TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13114686
Played Sep 12Finished
Slawomir Dosz
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
411118711119911
Adam Dosz
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:52 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeAdam Dosz to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSlawomir Dosz above · Adam Dosz below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 92 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Adam Dosz at 58.1%
92 points played in total.
H2H Slawomir Dosz 17–14 Adam Dosz Adam Dosz has won 14 of their 31 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:52What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Dosz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-14 in 31
Dosz
Wrong
gap of 3 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dosz 1845 vs Dosz 1961
Dosz
Correct
both rated, 116 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dosz 20% vs Dosz 80%
Dosz
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dosz 30% vs Dosz 70%
Dosz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dosz +1 · Dosz +3
Dosz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dosz) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dosz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDosz 1.91 / Dosz 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dosz)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13114686
Dosz1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 17 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back23% 5 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back10% 1 of 10
Dosz1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 77 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it100% 35 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it88% 49 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDosz5wins
AwayDosz5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDosz66.7%4 of 6
AwayDosz75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dosz6Dosz4n = 10Dosz took 6 of 10
S2Dosz5Dosz5n = 10split evenly
S3Dosz6Dosz4n = 10Dosz took 6 of 10
S4Dosz3Dosz5n = 8Dosz took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDoszDoszDosz − DoszBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.338.8+0.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDoszDoszBasisWin rate · lifetime63 / 143 vs 180 / 31044.1%58.1%63 / 143 vs 180 / 310Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.039.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DoszDosz 1.91/Dosz 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.3%
Dosz · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dosz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 03:00S. Dosz388101281A. Dosz44111210113
WSep 4 · 05:15S. Dosz4181111113A. Dosz34118871
LSep 3 · 14:35S. Dosz34811691A. Dosz4211911113
WSep 3 · 06:30S. Dosz50118911113A. Dosz4881111992
WAug 29 · 13:45S. Dosz331111113A. Dosz215970
WAug 29 · 08:30S. Dosz371214113A. Dosz30101280
WAug 28 · 05:15S. Dosz4111811113A. Dosz34611981
LAug 23 · 14:35S. Dosz4511117882A. Dosz47591111113
LAug 23 · 06:30S. Dosz381081191A. Dosz4312119113
LAug 22 · 12:30S. Dosz361158121A. Dosz4591111143
S. Dosz10
LSep 12 · 13:45S. Dosz2.251178111A. Witkowski1.5791111133WSep 12 · 11:15S. Dosz1.331081111113G. Adamiak3.2512118762LSep 12 · 10:00J. Braun2.0011119113S. Dosz1.73771151LSep 12 · 09:20S. Dosz1.9178111352K. Petas1.801111811113LSep 12 · 08:30S. Dosz2.63541161A. Witkowski1.4411118113LSep 12 · 06:55S. Dosz1.91127991K. Petas1.80101111113LSep 12 · 05:40S. Dosz1.804420J. Braun1.911111113WSep 12 · 04:10S. Dosz1.33112511113G. Adamiak3.2561111482LSep 12 · 03:00S. Dosz2.208101281A. Dosz1.61111210113LSep 4 · 14:35A. Daniel3.0011611113S. Dosz1.33411681
A. Dosz10
WSep 12 · 11:40J. Braun2.7583130A. Dosz1.401111153WSep 12 · 10:50A. Dosz1.5311119113K. Petas2.38981171WSep 12 · 09:40A. Dosz1.5313118133A. Witkowski2.3811711111LSep 12 · 08:05J. Braun2.631111113A. Dosz1.449730WSep 12 · 07:20A. Witkowski2.2511711892A. Dosz1.57711911113WSep 12 · 05:15G. Adamiak2.758780A. Dosz1.401111113LSep 12 · 04:30K. Petas2.10111011113A. Dosz1.67912771WSep 12 · 03:00S. Dosz2.208101281A. Dosz1.61111210113WSep 4 · 15:25D. Michna2.10136121182A. Dosz1.671111149113LSep 4 · 14:35K. Kolodziej2.751181011113A. Dosz1.4061112752
Upcoming Matches
S. Dosz
A. Dosz
Sep 12 · 14:10A. Dosz1.40G. Adamiak2.75—Sep 13 · 03:45A. Dosz1.80S. Dosz1.91—Sep 13 · 04:55A. Dosz1.61J. Zandecki2.20—Sep 13 · 05:40A. Dosz1.40G. Adamiak2.75—Sep 13 · 06:30A. Dosz1.80A. Witkowski1.91—Sep 13 · 08:05A. Dosz1.67K. Petas2.10—Sep 13 · 10:00A. Dosz1.40G. Adamiak2.75—Sep 13 · 12:55A. Dosz1.73M. Jadczyk2.00—
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