TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13114883
Played Sep 12Finished
Slawomir Dosz
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1012811118117116
Grzegorz Adamiak
Away
3.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:33 and never touched — 74.4% is still 74.4%
Graded at full timeSlawomir Dosz to win
74.4%
74.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSlawomir Dosz above · Grzegorz Adamiak below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 95 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Slawomir Dosz at 74.4%
95 points played in total.
H2H Slawomir Dosz 17–4 Grzegorz Adamiak Grzegorz Adamiak has won 4 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:33What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Dosz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-4 in 21
Dosz
Correct
gap of 13 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dosz 1816 vs Adamiak 1807
Dosz
Correct
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dosz 0% vs Adamiak 60%
Adamiak
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dosz 30% vs Adamiak 50%
Adamiak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dosz -5 · Adamiak +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Dosz) · live re-read · sealed at 74% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamiak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDosz 1.33 / Adamiak 3.25
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Dosz)+1.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13114883
Dosz1.33
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite48% won 11 of 23
Up 2–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it82% 9 of 11
Adamiak3.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog29% won 65 of 224
Down 0–1, comes back14% 20 of 142
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDosz8wins
AwayAdamiak2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDosz leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDosz80%8 of 10
AwayAdamiakn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dosz10Adamiak0n = 10Dosz took 10 of 10
S2Dosz6Adamiak4n = 10Dosz took 6 of 10
S3Dosz7Adamiak3n = 10Dosz took 7 of 10
S4Dosz4Adamiak1n = 5Dosz took 4 of 5
S5Dosz1Adamiak2n = 3Adamiak took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDoszAdamiakD − ABasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set100+10of 10Avg pointsper match36.731.6+5.1per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDoszAdamiakBasisWin rate · lifetime62 / 142 vs 335 / 76343.7%43.9%62 / 142 vs 335 / 763Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.935.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DoszDosz 1.33/Adamiak 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.2%
Dosz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Dosz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 04:10S. Dosz—112511113G. Adamiak—61111482
WOct 5 · 10:25S. Dosz—1111113G. Adamiak—9590
WOct 4 · 15:10S. Dosz—1111113G. Adamiak—6980
WSep 14 · 15:10S. Dosz—1111113G. Adamiak—8670
WSep 14 · 06:15S. Dosz—1111113G. Adamiak—9860
LSep 13 · 14:30S. Dosz—11611982G. Adamiak—711611113
LSep 13 · 06:15S. Dosz—11621132G. Adamiak—611118113
WJun 1 · 13:15S. Dosz—11511113G. Adamiak—911181
WJun 1 · 07:15S. Dosz—18116113G. Adamiak—1681171
WMay 31 · 12:00S. Dosz—1111113G. Adamiak—7690
S. Dosz10
LSep 12 · 10:00J. Braun2.0011119113S. Dosz1.73771151LSep 12 · 09:20S. Dosz1.9178111352K. Petas1.801111811113LSep 12 · 08:30S. Dosz2.63541161A. Witkowski1.4411118113LSep 12 · 06:55S. Dosz1.91127991K. Petas1.80101111113LSep 12 · 05:40S. Dosz1.804420J. Braun1.911111113WSep 12 · 04:10S. Dosz1.33112511113G. Adamiak3.2561111482LSep 12 · 03:00S. Dosz2.208101281A. Dosz1.61111210113LSep 4 · 14:35A. Daniel3.0011611113S. Dosz1.33411681WSep 4 · 13:25S. Dosz1.221211123K. Wisniewski4.00106100WSep 4 · 12:10G. Poliniewicz2.357660S. Dosz1.531111113
G. Adamiak10
WSep 12 · 10:25A. Witkowski1.40871111102G. Adamiak2.75111143123WSep 12 · 09:00J. Braun1.531110791G. Adamiak2.3891211113WSep 12 · 07:45G. Adamiak3.5091111113K. Petas1.28115671LSep 12 · 06:30G. Adamiak2.382580J. Braun1.531111113LSep 12 · 05:15G. Adamiak2.758780A. Dosz1.401111113LSep 12 · 04:10S. Dosz1.33112511113G. Adamiak3.2561111482LSep 12 · 03:25G. Adamiak3.25118128142A. Witkowski1.339111011163WSep 6 · 13:45G. Adamiak1.83113611113M. Nowalinski1.8361111662WSep 6 · 12:30G. Adamiak1.831111715113S. Sporek1.8387111752LSep 6 · 11:15G. Adamiak1.80971191M. Domin1.9111113113
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