TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13120076
Played Sep 13Finished
Adam Dosz
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1214119611119711
Slawomir Dosz
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:34 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeAdam Dosz to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAdam Dosz above · Slawomir Dosz below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 101 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Adam Dosz at 54.3%
101 points played in total.
H2H Adam Dosz 15–18 Slawomir Dosz Adam Dosz has won 15 of their 33 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 15h before this match
Dosz beat Dosz 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:34What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Dosz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-18 in 33
Dosz
Correct
gap of 3 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dosz 1960 vs Dosz 1842
Dosz
Wrong
both rated, 118 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dosz 100% vs Dosz 20%
Dosz
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dosz 80% vs Dosz 20%
Dosz
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dosz +5 · Dosz -2
Dosz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dosz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dosz form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDosz 1.80 / Dosz 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Dosz)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13120076
Dosz1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite66% won 76 of 116
Up 2–0, closes it100% 36 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it88% 50 of 57
Dosz1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 17 of 41
Down 0–1, comes back21% 5 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDosz4wins
AwayDosz6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDosz leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDosz75%3 of 4
AwayDosz83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dosz4Dosz6n = 10Dosz took 6 of 10
S2Dosz4Dosz6n = 10Dosz took 6 of 10
S3Dosz4Dosz6n = 10Dosz took 6 of 10
S4Dosz4Dosz4n = 8split evenly
S5Dosz2Dosz2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDoszDoszDosz − DoszBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.741.5−1.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDoszDoszBasisWin rate · lifetime182 / 313 vs 64 / 14658.2%43.8%182 / 313 vs 64 / 146Avg sets wonper match2.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.936.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DoszDosz 1.80/Dosz 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.3%
Dosz · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dosz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 03:45A. Dosz47121161172S. Dosz54149119113
WSep 12 · 12:30A. Dosz50118119113S. Dosz4241171192
WSep 12 · 03:00A. Dosz44111210113S. Dosz388101281
LSep 4 · 05:15A. Dosz34118871S. Dosz4181111113
WSep 3 · 14:35A. Dosz4211911113S. Dosz34811691
LSep 3 · 06:30A. Dosz4881111992S. Dosz50118911113
LAug 29 · 13:45A. Dosz215970S. Dosz331111113
LAug 29 · 08:30A. Dosz30101280S. Dosz371214113
LAug 28 · 05:15A. Dosz34611981S. Dosz4111811113
WAug 23 · 14:35A. Dosz47591111113S. Dosz4511117882
A. Dosz10
WSep 12 · 14:10A. Dosz1.4011118113G. Adamiak2.75951151WSep 12 · 12:30S. Dosz1.9141171192A. Dosz1.80118119113WSep 12 · 11:40J. Braun2.7583130A. Dosz1.401111153WSep 12 · 10:50A. Dosz1.5311119113K. Petas2.38981171WSep 12 · 09:40A. Dosz1.5313118133A. Witkowski2.3811711111LSep 12 · 08:05J. Braun2.631111113A. Dosz1.449730WSep 12 · 07:20A. Witkowski2.2511711892A. Dosz1.57711911113WSep 12 · 05:15G. Adamiak2.758780A. Dosz1.401111113LSep 12 · 04:30K. Petas2.10111011113A. Dosz1.67912771WSep 12 · 03:00S. Dosz2.208101281A. Dosz1.61111210113
S. Dosz10
LSep 13 · 04:30S. Dosz2.008660K. Petas1.731111113LSep 12 · 13:45S. Dosz2.251178111A. Witkowski1.5791111133LSep 12 · 12:30S. Dosz1.9141171192A. Dosz1.80118119113WSep 12 · 11:15S. Dosz1.331081111113G. Adamiak3.2512118762LSep 12 · 10:00J. Braun2.0011119113S. Dosz1.73771151LSep 12 · 09:20S. Dosz1.9178111352K. Petas1.801111811113LSep 12 · 08:30S. Dosz2.63541161A. Witkowski1.4411118113LSep 12 · 06:55S. Dosz1.91127991K. Petas1.80101111113LSep 12 · 05:40S. Dosz1.804420J. Braun1.911111113LSep 12 · 03:00S. Dosz2.208101281A. Dosz1.61111210113
Upcoming Matches
A. Dosz
Sep 13 · 05:40A. Dosz1.36G. Adamiak3.00—Sep 13 · 06:30A. Dosz1.80A. Witkowski1.91—Sep 13 · 08:05A. Dosz1.73K. Petas2.00—Sep 13 · 09:00A. Dosz1.73K. Petas2.00—Sep 13 · 10:00A. Dosz1.36G. Adamiak3.00—Sep 13 · 11:40A. Dosz1.61J. Zandecki2.20—Sep 13 · 12:55A. Dosz1.73M. Jadczyk2.00—Sep 13 · 14:35A. Dosz1.80S. Dosz1.91—
S. Dosz
Sep 13 · 06:05S. Dosz1.91J. Zandecki1.80—Sep 13 · 06:55S. Dosz1.36G. Adamiak3.00—Sep 13 · 07:45S. Dosz2.25A. Witkowski1.57—Sep 13 · 09:20S. Dosz1.36G. Adamiak3.00—Sep 13 · 10:50S. Dosz1.91J. Zandecki1.80—Sep 13 · 12:05S. Dosz1.83M. Jadczyk1.83—Sep 13 · 13:20S. Dosz1.91K. Petas1.80—Sep 13 · 14:35S. Dosz1.91A. Dosz1.80—
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