TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13115537
Played Sep 12Finished
Josef Braun
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115118112––––
Kacper Petas
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:42 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeKacper Petas to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJosef Braun above · Kacper Petas below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-2
Point 44 set 3, 7-2 — our read held Kacper Petas at 56.9%
44 points drawn · the score is 4 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Josef Braun 26–33 Kacper Petas Josef Braun has won 26 of their 59 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 14:42What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Petas
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-33 in 59
Petas
Wrong
gap of 7 in 59, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Braun 1909 vs Petas 1885
Braun
Correct
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Braun 40% vs Petas 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Braun 70% vs Petas 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Braun -2 · Petas +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Petas)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Petas form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBraun 2.10 / Petas 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Petas)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13115537
Braun2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 87 of 210
Down 0–1, comes back24% 27 of 113
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 62
Petas1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 177 of 293
Up 2–0, closes it94% 97 of 103
Up 1–0, closes it73% 137 of 187
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBraun4wins
AwayPetas6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPetas leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBraun50%2 of 4
AwayPetas66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Braun4Petas6n = 10Petas took 6 of 10
S2Braun4Petas6n = 10Petas took 6 of 10
S3Braun3Petas7n = 10Petas took 7 of 10
S4Braun2Petas4n = 6Petas took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricBraunPetasB − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.136.6−3.5per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBraunPetasBasisWin rate · lifetime517 / 984 vs 706 / 133452.5%52.9%517 / 984 vs 706 / 1334Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PetasBraun 2.10/Petas 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57%
Petas · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Braun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 03:45J. Braun47611136113K. Petas40111111162
LJul 30 · 12:10J. Braun28911621K. Petas4211911113
LJul 30 · 05:40J. Braun2471070K. Petas341112113
WJul 25 · 11:40J. Braun351111133K. Petas2476110
LJul 25 · 08:05J. Braun217860K. Petas331111113
LJun 26 · 15:45J. Braun38119991K. Petas3741111113
LJun 26 · 03:45J. Braun206680K. Petas331111113
LJun 3 · 13:10J. Braun31116771K. Petas4071111113
WJun 3 · 05:00J. Braun43551111113K. Petas4311119662
WMay 27 · 03:55J. Braun4412117143K. Petas4010711121
J. Braun10
LSep 12 · 12:55J. Braun2.2089111182A. Witkowski1.61111169113LSep 12 · 11:40J. Braun2.7583130A. Dosz1.401111153WSep 12 · 10:00J. Braun2.0011119113S. Dosz1.73771151LSep 12 · 09:00J. Braun1.531110791G. Adamiak2.3891211113WSep 12 · 08:05J. Braun2.631111113A. Dosz1.449730WSep 12 · 06:30G. Adamiak2.382580J. Braun1.531111113WSep 12 · 05:40S. Dosz1.804420J. Braun1.911111113WSep 12 · 04:55J. Braun2.20111295113A. Witkowski1.61510111182WSep 12 · 03:45J. Braun2.00611136113K. Petas1.73111111162WSep 9 · 20:05M. Olbrycht3.405890J. Braun1.301111113
K. Petas10
WSep 12 · 13:20K. Petas1.251111113G. Adamiak3.754570LSep 12 · 12:05A. Witkowski1.6711118113K. Petas2.10891111LSep 12 · 10:50A. Dosz1.5311119113K. Petas2.38981171WSep 12 · 09:20S. Dosz1.9178111352K. Petas1.801111811113LSep 12 · 07:45G. Adamiak3.5091111113K. Petas1.28115671WSep 12 · 06:55S. Dosz1.91127991K. Petas1.80101111113WSep 12 · 06:05K. Petas1.831115143A. Witkowski1.83813120WSep 12 · 04:30K. Petas2.10111011113A. Dosz1.67912771LSep 12 · 03:45J. Braun2.00611136113K. Petas1.73111111162WSep 1 · 13:45J. Kosowski1.731145111K. Petas2.0071111133
Upcoming Matches
J. Braun
Nothing scheduled
K. Petas
Sep 13 · 03:00K. Petas1.25G. Adamiak3.75—Sep 13 · 04:30K. Petas1.73S. Dosz2.00—Sep 13 · 05:15K. Petas1.83A. Witkowski1.83—Sep 13 · 07:20K. Petas2.25J. Zandecki1.57—Sep 13 · 08:05K. Petas2.10A. Dosz1.67—Sep 13 · 09:00K. Petas2.10A. Dosz1.67—Sep 13 · 10:25K. Petas2.10M. Jadczyk1.67—Sep 13 · 11:15K. Petas1.25G. Adamiak3.75—Sep 13 · 14:10K. Petas2.25J. Zandecki1.57—
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