TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13114705
Played Sep 12Finished
Adam Dosz
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119115811115––
Grzegorz Adamiak
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:04 and never touched — 68.3% is still 68.3%
Graded at full timeAdam Dosz to win
68.3%
68.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Dosz above · Grzegorz Adamiak below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 71 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Adam Dosz at 68.3%
71 points played in total.
H2H Adam Dosz 14–6 Grzegorz Adamiak Grzegorz Adamiak has won 6 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:04What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Dosz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-6 in 20
Dosz
Correct
gap of 8 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dosz 1970 vs Adamiak 1755
Dosz
Correct
both rated, 215 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dosz 80% vs Adamiak 60%
Dosz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dosz 80% vs Adamiak 40%
Dosz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dosz +4 · Adamiak -2
Dosz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Dosz) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamiak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDosz 1.40 / Adamiak 2.75
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Dosz)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13114705
Dosz1.40
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 77 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it100% 35 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it88% 49 of 56
Adamiak2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog29% won 65 of 224
Down 0–1, comes back14% 20 of 142
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDosz7wins
AwayAdamiak3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDosz leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDosz85.7%6 of 7
AwayAdamiak66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dosz7Adamiak3n = 10Dosz took 7 of 10
S2Dosz5Adamiak5n = 10split evenly
S3Dosz5Adamiak5n = 10split evenly
S4Dosz5Adamiak3n = 8Dosz took 5 of 8
S5Dosz3Adamiak1n = 4Dosz took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDoszAdamiakD − ABasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.535.7+5.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDoszAdamiakBasisWin rate · lifetime181 / 311 vs 335 / 76558.2%43.8%181 / 311 vs 335 / 765Avg sets wonper match2.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.935.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DoszDosz 1.40/Adamiak 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.7%
Dosz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Dosz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 05:15A. Dosz331111113G. Adamiak238780
WMay 3 · 12:50A. Dosz53129912113G. Adamiak491011111072
WMay 3 · 05:50A. Dosz531111812113G. Adamiak4789111452
LMay 2 · 10:45A. Dosz47111181162G. Adamiak43131117113
WMar 22 · 13:25A. Dosz331111113G. Adamiak184770
LMar 22 · 09:25A. Dosz351110681G. Adamiak3841211113
LMar 22 · 06:50A. Dosz36981271G. Adamiak43111110113
WMar 21 · 13:50A. Dosz45114811113G. Adamiak4481111952
WMar 21 · 11:25A. Dosz4181111113G. Adamiak22113531
WMar 21 · 10:35A. Dosz3911611113G. Adamiak30611851
A. Dosz10
WSep 12 · 12:30S. Dosz1.9141171192A. Dosz1.80118119113WSep 12 · 11:40J. Braun2.7583130A. Dosz1.401111153WSep 12 · 10:50A. Dosz1.5311119113K. Petas2.38981171WSep 12 · 09:40A. Dosz1.5313118133A. Witkowski2.3811711111LSep 12 · 08:05J. Braun2.631111113A. Dosz1.449730WSep 12 · 07:20A. Witkowski2.2511711892A. Dosz1.57711911113WSep 12 · 05:15G. Adamiak2.758780A. Dosz1.401111113LSep 12 · 04:30K. Petas2.10111011113A. Dosz1.67912771WSep 12 · 03:00S. Dosz2.208101281A. Dosz1.61111210113WSep 4 · 15:25D. Michna2.10136121182A. Dosz1.671111149113
G. Adamiak10
LSep 12 · 13:20K. Petas1.251111113G. Adamiak3.754570LSep 12 · 11:15S. Dosz1.331081111113G. Adamiak3.2512118762WSep 12 · 10:25A. Witkowski1.40871111102G. Adamiak2.75111143123WSep 12 · 09:00J. Braun1.531110791G. Adamiak2.3891211113WSep 12 · 07:45G. Adamiak3.5091111113K. Petas1.28115671LSep 12 · 06:30G. Adamiak2.382580J. Braun1.531111113LSep 12 · 05:15G. Adamiak2.758780A. Dosz1.401111113LSep 12 · 04:10S. Dosz1.33112511113G. Adamiak3.2561111482LSep 12 · 03:25G. Adamiak3.25118128142A. Witkowski1.339111011163WSep 6 · 13:45G. Adamiak1.83113611113M. Nowalinski1.8361111662
Upcoming Matches
A. Dosz
Sep 13 · 03:45A. Dosz1.80S. Dosz1.91—Sep 13 · 04:55A. Dosz1.61J. Zandecki2.20—Sep 13 · 05:40A. Dosz1.36G. Adamiak3.00—Sep 13 · 06:30A. Dosz1.80A. Witkowski1.91—Sep 13 · 08:05A. Dosz1.67K. Petas2.10—Sep 13 · 09:00A. Dosz1.67K. Petas2.10—Sep 13 · 10:00A. Dosz1.40G. Adamiak2.75—Sep 13 · 12:55A. Dosz1.73M. Jadczyk2.00—
G. Adamiak
Sep 13 · 03:00G. Adamiak3.75K. Petas1.25—Sep 13 · 04:10G. Adamiak2.75A. Witkowski1.40—Sep 13 · 05:40G. Adamiak3.00A. Dosz1.36—Sep 13 · 06:55G. Adamiak3.00S. Dosz1.36—Sep 13 · 08:30G. Adamiak2.50J. Zandecki1.50—Sep 13 · 10:00G. Adamiak2.75A. Dosz1.40—Sep 13 · 11:15G. Adamiak3.75K. Petas1.25—Sep 13 · 12:30G. Adamiak2.50J. Zandecki1.50—Sep 13 · 13:45G. Adamiak2.75M. Jadczyk1.40—
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