TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13120066
Played Sep 13Finished
Grzegorz Adamiak
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611911117116711
Adam Dosz
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:24 and never touched — 70.7% is still 70.7%
Graded at full timeAdam Dosz to win
70.7%
70.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingGrzegorz Adamiak above · Adam Dosz below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 90 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Adam Dosz at 70.7%
90 points played in total.
H2H Grzegorz Adamiak 6–14 Adam Dosz Grzegorz Adamiak has won 6 of their 20 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 16h before this match
Dosz beat Adamiak 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:24What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Dosz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-14 in 20
Dosz
Correct
gap of 8 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamiak 1731 vs Dosz 1957
Dosz
Correct
both rated, 226 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamiak 0% vs Dosz 80%
Dosz
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamiak 30% vs Dosz 80%
Dosz
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamiak -5 · Dosz +1
Adamiak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Dosz) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamiak form (0%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamiak 3.00 / Dosz 1.36
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Dosz)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13120066
Adamiak3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog29% won 66 of 231
Down 0–1, comes back14% 21 of 149
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 96
Dosz1.36
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 76 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it100% 36 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it88% 50 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamiak3wins
AwayDosz7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDosz leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamiak66.7%2 of 3
AwayDosz85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamiak3Dosz7n = 10Dosz took 7 of 10
S2Adamiak5Dosz5n = 10split evenly
S3Adamiak5Dosz5n = 10split evenly
S4Adamiak3Dosz5n = 8Dosz took 5 of 8
S5Adamiak1Dosz3n = 4Dosz took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamiakDoszA − DBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.741.5−5.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamiakDoszBasisWin rate · lifetime335 / 768 vs 183 / 31443.6%58.3%335 / 768 vs 183 / 314Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.839.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DoszAdamiak 3.00/Dosz 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.2%
Dosz · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dosz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 05:15G. Adamiak238780A. Dosz331111113
LMay 3 · 12:50G. Adamiak491011111072A. Dosz53129912113
LMay 3 · 05:50G. Adamiak4789111452A. Dosz531111812113
WMay 2 · 10:45G. Adamiak43131117113A. Dosz47111181162
LMar 22 · 13:25G. Adamiak184770A. Dosz331111113
WMar 22 · 09:25G. Adamiak3841211113A. Dosz351110681
WMar 22 · 06:50G. Adamiak43111110113A. Dosz36981271
LMar 21 · 13:50G. Adamiak4481111952A. Dosz45114811113
LMar 21 · 11:25G. Adamiak22113531A. Dosz4181111113
LMar 21 · 10:35G. Adamiak30611851A. Dosz3911611113
G. Adamiak10
LSep 13 · 04:10G. Adamiak2.75115741A. Witkowski1.4071111113LSep 13 · 03:00G. Adamiak3.758830K. Petas1.251111113LSep 12 · 14:10A. Dosz1.4011118113G. Adamiak2.75951151LSep 12 · 13:20K. Petas1.251111113G. Adamiak3.754570LSep 12 · 11:15S. Dosz1.331081111113G. Adamiak3.2512118762WSep 12 · 10:25A. Witkowski1.40871111102G. Adamiak2.75111143123WSep 12 · 09:00J. Braun1.531110791G. Adamiak2.3891211113WSep 12 · 07:45G. Adamiak3.5091111113K. Petas1.28115671LSep 12 · 06:30G. Adamiak2.382580J. Braun1.531111113LSep 12 · 05:15G. Adamiak2.758780A. Dosz1.401111113
A. Dosz10
WSep 13 · 04:55A. Dosz1.6181111113J. Zandecki2.20115861LSep 13 · 03:45A. Dosz1.80121161172S. Dosz1.91149119113WSep 12 · 14:10A. Dosz1.4011118113G. Adamiak2.75951151WSep 12 · 12:30S. Dosz1.9141171192A. Dosz1.80118119113WSep 12 · 11:40J. Braun2.7583130A. Dosz1.401111153WSep 12 · 10:50A. Dosz1.5311119113K. Petas2.38981171WSep 12 · 09:40A. Dosz1.5313118133A. Witkowski2.3811711111LSep 12 · 08:05J. Braun2.631111113A. Dosz1.449730WSep 12 · 07:20A. Witkowski2.2511711892A. Dosz1.57711911113WSep 12 · 05:15G. Adamiak2.758780A. Dosz1.401111113
Upcoming Matches
G. Adamiak
A. Dosz
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.