TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13119567
Played Sep 13Finished
Antoni Witkowski
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6111214119511––
Jan Zandecki
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Zandecki to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAntoni Witkowski above · Jan Zandecki below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 79 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Jan Zandecki at 54.0%
79 points played in total.
H2H Antoni Witkowski 19–15 Jan Zandecki Jan Zandecki has won 15 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:12What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Witkowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-15 in 34
Witkowski
Wrong
gap of 4 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Witkowski 1865 vs Zandecki 1939
Zandecki
Correct
both rated, 74 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Witkowski 60% vs Zandecki 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Witkowski 50% vs Zandecki 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Witkowski +3 · Zandecki +1
Witkowski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Witkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zandecki form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWitkowski 1.57 / Zandecki 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Witkowski)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13119567
Witkowski1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 79 of 126
Up 2–0, closes it97% 38 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it87% 54 of 62
Zandecki2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 63 of 143
Down 0–1, comes back25% 18 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWitkowski4wins
AwayZandecki6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZandecki leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWitkowskin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayZandecki75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Witkowski2Zandecki8n = 10Zandecki took 8 of 10
S2Witkowski5Zandecki5n = 10split evenly
S3Witkowski6Zandecki4n = 10Witkowski took 6 of 10
S4Witkowski4Zandecki3n = 7Witkowski took 4 of 7
S5Witkowski1Zandecki2n = 3Zandecki took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricWitkowskiZandeckiW − ZBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match36.437.3−0.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWitkowskiZandeckiBasisWin rate · lifetime222 / 381 vs 463 / 83658.3%55.4%222 / 381 vs 463 / 836Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WitkowskiWitkowski 1.57/Zandecki 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Witkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zandecki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 03:25A. Witkowski346121151J. Zandecki4511149113
LMay 9 · 15:10A. Witkowski2110470J. Zandecki341211113
LMay 9 · 06:15A. Witkowski541012121192J. Zandecki521210145113
WMay 8 · 11:10A. Witkowski3811511113J. Zandecki31911831
LMay 8 · 05:40A. Witkowski4081111462J. Zandecki48116911113
LMay 7 · 15:35A. Witkowski36891181J. Zandecki3611113113
WMay 7 · 07:40A. Witkowski3851111113J. Zandecki26115281
WFeb 20 · 11:00A. Witkowski518111011113J. Zandecki4511612792
LFeb 20 · 09:10A. Witkowski1911710J. Zandecki351311113
WFeb 13 · 12:10A. Witkowski331111113J. Zandecki219570
A. Witkowski10
WSep 12 · 13:45S. Dosz2.251178111A. Witkowski1.5791111133WSep 12 · 12:55J. Braun2.2089111182A. Witkowski1.61111169113WSep 12 · 12:05A. Witkowski1.6711118113K. Petas2.10891111LSep 12 · 10:25A. Witkowski1.40871111102G. Adamiak2.75111143123LSep 12 · 09:40A. Dosz1.5313118133A. Witkowski2.3811711111WSep 12 · 08:30S. Dosz2.63541161A. Witkowski1.4411118113LSep 12 · 07:20A. Witkowski2.2511711892A. Dosz1.57711911113LSep 12 · 06:05K. Petas1.831115143A. Witkowski1.83813120LSep 12 · 04:55J. Braun2.20111295113A. Witkowski1.61510111182WSep 12 · 03:25G. Adamiak3.25118128142A. Witkowski1.339111011163
J. Zandecki10
WSep 7 · 03:00S. Kolasa1.830J. Zandecki1.830WAug 25 · 14:10K. Strowski3.2511101191J. Zandecki1.3313127113LAug 25 · 13:20K. Petas2.001117113J. Zandecki1.7381570WAug 25 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.8311116862J. Zandecki1.83781111113WAug 25 · 10:25A. Wiecek2.106880J. Zandecki1.671111113LAug 25 · 09:00M. Olejnik1.441111133J. Zandecki2.6374110LAug 25 · 08:05M. Olejnik1.441111143J. Zandecki2.6354120LAug 25 · 07:20A. Wiecek1.731111113J. Zandecki2.007880WAug 25 · 05:15K. Petas2.20711271J. Zandecki1.6111711113WAug 25 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.8088111162J. Zandecki1.91111148113
Upcoming Matches
A. Witkowski
J. Zandecki
Sep 13 · 04:55J. Zandecki2.20A. Dosz1.61—Sep 13 · 06:05J. Zandecki1.80S. Dosz1.91—Sep 13 · 07:20J. Zandecki1.57K. Petas2.25—Sep 13 · 08:30J. Zandecki1.50G. Adamiak2.50—Sep 13 · 09:40J. Zandecki1.91M. Jadczyk1.80—Sep 13 · 10:50J. Zandecki1.80S. Dosz1.91—Sep 13 · 11:40J. Zandecki2.20A. Dosz1.61—Sep 13 · 12:30J. Zandecki1.50G. Adamiak2.50—Sep 13 · 14:10J. Zandecki1.57K. Petas2.25—
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