap of 15 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamiak 1759 vs Braun 1887
Braun
Correct
both rated, 128 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamiak 40% vs Braun 100%
Braun
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamiak 40% vs Braun 90%
Braun
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamiak -3 · Braun +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Braun) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Braun form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamiak 2.38 / Braun 1.53
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Braun)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13114968
Adamiak2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog29% won 65 of 224
Down 0–1, comes back14% 20 of 142
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 91
Braun1.53
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 148 of 251
Up 2–0, closes it91% 80 of 88
Up 1–0, closes it75% 113 of 151
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamiak3wins
AwayBraun7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBraun leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamiak75%3 of 4
AwayBraun100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamiak4Braun6n = 10Braun took 6 of 10
S2Adamiak5Braun5n = 10split evenly
S3Adamiak4Braun6n = 10Braun took 6 of 10
S4Adamiak3Braun4n = 7Braun took 4 of 7
S5Adamiak1Braun3n = 4Braun took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamiakBraunA − BBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.238.9−2.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamiakBraunBasisWin rate · lifetime332 / 760 vs 515 / 97943.7%52.6%332 / 760 vs 515 / 979Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BraunAdamiak 2.38/Braun 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.2%
Braun · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Braun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 06:30G. Adamiak—2580J. Braun—1111113
LSep 6 · 09:20G. Adamiak—911961J. Braun—11911113
WJul 27 · 09:20G. Adamiak—1111113J. Braun—7370
WJul 27 · 04:55G. Adamiak—11911123J. Braun—8118101
LJul 16 · 14:35G. Adamiak—12211732J. Braun—1011911113
LJul 16 · 06:30G. Adamiak—61191192J. Braun—114115113
LJul 3 · 10:55G. Adamiak—911117122J. Braun—119111143
LJul 3 · 04:30G. Adamiak—6570J. Braun—1111113
WJun 6 · 14:50G. Adamiak—147911113J. Braun—121111272
LJun 6 · 09:35G. Adamiak—1111491J. Braun—13911113
G. Adamiak10
WSep 12 · 07:45G. Adamiak3.5091111113K. Petas1.28115671LSep 12 · 05:15G. Adamiak2.758780A. Dosz1.401111113LSep 12 · 04:10S. Dosz1.33112511113G. Adamiak3.2561111482LSep 12 · 03:25G. Adamiak3.25118128142A. Witkowski1.339111011163WSep 6 · 13:45G. Adamiak1.83113611113M. Nowalinski1.8361111662WSep 6 · 12:30G. Adamiak1.831111715113S. Sporek1.8387111752LSep 6 · 11:15G. Adamiak1.80971191M. Domin1.9111113113LSep 6 · 10:00S. Kolasa1.4461111113G. Adamiak2.63117621LSep 6 · 09:20G. Adamiak2.75911961J. Braun1.4011911113WSep 6 · 08:05D. Wasilewski4.25117110G. Adamiak1.181311133
J. Braun10
WSep 12 · 05:40S. Dosz1.804420J. Braun1.911111113WSep 12 · 04:55J. Braun2.20111295113A. Witkowski1.61510111182WSep 12 · 03:45J. Braun2.00611136113K. Petas1.73111111162WSep 9 · 20:05M. Olbrycht3.405890J. Braun1.301111113WSep 9 · 19:15J. Krawczyk6.0011760J. Braun1.111311113WSep 9 · 17:20A. Daniel2.201341031J. Braun1.61111112113WSep 9 · 16:30M. Benes1.837118121J. Braun1.8311811143WSep 9 · 15:00J. Chmielowski4.337620J. Braun1.201111113LSep 9 · 14:15J. Braun1.3586100K. Wisniewski2.801111123WSep 6 · 09:20G. Adamiak2.75911961J. Braun1.4011911113
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