TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13114989
Played Sep 12Finished
Slawomir Dosz
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7118111181311511
Kacper Petas
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKacper Petas to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSlawomir Dosz above · Kacper Petas below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 96 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Kacper Petas at 54.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Slawomir Dosz 8–16 Kacper Petas Slawomir Dosz has won 8 of their 24 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 12:59What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Petas
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-16 in 24
Petas
Correct
gap of 8 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dosz 1846 vs Petas 1876
Petas
Correct
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dosz 20% vs Petas 60%
Petas
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dosz 30% vs Petas 60%
Petas
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dosz -2 · Petas -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Petas)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dosz form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDosz 1.91 / Petas 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Petas)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13114989
Dosz1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 17 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back23% 5 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back10% 1 of 10
Petas1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 177 of 293
Up 2–0, closes it94% 97 of 103
Up 1–0, closes it73% 137 of 187
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDosz3wins
AwayPetas7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPetas leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDosz33.3%1 of 3
AwayPetas71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dosz3Petas7n = 10Petas took 7 of 10
S2Dosz5Petas5n = 10split evenly
S3Dosz6Petas4n = 10Dosz took 6 of 10
S4Dosz2Petas8n = 10Petas took 8 of 10
S5Dosz2Petas2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDoszPetasD − PBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.143.5−3.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDoszPetasBasisWin rate · lifetime62 / 140 vs 704 / 133244.3%52.9%62 / 140 vs 704 / 1332Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.837.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PetasDosz 1.91/Petas 1.80
Hit
What we said
54%
Petas · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Petas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 06:55S. Dosz—127991K. Petas—101111113
LJun 1 · 10:25S. Dosz—1110761K. Petas—51211113
LJun 1 · 08:00S. Dosz—710111172K. Petas—111278113
WMay 31 · 15:35S. Dosz—71111113K. Petas—114781
LMay 31 · 08:50S. Dosz—31111652K. Petas—119811113
LMay 30 · 10:40S. Dosz—661291K. Petas—111110113
LMay 30 · 09:50S. Dosz—811861K. Petas—11711113
WMar 31 · 12:25S. Dosz—1111149143K. Petas—1391211122
WMar 31 · 06:40S. Dosz—118116113K. Petas—71141182
LMar 30 · 14:05S. Dosz—912691K. Petas—111011113
S. Dosz10
LSep 12 · 08:30S. Dosz2.63541161A. Witkowski1.4411118113LSep 12 · 06:55S. Dosz1.91127991K. Petas1.80101111113LSep 12 · 05:40S. Dosz1.804420J. Braun1.911111113WSep 12 · 04:10S. Dosz1.33112511113G. Adamiak3.2561111482LSep 12 · 03:00S. Dosz2.208101281A. Dosz1.61111210113LSep 4 · 14:35A. Daniel3.0011611113S. Dosz1.33411681WSep 4 · 13:25S. Dosz1.221211123K. Wisniewski4.00106100WSep 4 · 12:10G. Poliniewicz2.357660S. Dosz1.531111113LSep 4 · 10:55K. Wloczko1.951111113S. Dosz1.758960LSep 4 · 09:20J. Zochniak2.80111177113S. Dosz1.3786111192
K. Petas10
LSep 12 · 07:45G. Adamiak3.5091111113K. Petas1.28115671WSep 12 · 06:55S. Dosz1.91127991K. Petas1.80101111113WSep 12 · 06:05K. Petas1.831115143A. Witkowski1.83813120WSep 12 · 04:30K. Petas2.10111011113A. Dosz1.67912771LSep 12 · 03:45J. Braun2.00611136113K. Petas1.73111111162WSep 1 · 13:45J. Kosowski1.731145111K. Petas2.0071111133WSep 1 · 12:55P. Cyrnek1.61811571K. Petas2.2011511113WSep 1 · 12:05K. Petas1.50119116113K. Strowski2.5091161142LSep 1 · 10:25K. Petas1.50101110111K. Glazowski2.5012412133WSep 1 · 09:40K. Kolodziej1.671151271K. Petas2.10131110113
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