TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13120319
Played Sep 13Finished
Grzegorz Adamiak
Home
3.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811311––––
Kacper Petas
Away
1.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:44 and never touched — 78.5% is still 78.5%
Graded at full timeKacper Petas to win
78.5%
78.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingGrzegorz Adamiak above · Kacper Petas below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 52 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Kacper Petas at 78.5%
52 points played in total.
H2H Grzegorz Adamiak 14–49 Kacper Petas Grzegorz Adamiak has won 14 of their 63 meetings.
They have already met 2 times today · last one 14h before this match
Petas beat Adamiak 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:44What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Petas
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-49 in 63
Petas
Correct
gap of 35 in 63, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamiak 1749 vs Petas 1873
Petas
Correct
both rated, 124 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamiak 40% vs Petas 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamiak 30% vs Petas 50%
Petas
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamiak -3 · Petas -1
Adamiak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Petas) · live re-read · sealed at 79% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Petas form (40%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamiak 3.75 / Petas 1.25
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Petas)+4.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13120319
Adamiak3.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog29% won 66 of 230
Down 0–1, comes back14% 21 of 148
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 95
Petas1.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 173 of 280
Up 2–0, closes it95% 95 of 100
Up 1–0, closes it75% 134 of 179
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamiak1wins
AwayPetas9wins
Petas leads 9–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamiakn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayPetas90%9 of 10
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamiak0Petas10n = 10Petas took 10 of 10
S2Adamiak2Petas8n = 10Petas took 8 of 10
S3Adamiak4Petas6n = 10Petas took 6 of 10
S4Adamiak1Petas4n = 5Petas took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamiakPetasA − PBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set010−10of 10Avg pointsper match26.136.4−10.3per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamiakPetasBasisWin rate · lifetime335 / 766 vs 706 / 133343.7%53%335 / 766 vs 706 / 1333Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.837.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PetasAdamiak 3.75/Petas 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.3%
Petas · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Petas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 13:20G. Adamiak164570K. Petas331111113
WSep 12 · 07:45G. Adamiak4291111113K. Petas29115671
LJul 29 · 10:50G. Adamiak228680K. Petas331111113
LJul 29 · 03:25G. Adamiak2110740K. Petas341211113
LJun 14 · 12:25G. Adamiak23451131K. Petas4111118113
LJun 14 · 04:00G. Adamiak387121181K. Petas45111013113
LJun 13 · 15:35G. Adamiak23261141K. Petas3911116113
LJun 13 · 04:40G. Adamiak196490K. Petas331111113
LMay 17 · 06:15G. Adamiak178360K. Petas331111113
LMay 16 · 12:50G. Adamiak4010101191K. Petas4412129113
G. Adamiak10
LSep 12 · 14:10A. Dosz1.4011118113G. Adamiak2.75951151LSep 12 · 13:20K. Petas1.251111113G. Adamiak3.754570LSep 12 · 11:15S. Dosz1.331081111113G. Adamiak3.2512118762WSep 12 · 10:25A. Witkowski1.40871111102G. Adamiak2.75111143123WSep 12 · 09:00J. Braun1.531110791G. Adamiak2.3891211113WSep 12 · 07:45G. Adamiak3.5091111113K. Petas1.28115671LSep 12 · 06:30G. Adamiak2.382580J. Braun1.531111113LSep 12 · 05:15G. Adamiak2.758780A. Dosz1.401111113LSep 12 · 04:10S. Dosz1.33112511113G. Adamiak3.2561111482LSep 12 · 03:25G. Adamiak3.25118128142A. Witkowski1.339111011163
K. Petas10
LSep 12 · 14:35J. Braun2.101111113K. Petas1.675820WSep 12 · 13:20K. Petas1.251111113G. Adamiak3.754570LSep 12 · 12:05A. Witkowski1.6711118113K. Petas2.10891111LSep 12 · 10:50A. Dosz1.5311119113K. Petas2.38981171WSep 12 · 09:20S. Dosz1.9178111352K. Petas1.801111811113LSep 12 · 07:45G. Adamiak3.5091111113K. Petas1.28115671WSep 12 · 06:55S. Dosz1.91127991K. Petas1.80101111113WSep 12 · 06:05K. Petas1.831115143A. Witkowski1.83813120WSep 12 · 04:30K. Petas2.10111011113A. Dosz1.67912771LSep 12 · 03:45J. Braun2.00611136113K. Petas1.73111111162
Upcoming Matches
G. Adamiak
Sep 13 · 05:40G. Adamiak3.00A. Dosz1.36—Sep 13 · 06:55G. Adamiak3.00S. Dosz1.36—Sep 13 · 08:30G. Adamiak2.50J. Zandecki1.50—Sep 13 · 09:20G. Adamiak3.00S. Dosz1.36—Sep 13 · 10:00G. Adamiak3.00A. Dosz1.36—Sep 13 · 11:15G. Adamiak3.75K. Petas1.25—Sep 13 · 12:30G. Adamiak2.50J. Zandecki1.50—Sep 13 · 13:45G. Adamiak2.75M. Jadczyk1.40—
K. Petas
Sep 13 · 04:30K. Petas1.73S. Dosz2.00—Sep 13 · 05:15K. Petas1.83A. Witkowski1.83—Sep 13 · 07:20K. Petas2.25J. Zandecki1.57—Sep 13 · 08:05K. Petas2.10A. Dosz1.67—Sep 13 · 09:00K. Petas2.10A. Dosz1.67—Sep 13 · 10:25K. Petas2.10M. Jadczyk1.67—Sep 13 · 11:15K. Petas1.25G. Adamiak3.75—Sep 13 · 13:20K. Petas1.73S. Dosz2.00—Sep 13 · 14:10K. Petas2.25J. Zandecki1.57—
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