TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13114830
Played Sep 12Finished
Josef Braun
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117117911115––
Slawomir Dosz
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:15 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeSlawomir Dosz to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJosef Braun above · Slawomir Dosz below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 72 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Slawomir Dosz at 54.3%
72 points played in total.
H2H Josef Braun 8–5 Slawomir Dosz Slawomir Dosz has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:15What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Dosz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-5 in 13
Braun
Correct
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Braun 1888 vs Dosz 1826
Braun
Correct
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Braun 80% vs Dosz 20%
Braun
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Braun 90% vs Dosz 30%
Braun
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Braun -1 · Dosz -4
Dosz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dosz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dosz form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBraun 2.00 / Dosz 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dosz)+0.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13114830
Braun2.00
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog41% won 87 of 210
Down 0–1, comes back24% 27 of 113
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 62
Dosz1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite48% won 11 of 23
Up 2–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it82% 9 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBraun7wins
AwayDosz3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBraun leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBraun100%6 of 6
AwayDosz75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Braun6Dosz4n = 10Braun took 6 of 10
S2Braun6Dosz4n = 10Braun took 6 of 10
S3Braun6Dosz4n = 10Braun took 6 of 10
S4Braun3Dosz5n = 8Dosz took 5 of 8
S5Braun3Dosz1n = 4Braun took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBraunDoszB − DBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.235.9+5.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBraunDoszBasisWin rate · lifetime516 / 981 vs 62 / 14152.6%44%516 / 981 vs 62 / 141Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.935.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DoszBraun 2.00/Dosz 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Dosz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Braun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 05:40J. Braun—1111113S. Dosz—4420
WAug 22 · 09:20J. Braun—11811133S. Dosz—4119111
LAug 22 · 05:40J. Braun—711971S. Dosz—11811113
WAug 16 · 07:40J. Braun—131111113S. Dosz—1113551
LMay 6 · 08:50J. Braun—8660S. Dosz—1111113
WApr 15 · 14:50J. Braun—121279123S. Dosz—10101111102
WApr 15 · 09:35J. Braun—111011113S. Dosz—312551
WMar 31 · 10:00J. Braun—10111114113S. Dosz—12541612
LMar 31 · 04:40J. Braun—91111622S. Dosz—118811113
WMar 28 · 14:15J. Braun—111148113S. Dosz—49111172
J. Braun10
LSep 12 · 09:00J. Braun1.531110791G. Adamiak2.3891211113WSep 12 · 08:05J. Braun2.631111113A. Dosz1.449730WSep 12 · 06:30G. Adamiak2.382580J. Braun1.531111113WSep 12 · 05:40S. Dosz1.804420J. Braun1.911111113WSep 12 · 04:55J. Braun2.20111295113A. Witkowski1.61510111182WSep 12 · 03:45J. Braun2.00611136113K. Petas1.73111111162WSep 9 · 20:05M. Olbrycht3.405890J. Braun1.301111113WSep 9 · 19:15J. Krawczyk6.0011760J. Braun1.111311113WSep 9 · 17:20A. Daniel2.201341031J. Braun1.61111112113WSep 9 · 16:30M. Benes1.837118121J. Braun1.8311811143
S. Dosz10
LSep 12 · 09:20S. Dosz1.9178111352K. Petas1.801111811113LSep 12 · 08:30S. Dosz2.63541161A. Witkowski1.4411118113LSep 12 · 06:55S. Dosz1.91127991K. Petas1.80101111113LSep 12 · 05:40S. Dosz1.804420J. Braun1.911111113WSep 12 · 04:10S. Dosz1.33112511113G. Adamiak3.2561111482LSep 12 · 03:00S. Dosz2.208101281A. Dosz1.61111210113LSep 4 · 14:35A. Daniel3.0011611113S. Dosz1.33411681WSep 4 · 13:25S. Dosz1.221211123K. Wisniewski4.00106100WSep 4 · 12:10G. Poliniewicz2.357660S. Dosz1.531111113LSep 4 · 10:55K. Wloczko1.951111113S. Dosz1.758960
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