TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13120044
Played Sep 13Finished
Adam Dosz
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811115118116––
Jan Zandecki
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:24 and never touched — 57.4% is still 57.4%
Graded at full timeAdam Dosz to win
57.4%
57.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Dosz above · Jan Zandecki below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 71 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Adam Dosz at 57.4%
71 points played in total.
H2H Adam Dosz 6–11 Jan Zandecki Adam Dosz has won 6 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:24What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Dosz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-11 in 17
Zandecki
Wrong
gap of 5 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dosz 1957 vs Zandecki 1927
Dosz
Correct
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dosz 80% vs Zandecki 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dosz 70% vs Zandecki 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dosz -1 · Zandecki +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Dosz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zandecki form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDosz 1.61 / Zandecki 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Dosz)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13120044
Dosz1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 76 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it100% 36 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it88% 50 of 57
Zandecki2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 64 of 144
Down 0–1, comes back25% 18 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDosz2wins
AwayZandecki8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderZandecki leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDoszn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayZandecki75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dosz2Zandecki8n = 10Zandecki took 8 of 10
S2Dosz4Zandecki6n = 10Zandecki took 6 of 10
S3Dosz3Zandecki7n = 10Zandecki took 7 of 10
S4Dosz5Zandecki3n = 8Dosz took 5 of 8
S5Dosz1Zandecki3n = 4Zandecki took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDoszZandeckiD − ZBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match36.541.1−4.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDoszZandeckiBasisWin rate · lifetime183 / 314 vs 462 / 83558.3%55.3%183 / 314 vs 462 / 835Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.938.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DoszDosz 1.61/Zandecki 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Dosz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Dosz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 04:55A. Dosz4181111113J. Zandecki30115861
LFeb 21 · 13:25A. Dosz183870J. Zandecki331111113
LFeb 21 · 09:00A. Dosz29581151J. Zandecki3611113113
WFeb 20 · 16:35A. Dosz521271111113J. Zandecki4914118972
LFeb 20 · 04:40A. Dosz49101191182J. Zandecki47124119113
LOct 20 · 12:25A. Dosz2266100J. Zandecki341111123
LOct 20 · 05:05A. Dosz4111101191J. Zandecki4371213113
LOct 19 · 13:15A. Dosz4281351152J. Zandecki491111115113
LOct 19 · 07:15A. Dosz4214371172J. Zandecki531211118113
LOct 18 · 12:50A. Dosz29911541J. Zandecki371161193
A. Dosz10
WSep 13 · 05:40G. Adamiak3.0069111172A. Dosz1.36111176113LSep 13 · 03:45A. Dosz1.80121161172S. Dosz1.91149119113WSep 12 · 14:10A. Dosz1.4011118113G. Adamiak2.75951151WSep 12 · 12:30S. Dosz1.9141171192A. Dosz1.80118119113WSep 12 · 11:40J. Braun2.7583130A. Dosz1.401111153WSep 12 · 10:50A. Dosz1.5311119113K. Petas2.38981171WSep 12 · 09:40A. Dosz1.5313118133A. Witkowski2.3811711111LSep 12 · 08:05J. Braun2.631111113A. Dosz1.449730WSep 12 · 07:20A. Witkowski2.2511711892A. Dosz1.57711911113WSep 12 · 05:15G. Adamiak2.758780A. Dosz1.401111113
J. Zandecki10
WSep 13 · 03:25A. Witkowski1.576121151J. Zandecki2.2511149113WSep 7 · 03:00S. Kolasa1.830J. Zandecki1.830WAug 25 · 14:10K. Strowski3.2511101191J. Zandecki1.3313127113LAug 25 · 13:20K. Petas2.001117113J. Zandecki1.7381570WAug 25 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.8311116862J. Zandecki1.83781111113WAug 25 · 10:25A. Wiecek2.106880J. Zandecki1.671111113LAug 25 · 09:00M. Olejnik1.441111133J. Zandecki2.6374110LAug 25 · 08:05M. Olejnik1.441111143J. Zandecki2.6354120LAug 25 · 07:20A. Wiecek1.731111113J. Zandecki2.007880WAug 25 · 05:15K. Petas2.20711271J. Zandecki1.6111711113
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